Champions League · resolved market
Will Feyenoord beat Sparta Praha?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xca201a739c73b7d8ea37afc529284cd0f8e76408b95febc598d0d3b6433a6409
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,095
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,363
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,095 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Yes | 70c | 4,349$3,043 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,305.8 | 170 | 53.5%91 W · 79 L | +7.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed No | 30c | 4,167$1,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,250 | 210 | 37.1%78 W · 132 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x578d…fbb3backed Yes | 73c | 1,855$1,361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$494.07 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -4.2wins | -0.18per pick | 55cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Yes | 71c | 1,536$1,086 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450.67 | 242 | 52.5%127 W · 115 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed No | 29c | 1,015$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.42 | 402 | 22.9%92 W · 310 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | +9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed No | 30c | 1,000$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.28 | 196 | 45.4%89 W · 107 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4aef…9337backed No | 27c | 1,000$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 247 | 42.5%105 W · 142 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed No | 26c | 690$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.4 | 226 | 47.3%107 W · 119 L | +12.7wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 20c | 591.42$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.35 | 398 | 42.2%168 W · 230 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Yes | 72c | 443.79$317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.35 | 168 | 36.3%61 W · 107 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbac1…ce0ebacked No | 31c | 322.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 123 | 33.3%41 W · 82 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Yes | 73c | 200$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.86 | 186 | 50.5%94 W · 92 L | -14.4wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -12%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Yes | 73c | 200$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 244 | 55.7%136 W · 108 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4109…7e24backed No | 28c | 143$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.04 | 183 | 50.3%92 W · 91 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b31…9d8cbacked Yes | 73c | 136.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.99 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd92…9e72backed Yes | 72c | 100$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7be1…200ebacked No | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7aeb…b5febacked Yes | 72c | 80.55$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.55 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2240…115ebacked No | 28c | 80$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81e1…7265backed No | 29c | 73.81$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.4 | 35 | 31.4%11 W · 24 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x02cb…ae38backed Yes | 72c | 50.4$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.91 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…2858backed No | 28c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 78 | 46.2%36 W · 42 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe34…cf4cbacked No | 28c | 36$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 62cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4f3c…73e8backed No | 29c | 34.83$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.1 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41ac…3e33backed Yes | 72c | 27.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.78 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1179…710bbacked Yes | 70c | 19.98$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.99 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 64cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54a3…900abacked Yes | 71c | 15.49$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.49 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Feyenoord beat Sparta Praha?this page
- Will Sparta Praha beat Feyenoord?No won
- Will the match between Feyenoord and Sparta Praha end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.