Tweets · resolved market

Will Elon tweet 650 or more times March 21-28?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x62339b7bd6c4eb246b226b11414d3f7018b8414bd021b48ed826b3b5eaac43d1

Rebuilt 10 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Mar 28, 2025, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $521,579
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $298,020

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $521,579 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 101 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Tweets
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x099e…8e52backed Yes	3c	24,368$791 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$790.85	50	2%1 W · 49 L	-1.8wins	-0.04per pick	6cpaid	-77.8%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x70c7…a3dfbacked Yes	2c	21,189$324 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$323.96	9	11.1%1 W · 8 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-81.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbc54…40dbbacked Yes	2c	19,110$352 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$352.05	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7ab6…fa77backed Yes	5c	15,142$700 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$700.08	44	4.5%2 W · 42 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	5cpaid	-50.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf1e0…0f73backed Yes	4c	14,934$602 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$602.26	261	12.6%33 W · 228 L	-6.3wins	-0.02per pick	15cpaid	-55.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc536…3cefbacked Yes	6c	11,925$719 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$719	13	23.1%3 W · 10 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	23cpaid	-26%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe6c9…975ebacked Yes	4c	10,883$447 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$447.49	153	13.1%20 W · 133 L	+1.6wins	+0.01per pick	12cpaid	-44%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6590…3a26backed Yes	0c	10,800$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.5	39	2.6%1 W · 38 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	2cpaid	-94.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfd1d…a68fbacked Yes	0c	10,461$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.12	118	20.3%24 W · 94 L	+5.7wins	+0.05per pick	16cpaid	-12.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x45d7…1935backed Yes	0c	9,080$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	34	11.8%4 W · 30 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	12cpaid	-26.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6a97…4800backed Yes	2c	8,013$171 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$170.85	686	15.7%108 W · 578 L	-18.0wins	-0.03per pick	18cpaid	-40%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x206b…7d6abacked Yes	2c	7,359$118 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$117.59	524	9.9%52 W · 472 L	+15.5wins	+0.03per pick	7cpaid	+64%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc390…28bdbacked Yes	4c	7,253$275 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$274.55	230	3.9%9 W · 221 L	-7.3wins	-0.03per pick	7cpaid	-78.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x98f5…7226backed Yes	2c	6,861$165 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$164.66	65	20%13 W · 52 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	19cpaid	-22.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x767c…ca6abacked Yes	3c	6,170$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$199.98	14	14.3%2 W · 12 L	+0.5wins	+0.04per pick	11cpaid	-32.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec6a…afccbacked Yes	4c	5,595$223 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$223.15	180	12.8%23 W · 157 L	+1.0wins	+0.01per pick	12cpaid	-17.9%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Yes	2c	5,500$83 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$83.5	46	8.7%4 W · 42 L	+1.0wins	+0.02per pick	7cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xaf46…8c1dbacked Yes	4c	5,266$208 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$207.85	627	13.2%83 W · 544 L	+3.3wins	+0.01per pick	13cpaid	-52.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x765a…efb4backed Yes	1c	5,050$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.15	387	6.5%25 W · 362 L	+6.8wins	+0.02per pick	5cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8dc7…3a04backed Yes	3c	5,000$165 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$165	53	28.3%15 W · 38 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	27cpaid	-14%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1af0…d21fbacked Yes	3c	5,000$130 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$130	285	9.1%26 W · 259 L	+7.2wins	+0.03per pick	7cpaid	+30.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xce40…da67backed Yes	5c	5,000$265 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$265	538	17.3%93 W · 445 L	-2.4wins	0.00per pick	18cpaid	-34.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x910c…d7a7backed Yes	3c	4,750$166 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$165.85	75	16%12 W · 63 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	16cpaid	-49.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0239…844bbacked Yes	4c	4,227$173 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$173	20	15%3 W · 17 L	-1.5wins	-0.08per pick	23cpaid	-70.1%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd926…eb38backed Yes	3c	4,164$121 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120.74	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa7f0…97bbbacked Yes	2c	3,832$79 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$79.42	26	7.7%2 W · 24 L	-0.6wins	-0.02per pick	10cpaid	-86.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x98ae…9c6ebacked Yes	3c	3,364$115 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$115.27	116	10.3%12 W · 104 L	+1.6wins	+0.01per pick	9cpaid	-39.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xce54…d757backed Yes	4c	3,206$113 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$113	49	14.3%7 W · 42 L	+1.1wins	+0.02per pick	12cpaid	-42.2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2631…4d56backed Yes	4c	3,190$113 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$113	104	9.6%10 W · 94 L	-4.1wins	-0.04per pick	14cpaid	-60.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7214…980bbacked Yes	2c	3,101$74 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$73.83	21	23.8%5 W · 16 L	+0.7wins	+0.03per pick	21cpaid	-18.4%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x21b8…66b8backed Yes	1c	2,600$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.9	17	11.8%2 W · 15 L	-0.8wins	-0.05per pick	17cpaid	-70.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1802…7512backed Yes	2c	2,500$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	51	25.5%13 W · 38 L	+1.0wins	+0.02per pick	23cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x69bf…d399backed Yes	4c	2,300$99 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$98.62	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd69a…81eabacked Yes	8c	2,263$177 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$176.61	74	16.2%12 W · 62 L	-3.2wins	-0.04per pick	21cpaid	-43.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4c56…ab4fbacked Yes	3c	2,159$59 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$59.27	30	0%0 W · 30 L	-1.3wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc9dd…8121backed Yes	4c	2,156$94 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$94.08	32	9.4%3 W · 29 L	-1.2wins	-0.04per pick	13cpaid	-63.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b3d…76ddbacked Yes	2c	2,000$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48	14	14.3%2 W · 12 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	14cpaid	-53.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd2d9…e579backed Yes	4c	2,000$78 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$78	28	14.3%4 W · 24 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	13cpaid	+21%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbd70…d270backed Yes	3c	2,000$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53	751	22.2%167 W · 584 L	+15.0wins	+0.02per pick	20cpaid	-35.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x977a…f2cabacked Yes	4c	2,000$82 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$82	177	9%16 W · 161 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	9cpaid	-70.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xed87…35f2backed Yes	2c	2,000$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36	12	8.3%1 W · 11 L	-0.8wins	-0.07per pick	15cpaid	-87.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7bc9…7361backed Yes	2c	1,970$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	13	0%0 W · 13 L	-0.9wins	-0.07per pick	7cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4d71…6945backed Yes	4c	1,691$69 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$69.11	43	27.9%12 W · 31 L	+3.1wins	+0.07per pick	21cpaid	-17.5%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x23cc…4f5abacked Yes	3c	1,671$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56.29	827	11%91 W · 736 L	+21.9wins	+0.03per pick	8cpaid	+7.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xebb7…efebbacked Yes	6c	1,648$98 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$98	20	15%3 W · 17 L	-0.3wins	-0.02per pick	17cpaid	-33%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0973…8986backed Yes	5c	1,578$72 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$72	86	15.1%13 W · 73 L	-3.9wins	-0.04per pick	20cpaid	-40.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x992d…743bbacked Yes	3c	1,569$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	61	8.2%5 W · 56 L	-1.0wins	-0.02per pick	10cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaa50…3ed5backed Yes	1c	1,559$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.18	653	11%72 W · 581 L	+10.8wins	+0.02per pick	9cpaid	-11%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0484…a23ebacked Yes	4c	1,499$62 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$61.52	97	14.4%14 W · 83 L	+0.9wins	+0.01per pick	14cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc331…1d71backed Yes	2c	1,482$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	114	17.5%20 W · 94 L	+4.6wins	+0.04per pick	13cpaid	-11%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6e14…3003backed Yes	3c	1,400$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46.1	79	5.1%4 W · 75 L	-1.1wins	-0.01per pick	7cpaid	-73.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x81e1…7265backed Yes	3c	1,400$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44.6	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9376…1655backed Yes	3c	1,325$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.44	157	17.8%28 W · 129 L	+3.9wins	+0.02per pick	15cpaid	+9.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0753…25b2backed Yes	1c	1,285$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16	40	17.5%7 W · 33 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	16cpaid	-17.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c58…14f7backed Yes	4c	1,241$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	63	15.9%10 W · 53 L	-2.5wins	-0.04per pick	20cpaid	-36.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2dbe…9664backed Yes	4c	1,180$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47.2	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xccc9…7a15backed Yes	3c	1,143$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	113	19.5%22 W · 91 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	20cpaid	-25.8%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x79b2…4874backed Yes	2c	1,111$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.89	11	18.2%2 W · 9 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	20cpaid	-34.8%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x66c1…2c72backed Yes	2c	1,100$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.9	72	9.7%7 W · 65 L	+1.5wins	+0.02per pick	8cpaid	-20.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe53c…6bf7backed Yes	5c	1,075$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55.03	21	9.5%2 W · 19 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	10cpaid	-31.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes	3c	1,041$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.63	996	19.8%197 W · 799 L	-15.9wins	-0.02per pick	21cpaid	-43.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc4fb…2bfdbacked Yes	4c	1,001$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40.02	15	40%6 W · 9 L	+1.2wins	+0.08per pick	32cpaid	-10.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8d6d…2d44backed Yes	6c	1,000$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$59.66	16	6.3%1 W · 15 L	-1.1wins	-0.07per pick	13cpaid	-75%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4e3a…159bbacked Yes	6c	1,000$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55	16	6.3%1 W · 15 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	6cpaid	-53.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb039…010fbacked Yes	2c	1,000$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21	62	11.3%7 W · 55 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	+62.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa0e3…2347backed Yes	2c	1,000$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	15	6.7%1 W · 14 L	-0.4wins	-0.02per pick	9cpaid	-60%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd427…05adbacked Yes	4c	1,000$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.51	265	16.6%44 W · 221 L	+11.7wins	+0.04per pick	12cpaid	+23.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0643…7b30backed Yes	3c	1,000$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	73	17.8%13 W · 60 L	+1.8wins	+0.02per pick	15cpaid	-40.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x865c…ad2abacked Yes	3c	1,000$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32	119	16.8%20 W · 99 L	-2.0wins	-0.02per pick	18cpaid	-44.1%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe6f0…5677backed Yes	5c	999.98$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45	28	21.4%6 W · 22 L	-1.0wins	-0.04per pick	25cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x35f3…cfd0backed Yes	2c	999.95$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	437	19.7%86 W · 351 L	-10.8wins	-0.02per pick	22cpaid	-44.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb1b9…98ffbacked Yes	4c	980.69$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	56	17.9%10 W · 46 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	18cpaid	-42.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9f3b…0423backed Yes	2c	828.68$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.58	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	+0.2wins	+0.03per pick	11cpaid	-48.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4242…06a6backed Yes	5c	822.01$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44.81	27	14.8%4 W · 23 L	-1.0wins	-0.04per pick	19cpaid	-44%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x347a…83e3backed Yes	4c	804.88$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.61	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.3wins	-0.15per pick	15cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6478…a272backed Yes	7c	755.69$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	10	30%3 W · 7 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	29cpaid	-47.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x07a4…fd85backed Yes	3c	741.42$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.63	46	19.6%9 W · 37 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	20cpaid	-15.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9b36…4021backed Yes	6c	643.99$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.23	34	17.6%6 W · 28 L	-1.7wins	-0.05per pick	23cpaid	-57.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2640…e24bbacked Yes	3c	631.25$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5339…9da3backed Yes	4c	550$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22	70	45.7%32 W · 38 L	+2.4wins	+0.03per pick	42cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x68e5…c63abacked Yes	4c	544.46$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.04	29	10.3%3 W · 26 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	11cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb8c5…0166backed Yes	6c	532.91$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.59	49	12.2%6 W · 43 L	-1.8wins	-0.04per pick	16cpaid	-71%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd32d…3c32backed Yes	3c	512.85$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.86	35	17.1%6 W · 29 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	17cpaid	-14.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa1c0…9f52backed Yes	7c	506.82$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33	8	12.5%1 W · 7 L	+0.2wins	+0.02per pick	11cpaid	+38.9%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xf584…76a2backed Yes	2c	502.4$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x85b9…906dbacked Yes	2c	500.03$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.47	147	15%22 W · 125 L	+4.8wins	+0.03per pick	12cpaid	+80.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2a44…e4e8backed Yes	5c	500$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24	486	9.7%47 W · 439 L	+8.2wins	+0.02per pick	8cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1f54…a081backed Yes	4c	457$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.98	9	11.1%1 W · 8 L	-0.8wins	-0.09per pick	20cpaid	-61.5%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x75fc…e63bbacked Yes	4c	453.42$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19	22	22.7%5 W · 17 L	-0.8wins	-0.04per pick	26cpaid	-21.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5088…8844backed Yes	3c	432.23$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	65	24.6%16 W · 49 L	+1.9wins	+0.03per pick	22cpaid	-14.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe657…051cbacked Yes	8c	428.36$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.25	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.08per pick	8cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x92f2…6781backed Yes	6c	387.36$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.31	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-0.5wins	-0.09per pick	9cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x089e…6e0ebacked Yes	6c	350.82$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.06per pick	6cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x90af…fe61backed Yes	5c	342.97$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18	51	9.8%5 W · 46 L	-2.6wins	-0.05per pick	15cpaid	-81%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4da0…f4a6backed Yes	3c	335$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.05	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc614…b14bbacked Yes	4c	300$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.8	347	14.7%51 W · 296 L	+13.8wins	+0.04per pick	11cpaid	-19.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe38c…3ee7backed Yes	4c	300$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.7	20	25%5 W · 15 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	26cpaid	-37.2%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xf04f…a8c4backed Yes	9c	238.43$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.66	62	11.3%7 W · 55 L	-1.8wins	-0.03per pick	14cpaid	-11.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Yes	8c	235.99$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.83	788	11.5%91 W · 697 L	-33.7wins	-0.04per pick	16cpaid	-42.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5043…1399backed Yes	5c	200$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.2	25	20%5 W · 20 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	20cpaid	-10.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Will Elon tweet 650 or more times March 21-28?this page
Will Elon tweet 300-324 times March 21-28?No won
Will Elon tweet 325-349 times March 21-28?No won
Will Elon tweet 350-374 times March 21-28?No won
Will Elon tweet 375-399 times March 21-28?No won
Will Elon tweet 400-424 times March 21-28?No won
Will Elon tweet 425-449 times March 21-28?No won
Will Elon tweet 450-474 times March 21-28?No won
Will Elon tweet 475-499 times March 21-28?Yes won
Will Elon tweet 500-524 times March 21-28?No won
Will Elon tweet 525-549 times March 21-28?No won
Will Elon tweet 550-574 times March 21-28?No won
Will Elon tweet 575-599 times March 21-28?No won
Will Elon tweet 600-624 times March 21-28?No won
Will Elon tweet 625-649 times March 21-28?No won
Will Elon tweet less than 300 times March 21-28?No won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Elon tweet 650 or more times March 21-28?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event