Other European Leagues · resolved market
FC Groningen vs. FC Twente '65: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xaee624def1e31c1dc63bf902a0e92382aebde362213874a6db87b65d6f475657
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,417
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,537
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,417 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2129…4222backed Under | 45c | 1,264$575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$689.15 | 464 | 54.3%252 W · 212 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 44c | 815$358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$456.59 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x127a…ca3cbacked Over | 56c | 360.14$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.46 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked Under | 46c | 297.83$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.6 | 83 | 50.6%42 W · 41 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5244…23d9backed Over | 72c | 275$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.25 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Over | 58c | 260$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.8 | 136 | 62.5%85 W · 51 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52a4…7fe3backed Over | 56c | 243.02$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -4.1wins | -0.31per pick | 54cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0d…a408backed Over | 55c | 208.52$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.72 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -2.1wins | -0.11per pick | 58cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd31c…dac9backed Over | 40c | 200$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35e8…0596backed Over | 53c | 187.2$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 42cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda95…e997backed Under | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.38 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0efd…a51cbacked Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc7…b90dbacked Over | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 85 | 40%34 W · 51 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7f6…5ac8backed Over | 56c | 89.47$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 90 | 33.3%30 W · 60 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Under | 45c | 81.9$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.82 | 490 | 46.9%230 W · 260 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a93…32a0backed Over | 42c | 75$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +5.0wins | +0.12per pick | 41cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2fa0…aa66backed Over | 55c | 73.01$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0138…8451backed Over | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe8…0fedbacked Under | 33c | 47$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.66 | 166 | 47.6%79 W · 87 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x834b…1fa7backed Over | 54c | 46.3$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -2.3wins | -0.18per pick | 41cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x569f…f8a4backed Over | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e08…19cabacked Over | 55c | 40$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc42…01b2backed Over | 53c | 31.26$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.68 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6264…7b6bbacked Over | 55c | 19$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.45 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- FC Groningen vs. FC Twente '65: O/U 2.5this page
- Spread: FC Groningen (-0.5)FC Twente '65 won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.