Asian League · resolved market
Will Shanghai Haigang FC win on 2025-10-26?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x73d70158c315b83baf670c24c0138a67d20d00842c8f57f8828e6b1484eb16ca
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,414
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,987
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,414 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 56c | 3,541$1,981 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,560.05 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 52c | 2,036$1,063 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$973.08 | 170 | 56.5%96 W · 74 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 37c | 1,424$523 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$523.15 | 623 | 49.1%306 W · 317 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56c6…f706backed No | 62c | 1,200$748 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$452.11 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb1fe…9974backed Yes | 35c | 997.38$349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.08 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4243…35d1backed Yes | 57c | 977.61$554 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$554.33 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -3.2wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x23de…05c1backed Yes | 44c | 938.1$413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$413.27 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.20per pick | 42cpaid | -56.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6775…17efbacked Yes | 36c | 834.66$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.3wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4132…a5a5backed Yes | 44c | 677.5$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.75 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xade8…b0bdbacked No | 61c | 456.49$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.72 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +3.6wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9f…578abacked Yes | 11c | 440.92$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9494…308abacked Yes | 55c | 363.64$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0727…ec27backed Yes | 55c | 359.52$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68d6…cfb9backed Yes | 56c | 357.14$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.9wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x35e8…0596backed Yes | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd47…8277backed Yes | 51c | 202.43$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.73 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6de…95e8backed No | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x151f…807dbacked No | 68c | 200$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +73.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe49c…773ebacked Yes | 36c | 200$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Yes | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x106b…4e8bbacked Yes | 50c | 149.06$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.53 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -2.3wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…959bbacked Yes | 56c | 134.27$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.19 | 125 | 35.2%44 W · 81 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Yes | 39c | 111$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.44 | 100 | 39%39 W · 61 L | -8.6wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -18%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5b9e…40a5backed Yes | 52c | 105.77$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.14per pick | 58cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf67b…4a7abacked No | 53c | 97.23$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.7 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbcb1…6240backed Yes | 42c | 59.52$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 42cpaid | -51.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf672…c3c4backed No | 64c | 54.69$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.69 | 82 | 41.5%34 W · 48 L | -6.1wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc7b6…cfe5backed Yes | 55c | 40.2$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.06 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6cb6…ac6abacked Yes | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.32per pick | 52cpaid | -70.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked Yes | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 84 | 57.1%48 W · 36 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb41c…ab82backed Yes | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.32per pick | 57cpaid | -65.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 60c | 32.12$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.95 | 794 | 35.1%279 W · 515 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a73…c637backed No | 71c | 28.17$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.17 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa70d…f7b8backed Yes | 56c | 26.79$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Shanghai Haigang FC win on 2025-10-26?this page
- Will Shandong Taishan FC vs. Shanghai Haigang FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Shandong Taishan FC win on 2025-10-26?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.