Premier League · resolved market
Chelsea vs. Sunderland AFC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf434006b1e93c35c193511a1bb253b02bb3bc86f560239af8578a8cc8a05c430
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $58,387
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $69,186
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $58,387 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 55c | 28,184$15,507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,676.77 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Under | 45c | 27,426$12,340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,339.76 | 218 | 53.2%116 W · 102 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Under | 43c | 11,058$4,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,749.8 | 357 | 58%207 W · 150 L | +12.5wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d0f…a318backed Over | 57c | 10,000$5,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,300 | 110 | 29.1%32 W · 78 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Under | 44c | 5,000$2,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,199.98 | 1,006 | 46.6%469 W · 537 L | -20.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x699f…d5c6backed Over | 56c | 2,040$1,142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$897.6 | 202 | 46.5%94 W · 108 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x775e…6541backed Over | 56c | 1,311$734 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$576.93 | 56 | 25%14 W · 42 L | -9.4wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x5bf4…952ebacked Over | 56c | 1,253$701 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$552.81 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…b118backed Under | 45c | 999.71$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.87 | 107 | 51.4%55 W · 52 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04f2…6fe4backed Under | 45c | 714$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.3 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed Under | 45c | 443.99$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.79 | 215 | 48.8%105 W · 110 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4702…457fbacked Over | 58c | 431.03$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.03 | 58 | 48.3%28 W · 30 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0521…cc4abacked Over | 56c | 312.5$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.5 | 61 | 50.8%31 W · 30 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79cc…8026backed Over | 57c | 290$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.8 | 127 | 53.5%68 W · 59 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3357…42fabacked Under | 39c | 250$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.5 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked Under | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 293 | 43.7%128 W · 165 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b1d…6a8bbacked Over | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 99 | 58.6%58 W · 41 L | +7.2wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbc…5d23backed Over | 61c | 109.99$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.9 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -12%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Over | 54c | 104.25$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.97 | 1,224 | 40%490 W · 734 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15e3…009fbacked Over | 54c | 99.99$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 136 | 56.6%77 W · 59 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8889…a9d1backed Over | 43c | 94.67$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.23 | 153 | 47.7%73 W · 80 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35e8…0596backed Over | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.91 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +2.9wins | +0.21per pick | 51cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9817…28bcbacked Over | 47c | 83.62$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.32 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0d…a408backed Over | 55c | 74.91$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.71 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -3.2wins | -0.10per pick | 58cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x958d…3501backed Over | 57c | 70.37$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.37 | 428 | 62.4%267 W · 161 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed Over | 54c | 65$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.9 | 409 | 53.3%218 W · 191 L | +11.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked Under | 43c | 62.99$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.25 | 201 | 50.2%101 W · 100 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x844b…2580backed Over | 54c | 55.77$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.77 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xced0…c680backed Over | 55c | 54.55$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.55 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x757d…a7ccbacked Over | 78c | 53$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.66 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.36per pick | 48cpaid | +291.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x834b…1fa7backed Over | 55c | 45.45$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.45 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef1a…a5e4backed Over | 57c | 43.48$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.48 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.15per pick | 55cpaid | +77.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6894…59d8backed Over | 56c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.6 | 65 | 64.6%42 W · 23 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd14…e051backed Over | 55c | 39.29$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.68 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7cc3…f826backed Over | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dc8…b60ebacked Over | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea3b…6a7bbacked Over | 67c | 35.82$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.82 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a3c…93d7backed Over | 56c | 35.73$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.73 | 86 | 32.6%28 W · 58 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ad5…bec4backed Over | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.29per pick | 62cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9f6a…c984backed Under | 46c | 35$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.1 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ee9…275cbacked Over | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x557f…efa5backed Under | 46c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 58cpaid | -55%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x11f0…890dbacked Over | 55c | 29.99$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.49 | 180 | 52.2%94 W · 86 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Under | 42c | 27.36$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.49 | 370 | 36.2%134 W · 236 L | -18.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x38b1…af7fbacked Over | 55c | 27.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.27 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +79.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc8c3…f46ebacked Under | 45c | 26.67$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 18 | 77.8%14 W · 4 L | +2.9wins | +0.16per pick | 62cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe8…0fedbacked Under | 47c | 23.4$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.91 | 255 | 45.5%116 W · 139 L | -18.1wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under | 44c | 23.21$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.21 | 492 | 54.9%270 W · 222 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6be6…45bbbacked Over | 56c | 23.21$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.21 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.16per pick | 52cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x808b…48c8backed Under | 46c | 21.76$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.01 | 27 | 70.4%19 W · 8 L | +3.8wins | +0.14per pick | 56cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x61f9…b021backed Over | 55c | 19.95$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.98 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2485…1d6fbacked Over | 70c | 18.11$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.43 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Chelsea vs. Sunderland AFC: O/U 2.5this page
- Chelsea vs. Sunderland AFC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Spread: Chelsea (-1.5)Sunderland AFC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.