Fifa International · resolved market
Mexico vs. England: 1st Half O/U 4.5 Total Corners
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5aca58e320274edde13995df8063c2ba9060da75d578acc28cc49ca4d8d65d85
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,856
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,900
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,856 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4d02…bfecbacked Under | 58c | 1,642$955 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$954.79 | 1,475 | 44.9%663 W · 812 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7de3…d59bbacked Under | 59c | 1,050$618 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$617.74 | 1,206 | 50.2%606 W · 600 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8dee…412bbacked Over | 50c | 804.42$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$404.42 | 894 | 43.4%388 W · 506 L | +18.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b94…87d9backed Under | 59c | 641$377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$377 | 111 | 64.9%72 W · 39 L | +7.3wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked Over | 39c | 608.08$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370.93 | 617 | 50.6%312 W · 305 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Over | 41c | 514.99$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.85 | 864 | 52.7%455 W · 409 L | +26.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 44c | 451.91$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.17 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…c850backed Over | 45c | 441.61$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.61 | 301 | 40.5%122 W · 179 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3bdc…3a4ebacked Under | 57c | 358$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.06 | 152 | 46.7%71 W · 81 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3cb…ac21backed Over | 41c | 330.54$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.02 | 131 | 51.1%67 W · 64 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked Under | 54c | 281.14$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.82 | 778 | 45%350 W · 428 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0f9…4259backed Over | 40c | 250$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 53 | 30.2%16 W · 37 L | -4.4wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 50c | 250$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 51c | 249.04$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.36 | 2,411 | 53%1,278 W · 1,133 L | +75.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b9…9772backed Over | 60c | 244.59$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.27 | 58 | 55.2%32 W · 26 L | +4.1wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x23d6…e7acbacked Over | 43c | 232.76$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.89 | 97 | 17.5%17 W · 80 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9516…0bcbbacked Over | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.22 | 562 | 40.6%228 W · 334 L | -11.6wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf27…8f82backed Over | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.22 | 43 | 27.9%12 W · 31 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | +92.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94f1…55e5backed Under | 53c | 173.38$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.89 | 48 | 37.5%18 W · 30 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86c8…c867backed Under | 56c | 170.7$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.52 | 154 | 59.7%92 W · 62 L | +20.0wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0e3d…85abbacked Over | 40c | 159.89$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.18 | 364 | 48.6%177 W · 187 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6d3…71cfbacked Under | 59c | 149.99$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.49 | 119 | 39.5%47 W · 72 L | -9.9wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x38c4…7c65backed Over | 40c | 148$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.8 | 241 | 48.1%116 W · 125 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed Over | 51c | 135.71$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.11 | 2,576 | 46.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L | +35.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc337…5984backed Over | 38c | 131.58$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.58 | 196 | 18.4%36 W · 160 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d83…c000backed Over | 41c | 121.95$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.95 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | -3.2wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -22%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb116…c4e1backed Over | 41c | 119.51$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.51 | 149 | 53%79 W · 70 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bf4…3d38backed Over | 43c | 116.28$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.28 | 48 | 14.6%7 W · 41 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 18cpaid | -46.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8812…c41abacked Under | 59c | 109.49$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.51 | 452 | 54.6%247 W · 205 L | +13.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa882…e517backed Over | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.17 | 164 | 42.1%69 W · 95 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1fd6…d4a0backed Over | 35c | 100$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | +4.4wins | +0.11per pick | 37cpaid | +41.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…83adbacked Under | 36c | 100$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.8 | 50 | 72%36 W · 14 L | +9.0wins | +0.18per pick | 54cpaid | +42.5%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 50c | 89.56$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.78 | 2,380 | 53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L | +76.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 65c | 75$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.75 | 2,796 | 56.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L | -9.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1897…2a42backed Over | 42c | 71.43$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.43 | 404 | 35.6%144 W · 260 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…00d5backed Under | 41c | 70.24$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.7 | 64 | 62.5%40 W · 24 L | +7.2wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd31c…7424backed Under | 61c | 70$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.7 | 300 | 60%180 W · 120 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf88…3ed6backed Over | 65c | 69.99$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.43 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54fb…e7f3backed Over | 47c | 63.83$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.83 | 105 | 33.3%35 W · 70 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9991…36b8backed Under | 43c | 62.33$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.55 | 192 | 57.8%111 W · 81 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2,453 | 34.7%850 W · 1,603 L | +84.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5949…5fc4backed Over | 40c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | +5.1wins | +0.10per pick | 41cpaid | +42.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4ecf…75d2backed Under | 55c | 49.99$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 123 | 40.7%50 W · 73 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6216…1bd4backed Over | 43c | 40$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.8 | 237 | 41.8%99 W · 138 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce74…e6ecbacked Under | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 280 | 55%154 W · 126 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00fd…32a0backed Over | 73c | 28.45$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.77 | 72 | 36.1%26 W · 46 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +152%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc730…c568backed Over | 42c | 27.14$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.74 | 660 | 56.8%375 W · 285 L | +34.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Over | 40c | 27.1$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.26 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cfd…dfe7backed Under | 56c | 24.75$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.93 | 218 | 58.7%128 W · 90 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf80…9163backed Under | 58c | 21.55$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 44 | 61.4%27 W · 17 L | +4.7wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x76d2…99a6backed Over | 65c | 16.66$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.77 | 72 | 26.4%19 W · 53 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x400c…38d3backed Under | 63c | 16$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | -2.4wins | -0.10per pick | 64cpaid | -18%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa34d…b57fbacked Over | 70c | 14.87$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.52 | 198 | 62.1%123 W · 75 L | +8.7wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Mexico vs. England: 1st Half O/U 4.5 Total Cornersthis page
- Mexico vs. England: 1st Half O/U 3.5 Total CornersOver won
- Mexico vs. England: 1st Half O/U 5.5 Total CornersOver won
- Mexico vs. England: 2nd Half O/U 3.5 Total CornersOver won
- Mexico vs. England: 2nd Half O/U 4.5 Total CornersOver won
- Mexico vs. England: 2nd Half O/U 5.5 Total CornersOver won
- Mexico vs. England: England O/U 3.5 CornersUnder won
- Mexico vs. England: England O/U 4.5 CornersUnder won
- Mexico vs. England: England O/U 5.5 CornersUnder won
- Mexico vs. England: Mexico O/U 2.5 CornersOver won
- Mexico vs. England: Mexico O/U 3.5 CornersOver won
- Mexico vs. England: Mexico O/U 4.5 CornersOver won
- Mexico vs. England: O/U 10.5 Total CornersOver won
- Mexico vs. England: O/U 11.5 Total CornersOver won
- Mexico vs. England: O/U 12.5 Total CornersOver won
- Mexico vs. England: O/U 6.5 Total CornersOver won
- Mexico vs. England: O/U 7.5 Total CornersOver won
- Mexico vs. England: O/U 8.5 Total CornersOver won
- Mexico vs. England: O/U 9.5 Total CornersOver won
- Mexico vs. England: Team to Take First CornerEngland won
- Mexico vs. England: Total Corners Odd or Even?Even won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.