Golf · resolved market
Will Ben Griffin win the 2025 Charles Schwab Challenge?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9f5c93b1b08387e385739f16f30ec735930cec4d5b1f522d8137d0abb5dd9494
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Golfevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,089
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,487
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,089 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Golf is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Golf | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked No | 25c | 1,460$369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.26 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5695…f8edbacked Yes | 38c | 882.3$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$548.89 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 15cpaid | -14%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…b118backed Yes | 52c | 713.28$371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$341.95 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad25…7678backed No | 69c | 641.82$441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$441.01 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -79.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03ed…c077backed No | 55c | 308.18$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.19per pick | 62cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5ee1…9801backed No | 52c | 286.9$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.35 | 34 | 11.8%4 W · 30 L | -3.6wins | -0.11per pick | 22cpaid | -80.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 74c | 280$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.2 | 108 | 50%54 W · 54 L | +6.7wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Yes | 60c | 258.19$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.23 | 70 | 31.4%22 W · 48 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0781…c4ffbacked Yes | 34c | 250$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.8 | 34 | 29.4%10 W · 24 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +87.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Yes | 76c | 172$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.49 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcced…9ffebacked No | 11c | 163.98$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.31 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -57.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Yes | 56c | 120$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.14 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1956…3e7bbacked Yes | 35c | 68.57$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.57 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb46d…7093backed No | 28c | 60.88$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.88 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6dee…f4e6backed No | 54c | 45$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.21 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.8wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf385…4864backed No | 56c | 41$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.96 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed No | 70c | 36$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 67cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076c…4e7bbacked No | 52c | 25.23$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.17 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.21per pick | 49cpaid | -62%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c99…2d70backed Yes | 80c | 13.75$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Golf and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Ben Griffin win the 2025 Charles Schwab Challenge?this page
- Will Akshay Bhatia win the 2025 Charles Schwab Challenge?No won
- Will Brian Harman win the 2025 Charles Schwab Challenge?No won
- Will J.J. Spaun win the 2025 Charles Schwab Challenge?No won
- Will Matti Schmid win the 2025 Charles Schwab Challenge?No won
- Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2025 Charles Schwab Challenge?No won
- Will Tommy Fleetwood win the 2025 Charles Schwab Challenge?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.