Ligue 1 · resolved market
Lille OSC vs. Angers SCO: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd4dbb35fa5ec5d7cfd4ac54b7944137ba78503434847c961c78a8e15e5659e98
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,018
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $35,872
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,018 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xae0f…f647backed Under | 52c | 9,999$5,198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,801.42 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +121.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 49c | 9,543$4,694 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,693.77 | 1,916 | 45.5%872 W · 1,044 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Under | 44c | 765.93$338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$427.43 | 215 | 60%129 W · 86 L | +15.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Over | 56c | 700$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390 | 84 | 44%37 W · 47 L | -5.6wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Under | 43c | 506.33$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.68 | 123 | 39.8%49 W · 74 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68d6…cfb9backed Over | 60c | 498.03$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -3.1wins | -0.31per pick | 51cpaid | -53.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked Under | 43c | 437.72$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.4 | 103 | 48.5%50 W · 53 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc7…b90dbacked Over | 51c | 376.73$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.13 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | +6.7wins | +0.19per pick | 41cpaid | +44.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x35e8…0596backed Over | 60c | 333.33$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.28per pick | 44cpaid | -67.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Under | 46c | 300$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162 | 71 | 46.5%33 W · 38 L | +5.3wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x553b…f71cbacked Under | 40c | 150$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d75…8e95backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1677…1126backed Over | 55c | 88$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.35 | 120 | 50.8%61 W · 59 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Under | 43c | 75$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.75 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | +5.3wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd483…9231backed Over | 60c | 68.83$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under | 44c | 65.19$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.2 | 190 | 55.8%106 W · 84 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc32e…203dbacked Over | 56c | 44.64$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.38per pick | 63cpaid | -64.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb052…7adabacked Over | 58c | 40$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.2 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…a78fbacked Over | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc383…a540backed Under | 48c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.65 | 84 | 60.7%51 W · 33 L | +8.9wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Over | 56c | 22.73$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.73 | 91 | 40.7%37 W · 54 L | -6.4wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Lille OSC vs. Angers SCO: O/U 2.5this page
- Spread: Lille OSC (-1.5)Angers SCO won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.