Other European Leagues · resolved market
IFK Goteborg vs. Degerfors IF: 1st Half O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x54a81de39955abe942bc89177cff546cbe271d9910bb4c65ddb97b25d73e7f5d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,626
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,914
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,626 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbca0…d7a0backed Over | 36c | 18,219$6,569 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,569.35 | 71 | 38%27 W · 44 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 64c | 6,100$3,892 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,207.5 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 64c | 4,211$2,709 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,501.39 | 2,068 | 48.1%995 W · 1,073 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ef…2864backed Under | 63c | 2,184$1,387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$797.33 | 64 | 45.3%29 W · 35 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Under | 64c | 2,000$1,270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$730 | 1,113 | 51%568 W · 545 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 64c | 1,322$850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$472.34 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 64c | 1,241$795 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$445.87 | 2,640 | 35.7%942 W · 1,698 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked Under | 65c | 900$585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315 | 148 | 53.4%79 W · 69 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x851b…961ebacked Over | 35c | 592.28$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 76 | 38.2%29 W · 47 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…d360backed Under | 63c | 317.45$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.46 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed Under | 65c | 115.52$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.49 | 248 | 51.6%128 W · 120 L | +8.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a64…683ebacked Under | 63c | 100$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 55 | 60%33 W · 22 L | +5.6wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Under | 64c | 98.04$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.29 | 280 | 49.6%139 W · 141 L | -8.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfaa7…977abacked Under | 66c | 90.45$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.79 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x633e…d305backed Over | 35c | 87.56$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.65 | 96 | 47.9%46 W · 50 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda6f…1e46backed Under | 58c | 86.21$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.21 | 66 | 69.7%46 W · 20 L | +10.8wins | +0.16per pick | 53cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Under | 65c | 82.28$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.43 | 305 | 50.8%155 W · 150 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x789c…0d10backed Under | 64c | 77.08$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.75 | 214 | 54.2%116 W · 98 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdeda…8e35backed Under | 64c | 64.68$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.06 | 26 | 73.1%19 W · 7 L | +3.9wins | +0.15per pick | 58cpaid | +27%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Under | 65c | 54.85$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.96 | 339 | 59%200 W · 139 L | +18.4wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Under | 66c | 47.3$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.32 | 275 | 54.9%151 W · 124 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42c7…c415backed Under | 65c | 22.03$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.74 | 91 | 69.2%63 W · 28 L | +10.6wins | +0.12per pick | 58cpaid | +18%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3637…21a4backed Under | 64c | 22$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.92 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- IFK Goteborg vs. Degerfors IF: 1st Half O/U 1.5this page
- IFK Goteborg vs. Degerfors IF: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- IFK Goteborg vs. Degerfors IF: Degerfors IF O/U 1.5Under won
- IFK Goteborg vs. Degerfors IF: O/U 1.5Over won
- IFK Goteborg vs. Degerfors IF: O/U 2.5Under won
- IFK Goteborg vs. Degerfors IF: O/U 3.5Under won
- IFK Goteborg vs. Degerfors IF: O/U 4.5Under won
- IFK Goteborg vs. Degerfors IF: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Degerfors IF (-1.5)IFK Goteborg won
- Spread: IFK Goteborg (-1.5)IFK Goteborg won
- Spread: IFK Goteborg (-2.5)Degerfors IF won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.