Fifa International · resolved market
Mexico vs. England: 2nd Half O/U 3.5 Total Corners
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x26741c9065bf237a2fd487ef5b93031aab4304c7978d2c939c0bd3e9553b41a2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,084
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,298
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,084 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 15 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x329d…5a92backed Under | 23c | 659.11$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.92 | 2,576 | 46.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L | +35.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 76c | 398.18$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.15 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecd3…8289backed Over | 78c | 386.75$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.75 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -3.6wins | -0.12per pick | 64cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Under | 25c | 354.22$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.56 | 1,075 | 45.2%486 W · 589 L | +41.2wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf348…e543backed Under | 20c | 341.97$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.28 | 401 | 63.3%254 W · 147 L | +57.7wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xa278…3369backed Over | 79c | 239$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.72 | 1,111 | 24.3%270 W · 841 L | -32.2wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d35…29d6backed Over | 80c | 151.25$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.25 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +2.6wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb988…1297backed Over | 74c | 66.55$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.3 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66ee…c9cdbacked Under | 31c | 54.76$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.15 | 88 | 58%51 W · 37 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe56…093dbacked Over | 74c | 54.24$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.24 | 50 | 56%28 W · 22 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2843…b3d2backed Over | 79c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 210 | 58.1%122 W · 88 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1594…a834backed Over | 79c | 46.65$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 94 | 54.3%51 W · 43 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71ef…c362backed Over | 74c | 27.03$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.03 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x452c…340fbacked Over | 75c | 26.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 30 | 66.7%20 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x752e…ff0dbacked Over | 79c | 19.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.05 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Mexico vs. England: 2nd Half O/U 3.5 Total Cornersthis page
- Mexico vs. England: 1st Half O/U 3.5 Total CornersOver won
- Mexico vs. England: 1st Half O/U 4.5 Total CornersOver won
- Mexico vs. England: 1st Half O/U 5.5 Total CornersOver won
- Mexico vs. England: 2nd Half O/U 4.5 Total CornersOver won
- Mexico vs. England: 2nd Half O/U 5.5 Total CornersOver won
- Mexico vs. England: England O/U 3.5 CornersUnder won
- Mexico vs. England: England O/U 4.5 CornersUnder won
- Mexico vs. England: England O/U 5.5 CornersUnder won
- Mexico vs. England: Mexico O/U 2.5 CornersOver won
- Mexico vs. England: Mexico O/U 3.5 CornersOver won
- Mexico vs. England: Mexico O/U 4.5 CornersOver won
- Mexico vs. England: O/U 10.5 Total CornersOver won
- Mexico vs. England: O/U 11.5 Total CornersOver won
- Mexico vs. England: O/U 12.5 Total CornersOver won
- Mexico vs. England: O/U 6.5 Total CornersOver won
- Mexico vs. England: O/U 7.5 Total CornersOver won
- Mexico vs. England: O/U 8.5 Total CornersOver won
- Mexico vs. England: O/U 9.5 Total CornersOver won
- Mexico vs. England: Team to Take First CornerEngland won
- Mexico vs. England: Total Corners Odd or Even?Even won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.