Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will Samsunspor win on 2025-10-23?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf48e3abb202da2b771aa4a0cafeedd3dbf8281c33e7488e3c8df4f4fa15fff23
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,511
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,856
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,511 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd1ad…6ed7backed No | 55c | 3,219$1,755 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,754.96 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 47c | 2,687$1,254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,253.56 | 245 | 57.6%141 W · 104 L | +11.1wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4743…9a63backed Yes | 52c | 2,587$1,358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,229.12 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 64cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 18c | 1,621$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.72 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35a6…ab4dbacked Yes | 45c | 1,407$637 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$769.43 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4d5…5696backed Yes | 46c | 1,000$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.26per pick | 46cpaid | +74.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x03f7…c0ccbacked Yes | 46c | 800$366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$434 | 105 | 39%41 W · 64 L | -5.1wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 53c | 480$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.4 | 428 | 44.9%192 W · 236 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4caf…6de9backed Yes | 48c | 299.58$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.78 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4e1…ee5abacked Yes | 70c | 285.71$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.71 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -33%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x54fe…5850backed Yes | 46c | 271.1$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.39 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d2f…ef1abacked No | 55c | 231.82$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.3 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | -8.4wins | -0.30per pick | 55cpaid | -59.7%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked No | 10c | 199.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 274 | 37.2%102 W · 172 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d28…932abacked Yes | 44c | 160$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.6 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +3.3wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +40.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked No | 48c | 149.79$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.56 | 65 | 13.8%9 W · 56 L | -6.3wins | -0.10per pick | 23cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe8…0fedbacked No | 26c | 139.99$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.6 | 200 | 42%84 W · 116 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64ae…ead9backed Yes | 46c | 134.78$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.78 | 115 | 36.5%42 W · 73 L | -7.0wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd31c…dac9backed Yes | 47c | 132$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.96 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad28…770cbacked Yes | 71c | 120$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.8 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -4.9wins | -0.19per pick | 50cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc7…b90dbacked No | 36c | 110.92$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.83 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa09b…db3dbacked Yes | 46c | 100$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x23c3…bdf4backed Yes | 51c | 99.82$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.91 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -4.0wins | -0.15per pick | 50cpaid | -46.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbf82…d7f9backed Yes | 71c | 98.48$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.76 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xade8…b0bdbacked No | 51c | 81.69$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.89 | 41 | 65.9%27 W · 14 L | +3.8wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +36%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5351…9b3cbacked No | 55c | 70$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.5 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -3.4wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x602d…3534backed No | 36c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb1d…a925backed Yes | 49c | 30.61$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.61 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Samsunspor win on 2025-10-23?this page
- Will FK Dynamo Kyiv win on 2025-10-23?No won
- Will Samsunspor vs. FK Dynamo Kyiv end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.