Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will FC Groningen win on 2025-11-02?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6f7936423cc300b48e755957f6ae30d52aa9bd11807dd37a2608bbc38014c629
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $28,489
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,957
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,489 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 67c | 16,357$10,880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,477.3 | 464 | 54.3%252 W · 212 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c73…257cbacked Yes | 33c | 16,229$5,415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,414.52 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3859…3070backed Yes | 24c | 4,000$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960 | 66 | 47%31 W · 35 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked No | 65c | 2,636$1,712 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$924.1 | 293 | 57.3%168 W · 125 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…bb65backed No | 76c | 2,179$1,654 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$525.38 | 133 | 47.4%63 W · 70 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 74c | 2,115$1,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$555.4 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 68c | 1,306$884 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$422.26 | 490 | 46.9%230 W · 260 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 33c | 617$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.06 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x700f…62d8backed Yes | 39c | 513.48$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 59 | 50.8%30 W · 29 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cd2…f9a6backed Yes | 24c | 416.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x834b…1fa7backed Yes | 35c | 335.87$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -2.3wins | -0.18per pick | 41cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x35e8…0596backed Yes | 32c | 312.5$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 42cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Yes | 32c | 300$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 56 | 39.3%22 W · 34 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc41b…4fdfbacked Yes | 39c | 259.11$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.27per pick | 53cpaid | +43.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 36c | 229.06$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.53 | 1,159 | 60.7%703 W · 456 L | +68.5wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3fe8…1fd3backed Yes | 21c | 214.29$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.29 | 106 | 17.9%19 W · 87 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked No | 67c | 186.53$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.55 | 70 | 55.7%39 W · 31 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +16%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06da…3181backed Yes | 38c | 161$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.18 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0cc5…ee5abacked Yes | 35c | 150$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.5 | 82 | 41.5%34 W · 48 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 66c | 137.59$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.08 | 1,441 | 51.1%736 W · 705 L | -16.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf70…7d5fbacked Yes | 38c | 131.58$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -25%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5032…d300backed Yes | 38c | 128.89$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.98 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.11per pick | 40cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5422…6c3fbacked Yes | 35c | 110.61$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.5 | 125 | 52%65 W · 60 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed Yes | 39c | 102.56$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 83 | 38.6%32 W · 51 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4063…0c2bbacked Yes | 41c | 100$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +44.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39c0…681cbacked Yes | 43c | 100$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -3.1wins | -0.28per pick | 46cpaid | -65.5%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7ee7…12c5backed No | 64c | 100$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a93…32a0backed Yes | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +5.0wins | +0.12per pick | 41cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfcfe…d420backed No | 69c | 95.65$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.65 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe347…9ab4backed Yes | 33c | 90.91$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.18per pick | 47cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26db…35b5backed Yes | 38c | 77.92$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed Yes | 33c | 60.61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 94 | 47.9%45 W · 49 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbcb1…6240backed Yes | 33c | 59.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -2.9wins | -0.12per pick | 41cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0abc…dda6backed Yes | 34c | 58.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50f7…7272backed Yes | 43c | 58.14$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 19 | 78.9%15 W · 4 L | +2.3wins | +0.12per pick | 67cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba49…a4a1backed Yes | 38c | 52.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.18per pick | 38cpaid | -54.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1b90…710fbacked Yes | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -3.1wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -23%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf08b…9a7dbacked Yes | 33c | 48.48$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55fb…4ec4backed Yes | 31c | 39.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 60c | 35$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 853 | 40.1%342 W · 511 L | -12.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bac…6634backed Yes | 41c | 29.27$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc47e…8ae4backed No | 69c | 28.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.99 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcba6…bb05backed No | 66c | 20.22$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.85 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc759…b0d2backed No | 66c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.8 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1889…0714backed No | 67c | 15.7$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.18 | 169 | 53.8%91 W · 78 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FC Groningen win on 2025-11-02?this page
- Will FC Groningen vs. FC Twente '65 end in a draw?Yes won
- Will FC Twente '65 win on 2025-11-02?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.