Ligue 1 · resolved market
Spread: Lille OSC (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6cf611afdb146fd7910d7fc33d6f32f73066471b7c3cb9701cff7dabc44dc91e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Angers SCOof Lille OSC, Angers SCO
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,550
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,822
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,550 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 17 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd0b4…fed6backed Lille OSC | 45c | 18,351$8,168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,168 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Angers SCO | 56c | 8,985$5,024 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,961.49 | 215 | 60%129 W · 86 L | +15.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Angers SCO | 55c | 6,261$3,433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,827.97 | 1,916 | 45.5%872 W · 1,044 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Angers SCO | 54c | 2,595$1,397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,197.64 | 84 | 47.6%40 W · 44 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Angers SCO | 57c | 906.29$516 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390.5 | 231 | 51.5%119 W · 112 L | +10.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x35e8…0596backed Angers SCO | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.16 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.28per pick | 44cpaid | -67.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Lille OSC | 49c | 309.44$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.63 | 123 | 39.8%49 W · 74 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0cc5…ee5abacked Lille OSC | 48c | 208.66$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 46 | 30.4%14 W · 32 L | -4.2wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7272…7135backed Lille OSC | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.14per pick | 44cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8059…c043backed Lille OSC | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -4.3wins | -0.16per pick | 53cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe6ee…b3aabacked Angers SCO | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked Lille OSC | 49c | 171.99$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.58 | 103 | 48.5%50 W · 53 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9b…e74abacked Angers SCO | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.29 | 66 | 48.5%32 W · 34 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c84…1093backed Angers SCO | 67c | 86.85$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.66 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34da…367fbacked Angers SCO | 49c | 34.61$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.65 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18c9…66b0backed Lille OSC | 51c | 34.61$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x196b…046ebacked Angers SCO | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -2.1wins | -0.26per pick | 64cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Lille OSC (-1.5)this page
- Lille OSC vs. Angers SCO: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.