Lionel Messi: 2+ goals

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x178faf5a2975f525fa65bf7f897771873dac75e4833a0a79b0c7891ad7a41726

Rebuilt 15 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Jul 15, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $302,700
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $313,199

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $302,700 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 86 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x85bb…9adabacked Yes	10c	59,389$6,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,000	324	29.9%97 W · 227 L	+10.4wins	+0.03per pick	27cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9caf…94dcbacked Yes	9c	50,408$4,736 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,736.17	94	40.4%38 W · 56 L	-1.0wins	-0.01per pick	42cpaid	-16.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b6e…f544backed Yes	7c	30,000$2,085 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,085	138	11.6%16 W · 122 L	-1.5wins	-0.01per pick	13cpaid	-28.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x37f4…49afbacked Yes	10c	10,000$960 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$960	190	37.4%71 W · 119 L	+1.5wins	+0.01per pick	37cpaid	+31.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x18e6…d83dbacked Yes	9c	10,000$870 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$870	126	16.7%21 W · 105 L	-12.6wins	-0.10per pick	27cpaid	-53.2%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes	9c	5,768$511 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$511.36	8,614	29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L	-166.6wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7f69…f76dbacked Yes	9c	5,319$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	51	21.6%11 W · 40 L	-2.1wins	-0.04per pick	26cpaid	+3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1fc9…c4b9backed Yes	9c	5,319$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	4	25%1 W · 3 L	+0.1wins	+0.03per pick	22cpaid	+8.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2a58…b808backed Yes	9c	2,836$261 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$260.9	228	35.5%81 W · 147 L	+2.8wins	+0.01per pick	34cpaid	-10.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Yes	9c	2,817$251 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$250.92	757	29.3%222 W · 535 L	-23.2wins	-0.03per pick	32cpaid	-27.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa278…3369backed Yes	5c	2,482$115 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$114.63	1,111	24.3%270 W · 841 L	-32.2wins	-0.03per pick	27cpaid	-23.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0459…437fbacked Yes	9c	2,299$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	76	27.6%21 W · 55 L	-4.1wins	-0.05per pick	33cpaid	-24.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0f21…3d6ebacked Yes	10c	2,096$204 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$203.67	302	20.2%61 W · 241 L	-15.6wins	-0.05per pick	25cpaid	-17.8%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x429d…141cbacked Yes	10c	2,047$199 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$198.56	6	0%0 W · 6 L	-0.9wins	-0.16per pick	16cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfd66…fb6dbacked Yes	9c	2,000$186 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$186	454	21.4%97 W · 357 L	-10.1wins	-0.02per pick	24cpaid	-17.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Yes	7c	1,877$138 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$138.33	1,686	20.6%347 W · 1,339 L	-28.4wins	-0.02per pick	22cpaid	-16.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfbf3…b218backed Yes	10c	1,520$147 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$147.42	154	41.6%64 W · 90 L	+12.7wins	+0.08per pick	33cpaid	+23.9%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8760…a2c6backed Yes	10c	1,227$119 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$119.01	114	21.1%24 W · 90 L	-6.1wins	-0.05per pick	26cpaid	-24.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7d7b…f9f9backed Yes	9c	1,149$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	13	53.8%7 W · 6 L	+1.4wins	+0.11per pick	43cpaid	+15.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x62c9…7304backed Yes	9c	1,111$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	89	13.5%12 W · 77 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	-46.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2cf3…ae6fbacked Yes	9c	1,052$99 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$98.86	57	10.5%6 W · 51 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	12cpaid	-36.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9067…8cf5backed Yes	10c	1,031$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	71	35.2%25 W · 46 L	+2.2wins	+0.03per pick	32cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6daa…954abacked Yes	9c	1,002$95 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$95.23	124	28.2%35 W · 89 L	-2.6wins	-0.02per pick	30cpaid	-25.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6cd5…f2cfbacked Yes	10c	999.98$96 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$96	19	42.1%8 W · 11 L	+1.0wins	+0.05per pick	37cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x33a0…5b6fbacked Yes	9c	945.11$85 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$85.06	26	46.2%12 W · 14 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-10%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbc82…5af0backed Yes	11c	925.93$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	309	28.8%89 W · 220 L	+5.5wins	+0.02per pick	27cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Yes	6c	826.48$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47.25	2,171	38.2%829 W · 1,342 L	-36.7wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes	10c	801.94$78 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$78.48	3,213	47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L	-7.5wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8a7e…dd3cbacked Yes	8c	801.11$61 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$61.31	153	25.5%39 W · 114 L	-4.5wins	-0.03per pick	28cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x494e…d3dbbacked Yes	10c	799.98$77 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$76.8	389	24.4%95 W · 294 L	+7.0wins	+0.02per pick	23cpaid	+11.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x425b…18f1backed Yes	10c	752.58$73 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$73	33	12.1%4 W · 29 L	-5.1wins	-0.15per pick	27cpaid	-52.9%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x0e34…625dbacked Yes	8c	750.95$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60.29	77	14.3%11 W · 66 L	-4.8wins	-0.06per pick	20cpaid	-29.7%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4f1d…8de2backed Yes	10c	734.72$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$69.91	1,135	40.2%456 W · 679 L	+5.2wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	-6.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd402…848ebacked Yes	10c	691.49$67 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$67.34	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	-1.1wins	-0.16per pick	31cpaid	-64.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xca0e…64f7backed Yes	9c	649.56$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	103	19.4%20 W · 83 L	-5.2wins	-0.05per pick	24cpaid	-45.8%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3abc…98f6backed Yes	9c	607.01$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52.81	9	44.4%4 W · 5 L	+0.3wins	+0.04per pick	41cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0273…1867backed Yes	9c	565.52$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.2	193	17.1%33 W · 160 L	-7.0wins	-0.04per pick	21cpaid	-14.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2612…e233backed Yes	9c	550$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.5	10	0%0 W · 10 L	-1.3wins	-0.13per pick	13cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x47c5…46c3backed Yes	9c	537.63$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	193	29%56 W · 137 L	-5.6wins	-0.03per pick	32cpaid	-12.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x633e…d305backed Yes	9c	535.24$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.51	383	29.8%114 W · 269 L	-9.5wins	-0.02per pick	32cpaid	-23.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xec5b…aff2backed Yes	9c	526.32$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	29	41.4%12 W · 17 L	-0.7wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-8.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf009…19e9backed Yes	10c	515.46$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	438	19.2%84 W · 354 L	-3.0wins	-0.01per pick	20cpaid	-7.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x914d…41cabacked Yes	10c	515.46$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	10	0%0 W · 10 L	-1.1wins	-0.11per pick	11cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3de6…e560backed Yes	9c	508.56$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.89	423	36.9%156 W · 267 L	-5.7wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-20.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa09b…db3dbacked Yes	11c	500$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53	57	38.6%22 W · 35 L	+3.5wins	+0.06per pick	32cpaid	+42.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2be6…e054backed Yes	4c	481.12$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.66	39	30.8%12 W · 27 L	+2.9wins	+0.07per pick	23cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x44f9…992abacked Yes	9c	478.72$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45	33	15.2%5 W · 28 L	-3.0wins	-0.09per pick	24cpaid	-60.1%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xaea4…106ebacked Yes	11c	471.7$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	174	36.2%63 W · 111 L	-3.3wins	-0.02per pick	38cpaid	-17.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd12d…4e1ebacked Yes	9c	454.55$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	12	16.7%2 W · 10 L	+0.4wins	+0.03per pick	14cpaid	+27.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa187…a526backed Yes	9c	453.83$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.66	19	31.6%6 W · 13 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	33cpaid	-33.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa6a5…d3b0backed Yes	9c	444.44$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	13	38.5%5 W · 8 L	+2.7wins	+0.21per pick	18cpaid	+112.9%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9c5e…2ea3backed Yes	6c	410$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.42	5	20%1 W · 4 L	+0.6wins	+0.13per pick	7cpaid	+185.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x51c7…17e4backed Yes	8c	360.9$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	62	27.4%17 W · 45 L	+4.9wins	+0.08per pick	19cpaid	+93.2%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1198…6cf5backed Yes	6c	313.37$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-1.1wins	-0.27per pick	27cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x60a7…4a91backed Yes	5c	312.5$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	105	18.1%19 W · 86 L	-7.8wins	-0.07per pick	26cpaid	-26.2%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x786d…b89bbacked Yes	10c	309.28$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	522	17.4%91 W · 431 L	-11.1wins	-0.02per pick	20cpaid	-19%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1501…783fbacked Yes	5c	300$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	48	37.5%18 W · 30 L	+4.6wins	+0.10per pick	28cpaid	+71.6%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc73a…ba42backed Yes	5c	271.91$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.04	108	40.7%44 W · 64 L	-0.9wins	-0.01per pick	42cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0bb9…76bcbacked Yes	9c	265.96$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	-0.3wins	-0.04per pick	19cpaid	-61.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2814…b0ccbacked Yes	10c	257.73$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	177	38.4%68 W · 109 L	+2.2wins	+0.01per pick	37cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8271…1b26backed Yes	10c	257.73$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	28	32.1%9 W · 19 L	+2.1wins	+0.07per pick	25cpaid	+17.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9fe6…8839backed Yes	10c	257.73$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	29	20.7%6 W · 23 L	-0.9wins	-0.03per pick	24cpaid	+9.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3e3c…971fbacked Yes	8c	256.41$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	11	18.2%2 W · 9 L	+0.2wins	+0.02per pick	16cpaid	-24.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbdb9…2593backed Yes	8c	253.66$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.8	13	15.4%2 W · 11 L	-3.1wins	-0.24per pick	39cpaid	-75.7%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2a51…9c22backed Yes	8c	243.9$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	48	52.1%25 W · 23 L	+2.5wins	+0.05per pick	47cpaid	+32.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe562…4fa9backed Yes	9c	210.53$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	293	38.2%112 W · 181 L	+9.0wins	+0.03per pick	35cpaid	+5.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaf90…bb4fbacked Yes	10c	206.19$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	45	48.9%22 W · 23 L	+1.0wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	+7.2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0ff2…5b93backed Yes	8c	200$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.4	63	41.3%26 W · 37 L	+5.9wins	+0.09per pick	32cpaid	+18.8%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x7509…1cd2backed Yes	10c	200$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.4	74	18.9%14 W · 60 L	-3.6wins	-0.05per pick	24cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0671…6071backed Yes	10c	191.55$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.58	20	15%3 W · 17 L	-2.8wins	-0.14per pick	29cpaid	-55.6%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x46f8…68ccbacked Yes	9c	188.02$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.49	1,240	43.7%542 W · 698 L	+13.2wins	+0.01per pick	43cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x55b1…a258backed Yes	8c	187.5$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	75	18.7%14 W · 61 L	-0.9wins	-0.01per pick	20cpaid	+7.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Yes	10c	186.26$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.15	3,077	47%1,447 W · 1,630 L	-11.5wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa83b…0e4abacked Yes	8c	180.72$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	47	46.8%22 W · 25 L	+4.4wins	+0.09per pick	38cpaid	+16.3%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4498…078dbacked Yes	9c	172.41$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	37	16.2%6 W · 31 L	-2.5wins	-0.07per pick	23cpaid	-57.2%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdbd0…edc4backed Yes	8c	171.27$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13	25	24%6 W · 19 L	-0.6wins	-0.03per pick	27cpaid	-22.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc6c5…6f9cbacked Yes	12c	166.92$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	130	21.5%28 W · 102 L	-1.0wins	-0.01per pick	22cpaid	-21.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b04…f6bbbacked Yes	9c	133.33$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	22	9.1%2 W · 20 L	-2.9wins	-0.13per pick	22cpaid	-63.7%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8cb1…65a4backed Yes	8c	132.53$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	24	41.7%10 W · 14 L	+1.9wins	+0.08per pick	34cpaid	+36.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6fb3…2d0ebacked Yes	8c	125$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	89	36%32 W · 57 L	-5.8wins	-0.07per pick	42cpaid	-32.2%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x91ff…8f40backed Yes	9c	122.22$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	33	30.3%10 W · 23 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	30cpaid	-35.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4f65…a0adbacked Yes	9c	120$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.16	239	50.2%120 W · 119 L	+6.7wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+3.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xefdb…3312backed Yes	9c	117.02$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	103	29.1%30 W · 73 L	+1.1wins	+0.01per pick	28cpaid	-9.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3404…10d2backed Yes	9c	114.9$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.91	1,293	53.6%693 W · 600 L	+12.3wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb763…f2ecbacked Yes	10c	110.82$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.75	17	29.4%5 W · 12 L	-1.0wins	-0.06per pick	35cpaid	-26.2%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9c35…fb29backed Yes	10c	99.99$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.1	33	12.1%4 W · 29 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	12cpaid	-31.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 93. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Lionel Messi: 2+ goalsthis page
Alexis Mac Allister: 1+ shotsYes won
Alexis Mac Allister: 2+ shotsYes won
Alexis Mac Allister: 2+ shots on targetNo won
Anthony Gordon: 1+ assistsNo won
Anthony Gordon: 1+ goalsYes won
Anthony Gordon: 1+ shotsYes won
Anthony Gordon: 2+ shotsNo won
Bukayo Saka: 1+ assistsNo won
Bukayo Saka: 1+ goalsNo won
Bukayo Saka: 1+ shotsNo won
Bukayo Saka: 2+ goalsNo won
Bukayo Saka: 2+ shotsNo won
Bukayo Saka: 3+ shotsNo won
Bukayo Saka: 3+ shots on targetNo won
Bukayo Saka: 4+ shotsNo won
Declan Rice: 1+ assistsNo won
Declan Rice: 1+ goalsNo won
Declan Rice: 1+ shotsYes won
Declan Rice: 2+ goalsNo won
Declan Rice: 2+ shotsNo won
Eberechi Eze: 1+ goalsNo won
Eberechi Eze: 2+ goalsNo won
Elliot Anderson: 2+ shotsNo won
Enzo Fernández: 1+ assistsNo won
Enzo Fernández: 1+ goalsYes won
Enzo Fernández: 1+ shotsYes won
Enzo Fernández: 2+ shotsYes won
Enzo Fernández: 3+ shotsYes won
Exequiel Palacios: 1+ goalsNo won
Giovani Lo Celso: 1+ goalsNo won
Giovani Lo Celso: 2+ goalsNo won
Giuliano Simeone: 1+ assistsNo won
Giuliano Simeone: 1+ goalsNo won
Giuliano Simeone: 1+ goals + assistsNo won
Giuliano Simeone: 2+ goalsNo won
Harry Kane: 1+ assistsNo won
Harry Kane: 1+ goalsNo won
Harry Kane: 1+ shotsYes won
Harry Kane: 2+ assistsNo won
Harry Kane: 2+ goalsNo won
Harry Kane: 2+ shotsNo won
Harry Kane: 3+ goalsNo won
Harry Kane: 3+ shotsNo won
Harry Kane: 4+ shotsNo won
Jordan Pickford: 4+ savesNo won
Jordan Pickford: 5+ savesNo won
Jude Bellingham: 1+ assistsNo won
Jude Bellingham: 1+ goalsNo won
Jude Bellingham: 1+ shotsNo won
Jude Bellingham: 2+ assistsNo won
Jude Bellingham: 2+ goalsNo won
Jude Bellingham: 2+ shotsNo won
Jude Bellingham: 3+ goalsNo won
Jude Bellingham: 3+ shotsNo won
Jude Bellingham: 4+ shotsNo won
Julián Álvarez: 1+ assistsNo won
Julián Álvarez: 1+ goalsNo won
Julián Álvarez: 1+ goals + assistsNo won
Julián Álvarez: 1+ shotsYes won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Lionel Messi: 2+ goals

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event