Other European Leagues · resolved market
Spread: IFK Goteborg (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd9767c197cf34e5ea303ea6a93b395ab40ce4ecc25905c492b69c1b7ae382d7b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- IFK Goteborgof IFK Goteborg, Degerfors IF
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,102
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,339
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,102 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb2ed…4418backed IFK Goteborg | 31c | 1,297$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$896.58 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | +2.9wins | +0.10per pick | 32cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked IFK Goteborg | 29c | 886.68$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$629.55 | 852 | 50.4%429 W · 423 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Degerfors IF | 69c | 831.64$574 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$573.83 | 1,711 | 48.3%827 W · 884 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Degerfors IF | 70c | 710.88$498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498.15 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddf4…2680backed Degerfors IF | 71c | 704.23$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x851b…961ebacked IFK Goteborg | 40c | 665.13$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$401.13 | 76 | 38.2%29 W · 47 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Degerfors IF | 55c | 444.44$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.44 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c46…ae13backed IFK Goteborg | 29c | 424.55$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.43 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +1.7wins | +0.17per pick | 23cpaid | +86.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Degerfors IF | 71c | 384.19$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.77 | 773 | 50.2%388 W · 385 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39e7…ceedbacked IFK Goteborg | 30c | 333.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.33 | 53 | 58.5%31 W · 22 L | +10.8wins | +0.20per pick | 38cpaid | +72.6%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Degerfors IF | 69c | 271$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.99 | 324 | 36.4%118 W · 206 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Degerfors IF | 19c | 149.99$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.5 | 715 | 33.8%242 W · 473 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x789c…0d10backed Degerfors IF | 71c | 138.58$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.08 | 214 | 54.2%116 W · 98 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Degerfors IF | 17c | 128$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.76 | 323 | 50.2%162 W · 161 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed IFK Goteborg | 28c | 85.01$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.21 | 1,467 | 48%704 W · 763 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf175…de7cbacked Degerfors IF | 71c | 48$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.08 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.38per pick | 63cpaid | -64.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Degerfors IF | 71c | 40$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.4 | 187 | 56.1%105 W · 82 L | +9.0wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd93…56c0backed IFK Goteborg | 76c | 36.66$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 107 | 70.1%75 W · 32 L | +19.6wins | +0.18per pick | 52cpaid | +38.3%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…f544backed Degerfors IF | 71c | 35.21$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 187 | 40.1%75 W · 112 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e50…c665backed IFK Goteborg | 30c | 33.67$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.57 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | +3.9wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Degerfors IF | 71c | 28.79$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.44 | 305 | 50.8%155 W · 150 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf121…6903backed IFK Goteborg | 60c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Degerfors IF | 71c | 19.48$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.83 | 275 | 54.9%151 W · 124 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Degerfors IF | 71c | 19.2$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.63 | 339 | 59%200 W · 139 L | +18.4wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: IFK Goteborg (-1.5)this page
- IFK Goteborg vs. Degerfors IF: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- IFK Goteborg vs. Degerfors IF: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- IFK Goteborg vs. Degerfors IF: Degerfors IF O/U 1.5Under won
- IFK Goteborg vs. Degerfors IF: O/U 1.5Over won
- IFK Goteborg vs. Degerfors IF: O/U 2.5Under won
- IFK Goteborg vs. Degerfors IF: O/U 3.5Under won
- IFK Goteborg vs. Degerfors IF: O/U 4.5Under won
- IFK Goteborg vs. Degerfors IF: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Degerfors IF (-1.5)IFK Goteborg won
- Spread: IFK Goteborg (-2.5)Degerfors IF won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.