Other European Leagues · resolved market
Heracles Almelo vs. PEC Zwolle: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4ec0a02209a446eb2abffa8772d674f9a85e68942a3547f5b231f778be9bb8c0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,706
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,267
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,706 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2129…4222backed Under | 41c | 5,025$2,053 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,053.17 | 464 | 54.3%252 W · 212 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf763…414fbacked Over | 59c | 1,899$1,119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$779.81 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +3.0wins | +0.18per pick | 47cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb1fe…9974backed Over | 59c | 1,500$887 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$612.82 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | +4.4wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x127a…ca3cbacked Over | 56c | 441.11$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.24 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Under | 41c | 439.03$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.18 | 490 | 46.9%230 W · 260 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79cc…8026backed Over | 59c | 408$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.28 | 50 | 58%29 W · 21 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52a4…7fe3backed Over | 59c | 339.22$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.22 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -4.1wins | -0.31per pick | 54cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked Under | 42c | 337$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.73 | 83 | 50.6%42 W · 41 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40f9…2200backed Over | 60c | 303.03$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.38 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 41c | 261.23$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.83 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74b4…b283backed Over | 60c | 166.98$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.99 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0d…a408backed Over | 60c | 166.94$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.94 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -2.1wins | -0.11per pick | 58cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x35e8…0596backed Under | 44c | 113.64$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 42cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9b…bc4abacked Over | 56c | 112.72$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.6 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.2wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -32%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x172d…6f3ebacked Over | 56c | 53.57$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.57 | 85 | 58.8%50 W · 35 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x604a…30e9backed Over | 59c | 50.39$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.66 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ae…f36bbacked Under | 43c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.5 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x844b…2580backed Over | 60c | 49.79$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.79 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xced0…c680backed Over | 59c | 42.37$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.37 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x50f7…7272backed Over | 56c | 40.29$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.73 | 19 | 78.9%15 W · 4 L | +2.3wins | +0.12per pick | 67cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8dc8…b60ebacked Over | 59c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Heracles Almelo vs. PEC Zwolle: O/U 2.5this page
- Spread: Heracles Almelo (-0.5)Heracles Almelo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.