Premier League · resolved market
Spread: Chelsea (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6b762b39cf95227a8a14705f5125e700f54dae867415f75a387041476d90fbbf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sunderland AFCof Chelsea, Sunderland AFC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,233
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,001
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,233 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Sunderland AFC | 57c | 4,680$2,689 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,991.37 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd146…9bf0backed Chelsea | 42c | 3,000$1,260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,260 | 459 | 36.2%166 W · 293 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Sunderland AFC | 57c | 1,131$644 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$486.15 | 218 | 53.2%116 W · 102 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07dd…ed9dbacked Chelsea | 43c | 800$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344 | 184 | 33.7%62 W · 122 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x363c…9b0ebacked Chelsea | 42c | 799.99$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.99 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.14per pick | 50cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed Chelsea | 42c | 700$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294 | 409 | 53.3%218 W · 191 L | +11.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc87…dd68backed Chelsea | 42c | 547.73$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.05 | 56 | 32.1%18 W · 38 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Sunderland AFC | 52c | 504.24$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.36 | 357 | 58%207 W · 150 L | +12.5wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a4c…8138backed Sunderland AFC | 58c | 397.07$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.77 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce2b…08fabacked Chelsea | 43c | 300$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129 | 300 | 50.7%152 W · 148 L | -16.5wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Sunderland AFC | 57c | 261.57$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.9 | 370 | 36.2%134 W · 236 L | -18.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed Sunderland AFC | 58c | 247.24$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.84 | 211 | 54.5%115 W · 96 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09ec…427dbacked Sunderland AFC | 58c | 243.12$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.12 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -3.4wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x127a…ca3cbacked Chelsea | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 131 | 49.6%65 W · 66 L | -7.5wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4948…08bdbacked Chelsea | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd480…799ebacked Chelsea | 57c | 150$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 80 | 45%36 W · 44 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1316…c716backed Chelsea | 42c | 125.42$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.42 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.16per pick | 46cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…db98backed Chelsea | 42c | 119.05$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 77 | 37.7%29 W · 48 L | -4.3wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x95db…dc65backed Chelsea | 45c | 113.33$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2000…df78backed Chelsea | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -2.3wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2abb…aeccbacked Chelsea | 43c | 93.02$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a88…f38abacked Sunderland AFC | 58c | 86.21$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.21 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5ba…960fbacked Sunderland AFC | 60c | 83.53$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.53 | 155 | 58.1%90 W · 65 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Sunderland AFC | 57c | 74.98$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.48 | 240 | 44.2%106 W · 134 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd960…1adebacked Chelsea | 42c | 71.05$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.84 | 159 | 49.7%79 W · 80 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x257b…efc0backed Chelsea | 45c | 66.16$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xffcb…65febacked Chelsea | 44c | 52.41$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.97 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +47.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8fe…ba40backed Chelsea | 42c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 78 | 39.7%31 W · 47 L | -8.4wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked Sunderland AFC | 56c | 43.17$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.11 | 201 | 50.2%101 W · 100 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e7e…425ebacked Chelsea | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c65…dcf7backed Sunderland AFC | 79c | 40.01$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54ed…1d79backed Chelsea | 47c | 39.73$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a3c…93d7backed Sunderland AFC | 58c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 86 | 32.6%28 W · 58 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e34…f621backed Chelsea | 43c | 28.07$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2942…5c1bbacked Sunderland AFC | 54c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +3.9wins | +0.21per pick | 48cpaid | +50%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1677…1126backed Sunderland AFC | 56c | 19.48$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 420 | 48.6%204 W · 216 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x808b…48c8backed Sunderland AFC | 58c | 17.17$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.16 | 27 | 70.4%19 W · 8 L | +3.8wins | +0.14per pick | 56cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Chelsea (-1.5)this page
- Chelsea vs. Sunderland AFC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Chelsea vs. Sunderland AFC: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.