Golf · resolved market
Will Rory McIlroy win the 2025 RBC Canadian Open?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x841d1eca97577911f93bedcfa4d3e5154420e2aae55589b7390cec9e32d45874
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Golfevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,412
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,303
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,412 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Golf is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Golf | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x87d9…fcb6backed Yes | 14c | 4,500$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 25cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcb1…d3e3backed Yes | 24c | 3,666$885 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$885.18 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 16cpaid | -76.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed No | 74c | 2,314$1,709 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$604.79 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8aaf…1f8ebacked Yes | 16c | 1,921$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79c9…c040backed Yes | 2c | 1,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 10cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ec…875cbacked Yes | 14c | 700$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 22 | 9.1%2 W · 20 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03ed…c077backed No | 75c | 475.5$356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.12 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.19per pick | 62cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x524c…64c8backed Yes | 15c | 395$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.24 | 20 | 5%1 W · 19 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 9cpaid | -85.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe542…0a37backed No | 71c | 300$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | +5.1wins | +0.08per pick | 34cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc1…818dbacked Yes | 8c | 186$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.48 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -1.9wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x172b…e2cdbacked Yes | 15c | 153.33$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -61.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 13c | 142.95$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.98 | 295 | 3.7%11 W · 284 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 6cpaid | -73.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7dd2…7f1dbacked Yes | 16c | 125$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb97…1aa0backed Yes | 17c | 122.38$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.83 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa129…03e7backed Yes | 16c | 112.35$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.45 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8230…1cb9backed Yes | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61f0…8a69backed Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 31c | 44$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.64 | 45 | 20%9 W · 36 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed No | 80c | 13.86$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.77 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 75cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Golf and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Rory McIlroy win the 2025 RBC Canadian Open?this page
- Will Cameron Champ win the 2025 RBC Canadian Open?No won
- Will Corey Conners win the 2025 RBC Canadian Open?No won
- Will Jake Knapp win the 2025 RBC Canadian Open?No won
- Will Kevin Yu win the 2025 RBC Canadian Open?No won
- Will Ludvig Aberg win the 2025 RBC Canadian Open?No won
- Will Mackenzie Hughes win the 2025 RBC Canadian Open?No won
- Will Matteo Manassero win the 2025 RBC Canadian Open?No won
- Will Nick Taylor win the 2025 RBC Canadian Open?No won
- Will Robert MacIntyre win the 2025 RBC Canadian Open?No won
- Will Ryan Fox win the 2025 RBC Canadian Open?Yes won
- Will Sam Burns win the 2025 RBC Canadian Open?No won
- Will Shane Lowry win the 2025 RBC Canadian Open?No won
- Will Thorbjorn Olesen win the 2025 RBC Canadian Open?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.