Movies · resolved market
Will "Karate Kid: Legends" Rotten Tomatoes score be between 50-54?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0406c0def929e1e583d0d12e5431b6585575de13ffb63651da0c3bb11da64faa
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Moviesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,327
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,464
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,327 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 16 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Movies is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Movies | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 0c | 4,044$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.8 | 1,394 | 8%111 W · 1,283 L | -47.9wins | -0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2032…d577backed No | 71c | 3,675$2,622 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,052.78 | 200 | 49.5%99 W · 101 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x490f…17e5backed Yes | 3c | 585.97$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.28 | 67 | 3%2 W · 65 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 9cpaid | -75.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x04dc…2387backed No | 48c | 451$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.53 | 125 | 39.2%49 W · 76 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b1f…1e95backed Yes | 13c | 353.25$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.93 | 23 | 17.4%4 W · 19 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe732…898fbacked Yes | 40c | 191.58$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.29 | 146 | 28.1%41 W · 105 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c27…1555backed No | 79c | 130$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.3 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | +2.1wins | +0.09per pick | 62cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7494…6e0bbacked Yes | 44c | 100$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 34 | 23.5%8 W · 26 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | +68.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcced…9ffebacked No | 24c | 82$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.73 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6dee…f4e6backed No | 64c | 75.89$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.57 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd240…562cbacked Yes | 45c | 58$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.12 | 34 | 29.4%10 W · 24 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 24cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2cf1…80a7backed Yes | 76c | 55$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.63 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5eb6…140fbacked No | 79c | 50.48$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.47 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed Yes | 61c | 50$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.5 | 506 | 33.4%169 W · 337 L | -30.0wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 36c | 40$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 484 | 14%68 W · 416 L | -39.3wins | -0.08per pick | 22cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdf93…bdc8backed Yes | 59c | 26$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.24 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Movies and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will "Karate Kid: Legends" Rotten Tomatoes score be between 50-54?this page
- Will "Karate Kid: Legends" Rotten Tomatoes score be 75 or higher?No won
- Will "Karate Kid: Legends" Rotten Tomatoes score be between 55-59?Yes won
- Will "Karate Kid: Legends" Rotten Tomatoes score be between 60-64?No won
- Will "Karate Kid: Legends" Rotten Tomatoes score be between 65-69?No won
- Will "Karate Kid: Legends" Rotten Tomatoes score" Rotten Tomatoes score be less than 50?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.