Fifa International · resolved market
Mexico vs. England: Mexico O/U 2.5 Corners
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe2c71dc19321cdae3a9bb135f2c80f69071586bc63692db5852a27cc1c5ddb5b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,794
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,556
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,794 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x42b7…77dcbacked Under | 26c | 649.96$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.99 | 141 | 34.8%49 W · 92 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb502…9d8bbacked Over | 72c | 543.75$393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.75 | 239 | 51.9%124 W · 115 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f20…186bbacked Over | 71c | 352.11$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.11 | 124 | 17.7%22 W · 102 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Under | 30c | 295.79$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.74 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd604…cb5fbacked Under | 25c | 294.53$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.63 | 335 | 55.5%186 W · 149 L | +19.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x033f…618ebacked Over | 68c | 227$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.64 | 657 | 37.4%246 W · 411 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked Under | 27c | 196.85$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.15 | 778 | 45%350 W · 428 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x958d…3501backed Over | 70c | 187.73$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.74 | 403 | 55.3%223 W · 180 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe92…082dbacked Over | 75c | 177.89$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.47 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 67cpaid | +30%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d02…bfecbacked Under | 30c | 176.15$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.92 | 1,475 | 44.9%663 W · 812 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed Under | 32c | 166.5$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.62 | 2,576 | 46.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L | +35.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecd3…8289backed Over | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.25 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -3.6wins | -0.12per pick | 64cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x89a7…3610backed Over | 71c | 140.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.85 | 113 | 51.3%58 W · 55 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 29c | 102$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.58 | 2,805 | 55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L | +70.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd5e…7131backed Under | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 31c | 85$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.6 | 2,796 | 56.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L | -9.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x62c4…0f96backed Under | 32c | 78.13$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 62 | 50%31 W · 31 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ea1…709fbacked Over | 75c | 60$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 35 | 68.6%24 W · 11 L | +3.8wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcfd6…415abacked Over | 75c | 52.64$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.16 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -2.2wins | -0.10per pick | 58cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2843…b3d2backed Over | 71c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 210 | 58.1%122 W · 88 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf8d…0de5backed Over | 71c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 60 | 46.7%28 W · 32 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x337a…8f18backed Over | 71c | 41.89$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.15 | 60 | 43.3%26 W · 34 L | -3.9wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa03e…727abacked Under | 31c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 231 | 45.9%106 W · 125 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27b5…9650backed Over | 73c | 27.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8320…e302backed Over | 69c | 23$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.13 | 301 | 37.2%112 W · 189 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3561…f1b7backed Over | 71c | 15.2$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.41 | 950 | 37.5%356 W · 594 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Mexico vs. England: Mexico O/U 2.5 Cornersthis page
- Mexico vs. England: 1st Half O/U 3.5 Total CornersOver won
- Mexico vs. England: 1st Half O/U 4.5 Total CornersOver won
- Mexico vs. England: 1st Half O/U 5.5 Total CornersOver won
- Mexico vs. England: 2nd Half O/U 3.5 Total CornersOver won
- Mexico vs. England: 2nd Half O/U 4.5 Total CornersOver won
- Mexico vs. England: 2nd Half O/U 5.5 Total CornersOver won
- Mexico vs. England: England O/U 3.5 CornersUnder won
- Mexico vs. England: England O/U 4.5 CornersUnder won
- Mexico vs. England: England O/U 5.5 CornersUnder won
- Mexico vs. England: Mexico O/U 3.5 CornersOver won
- Mexico vs. England: Mexico O/U 4.5 CornersOver won
- Mexico vs. England: O/U 10.5 Total CornersOver won
- Mexico vs. England: O/U 11.5 Total CornersOver won
- Mexico vs. England: O/U 12.5 Total CornersOver won
- Mexico vs. England: O/U 6.5 Total CornersOver won
- Mexico vs. England: O/U 7.5 Total CornersOver won
- Mexico vs. England: O/U 8.5 Total CornersOver won
- Mexico vs. England: O/U 9.5 Total CornersOver won
- Mexico vs. England: Team to Take First CornerEngland won
- Mexico vs. England: Total Corners Odd or Even?Even won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.