Fifa International · resolved market
Mexico vs. England: Mexico O/U 4.5 Corners
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfa1e1549d7e8cdca15c5103b0708edf35eaba444566ac1e5a8a7c2c4a2a6f8e2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,255
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,950
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,255 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3999…f793backed Over | 33c | 1,518$506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,011.69 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked Under | 66c | 916$605 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$604.56 | 778 | 45%350 W · 428 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…77dcbacked Under | 4c | 847.71$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.07 | 141 | 34.8%49 W · 92 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x033f…618ebacked Over | 31c | 727$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500.23 | 657 | 37.4%246 W · 411 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed Under | 30c | 524.99$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.59 | 2,576 | 46.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L | +35.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4be6…b010backed Under | 72c | 446.38$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 358 | 48.6%174 W · 184 L | -8.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3c7…bf04backed Under | 65c | 377.39$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.3 | 87 | 58.6%51 W · 36 L | +6.0wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4d02…bfecbacked Under | 69c | 375.54$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.46 | 1,475 | 44.9%663 W · 812 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Over | 28c | 373.21$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.71 | 1,075 | 45.2%486 W · 589 L | +41.2wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Over | 35c | 321.19$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.77 | 2,439 | 29%707 W · 1,732 L | -65.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Over | 32c | 285.66$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.25 | 864 | 52.7%455 W · 409 L | +26.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8320…e302backed Over | 33c | 208.8$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.5 | 301 | 37.2%112 W · 189 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26eb…22d0backed Under | 69c | 174.93$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.46 | 291 | 54%157 W · 134 L | +21.1wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3396…2448backed Under | 68c | 160$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.8 | 77 | 46.8%36 W · 41 L | +4.7wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Under | 69c | 155.55$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.84 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa09b…db3dbacked Under | 71c | 100$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71 | 57 | 38.6%22 W · 35 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Under | 65c | 76.65$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.82 | 258 | 57.4%148 W · 110 L | +11.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56b2…b5c7backed Under | 68c | 73.53$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 84 | 52.4%44 W · 40 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62c4…0f96backed Under | 71c | 70.42$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 62 | 50%31 W · 31 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa54…a251backed Under | 72c | 66$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.52 | 216 | 54.6%118 W · 98 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdce0…2dafbacked Over | 34c | 55.88$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.88 | 169 | 25.4%43 W · 126 L | +7.0wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x87ce…212abacked Over | 31c | 55.26$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.13 | 63 | 17.5%11 W · 52 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fe2…d350backed Over | 39c | 51.79$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.79 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3de6…e560backed Over | 35c | 50.64$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.15 | 423 | 36.9%156 W · 267 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99d7…6435backed Under | 65c | 45$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.25 | 858 | 51.2%439 W · 419 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7de7…c06fbacked Over | 34c | 44.12$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.12 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +3.4wins | +0.14per pick | 38cpaid | +53.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ae…f36bbacked Under | 62c | 40$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.6 | 1,306 | 44.7%584 W · 722 L | -9.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cef…2c8dbacked Under | 66c | 38.84$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.63 | 434 | 60.4%262 W · 172 L | +33.5wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xeb94…6ef0backed Under | 71c | 32.39$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 168 | 61.3%103 W · 65 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5b…1578backed Under | 66c | 30.31$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 238 | 58%138 W · 100 L | +14.1wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa658…f93ebacked Under | 68c | 29.41$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 147 | 66%97 W · 50 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcf3…6968backed Under | 68c | 22.06$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 63 | 50.8%32 W · 31 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd604…cb5fbacked Under | 61c | 21.02$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.82 | 335 | 55.5%186 W · 149 L | +19.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe8f1…478bbacked Under | 70c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 129 | 48.8%63 W · 66 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00fc…0e07backed Under | 75c | 19.88$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +13%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd8e4…a9cfbacked Under | 67c | 17.76$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.99 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.33per pick | 53cpaid | -56.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1594…a834backed Over | 75c | 17.33$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.33 | 94 | 54.3%51 W · 43 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe559…c672backed Under | 68c | 15.44$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.16per pick | 61cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Mexico vs. England: Mexico O/U 4.5 Cornersthis page
- Mexico vs. England: 1st Half O/U 3.5 Total CornersOver won
- Mexico vs. England: 1st Half O/U 4.5 Total CornersOver won
- Mexico vs. England: 1st Half O/U 5.5 Total CornersOver won
- Mexico vs. England: 2nd Half O/U 3.5 Total CornersOver won
- Mexico vs. England: 2nd Half O/U 4.5 Total CornersOver won
- Mexico vs. England: 2nd Half O/U 5.5 Total CornersOver won
- Mexico vs. England: England O/U 3.5 CornersUnder won
- Mexico vs. England: England O/U 4.5 CornersUnder won
- Mexico vs. England: England O/U 5.5 CornersUnder won
- Mexico vs. England: Mexico O/U 2.5 CornersOver won
- Mexico vs. England: Mexico O/U 3.5 CornersOver won
- Mexico vs. England: O/U 10.5 Total CornersOver won
- Mexico vs. England: O/U 11.5 Total CornersOver won
- Mexico vs. England: O/U 12.5 Total CornersOver won
- Mexico vs. England: O/U 6.5 Total CornersOver won
- Mexico vs. England: O/U 7.5 Total CornersOver won
- Mexico vs. England: O/U 8.5 Total CornersOver won
- Mexico vs. England: O/U 9.5 Total CornersOver won
- Mexico vs. England: Team to Take First CornerEngland won
- Mexico vs. England: Total Corners Odd or Even?Even won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.