Olympics · resolved market
Will Netherlands win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Speed Skating ST - Women's 3000m Relay at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1abe1c575c0bc22c220c8d8d06400a80c03133b9c33a20a15e104cd3cea7619e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Olympicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,365
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,869
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,365 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Olympics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Olympics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xeba4…69fbbacked No | 37c | 465.06$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.03 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21ae…04b2backed Yes | 63c | 318.23$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb78…e7c8backed Yes | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 32c | 142.42$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.97 | 118 | 58.5%69 W · 49 L | +6.9wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcff8…3634backed Yes | 66c | 98.26$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.24per pick | 40cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f1f…94aabacked Yes | 63c | 48.71$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.69 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bc…a87fbacked No | 34c | 46.08$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.32 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf802…d91dbacked Yes | 56c | 44$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.64 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | +5.3wins | +0.17per pick | 46cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc114…b11dbacked Yes | 70c | 43.13$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.25 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.8wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x81e4…8206backed Yes | 66c | 42.23$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.87 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +103%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30cf…16e7backed No | 37c | 40.54$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.54 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.31per pick | 49cpaid | +68.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x81e1…7265backed No | 44c | 40$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.4 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 55cpaid | +90.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ef…e757backed Yes | 66c | 30.08$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36bf…2864backed Yes | 43c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b1f…4eebbacked Yes | 55c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.14per pick | 63cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8327…887fbacked Yes | 69c | 28.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d98…fd96backed Yes | 65c | 28.03$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.22 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3008…2489backed Yes | 62c | 24.19$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.3wins | -0.26per pick | 48cpaid | -56.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0408…75e3backed Yes | 69c | 21.82$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a4e…b38cbacked Yes | 74c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -2.5wins | -0.28per pick | 72cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Olympics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Netherlands win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Speed Skating ST - Women's 3000m Relay at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?this page
- Will Canada win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Speed Skating ST - Women's 3000m Relay at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?No won
- Will Italy win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Speed Skating ST - Women's 3000m Relay at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?No won
- Will Korea win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Speed Skating ST - Women's 3000m Relay at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.