Premier League · resolved market
Pep Guardiola out as Manchester City manager by the end of 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6695d4275bc981644db15f57032fc81b9b7aba6f7eb7f392264381ff099b800a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $66,709
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $54,587
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $66,709 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 93 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x48b7…f103backed No | 6c | 9,583$582 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$582.33 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07cd…c4febacked No | 5c | 7,821$421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$421.02 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1f…1a9fbacked No | 5c | 3,341$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.36 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 3c | 2,442$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.35 | 203 | 7.4%15 W · 188 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -57.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 3c | 2,061$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.98 | 108 | 50%54 W · 54 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9733…f034backed Yes | 54c | 1,828$991 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$836.68 | 98 | 61.2%60 W · 38 L | +12.3wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x252c…d5b4backed Yes | 73c | 1,648$1,197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450.97 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cbb…2d3abacked No | 5c | 1,235$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked No | 3c | 1,127$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.89 | 35 | 8.6%3 W · 32 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe562…4fa9backed No | 4c | 875.4$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.39 | 188 | 41.5%78 W · 110 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5b9…e44ebacked No | 46c | 800$368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$368 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2598…60d8backed Yes | 73c | 758.63$555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.46 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…783dbacked No | 44c | 739.04$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.4 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5175…1546backed No | 35c | 704.07$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.13 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -36%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x958d…3501backed Yes | 59c | 700.95$412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.12 | 428 | 62.4%267 W · 161 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f84…98f1backed No | 15c | 530.04$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6425…4293backed No | 10c | 501.69$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc406…07d9backed No | 46c | 500$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x69e4…69aebacked No | 4c | 482.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 20cpaid | +50.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ee4…6832backed No | 4c | 459.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd51d…1578backed No | 8c | 456.29$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.94 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.22per pick | 50cpaid | -52%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x586b…646cbacked No | 7c | 443.09$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58b4…7483backed No | 6c | 421.53$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f60…b0a4backed No | 6c | 404.14$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…67a6backed No | 7c | 396.77$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.52 | 24 | 0%0 W · 24 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c27…1555backed No | 43c | 393.09$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.84 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa070…c103backed No | 30c | 389.65$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.35 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed No | 19c | 384.63$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.88 | 47 | 12.8%6 W · 41 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -46.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e26…3edfbacked No | 5c | 382.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.30per pick | 10cpaid | +172.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x05ee…3cf0backed No | 5c | 360.27$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7cbe…c4b7backed No | 26c | 341.91$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.55 | 152 | 33.6%51 W · 101 L | -6.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cdd…3e97backed Yes | 78c | 312.42$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.95 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff4…d735backed Yes | 27c | 289$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.54 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | +2.0wins | +0.11per pick | 21cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x555c…ee28backed Yes | 51c | 204.98$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.44 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x040d…1a5ebacked No | 8c | 199.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.45 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed No | 7c | 196.37$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.25 | 160 | 24.4%39 W · 121 L | -8.4wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b3…246abacked Yes | 69c | 196.13$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.8 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | -4.6wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdd42…878dbacked Yes | 61c | 191.74$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.78 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91d1…5eaebacked Yes | 71c | 190.36$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.36 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb41e…11fdbacked No | 10c | 180.51$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.49 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 15cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e0a…b9ccbacked No | 39c | 176.99$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.02 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6622…25d5backed No | 46c | 176.97$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.4 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.19per pick | 59cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4796…a707backed Yes | 61c | 164.24$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +64.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0051…a955backed No | 31c | 161.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4004…c40bbacked Yes | 79c | 158.8$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.61 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae2b…90eabacked No | 33c | 151.19$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 176 | 34.1%60 W · 116 L | -13.2wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x49c4…bf77backed Yes | 70c | 150$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 78 | 47.4%37 W · 41 L | -6.7wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…ebbfbacked No | 48c | 150$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 122 | 51.6%63 W · 59 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50fb…e547backed No | 32c | 141.88$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4135…2b3fbacked No | 28c | 140.83$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x370e…5df3backed Yes | 52c | 128$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.44 | 124 | 50.8%63 W · 61 L | +7.1wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee03…6edbbacked No | 15c | 125.98$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.9 | 44 | 61.4%27 W · 17 L | +3.2wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8720…ea73backed Yes | 77c | 107.81$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.61 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5cd…9aa5backed Yes | 50c | 97$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.5 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0aa…3984backed Yes | 75c | 95.64$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.63 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c5a…35aebacked No | 44c | 90.57$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf528…7e5bbacked Yes | 71c | 88$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.09 | 19 | 84.2%16 W · 3 L | +2.3wins | +0.12per pick | 72cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xab78…2563backed Yes | 61c | 82.48$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +65%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb52b…fc98backed No | 35c | 82.06$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.61 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb014…bd18backed Yes | 47c | 79.99$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.39 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf56a…e0e7backed No | 44c | 76.46$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8de2…8483backed Yes | 71c | 73.5$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.5 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf8fc…a4f5backed Yes | 71c | 70.56$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +41.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a89…c937backed No | 37c | 66.49$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.54 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe823…dd90backed No | 36c | 63.73$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb146…c098backed No | 45c | 63.11$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.61 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c26…6e31backed No | 48c | 62.18$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.56 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b20…5e04backed Yes | 57c | 61.02$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.24 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 23cpaid | -78.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2755…0fc8backed Yes | 50c | 58.33$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +99.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0306…a81ebacked No | 47c | 53.09$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.95 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4eb6…b122backed Yes | 49c | 51.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.02 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +2.3wins | +0.26per pick | 41cpaid | +76.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x124e…a8a9backed No | 26c | 50.26$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.07 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +3.5wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6f6b…78e3backed No | 38c | 49.98$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79de…2f63backed Yes | 53c | 47.17$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.17 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e0…43b9backed Yes | 67c | 44.78$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.78 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.37per pick | 62cpaid | -62.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9422…f273backed Yes | 65c | 43.66$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.17 | 17 | 88.2%15 W · 2 L | +5.0wins | +0.29per pick | 59cpaid | +168.4%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xa06f…cbadbacked Yes | 67c | 40.23$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.12 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +2.3wins | +0.26per pick | 63cpaid | +41.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…37a2backed No | 45c | 40$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x755d…6accbacked Yes | 55c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6f7…1f33backed Yes | 51c | 37.73$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.67 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +2.0wins | +0.15per pick | 31cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84b7…d7abbacked No | 32c | 36.38$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c15…9667backed Yes | 39c | 36$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.04 | 127 | 44.1%56 W · 71 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae91…0f69backed Yes | 71c | 35.28$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.28 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | -5.5wins | -0.11per pick | 64cpaid | -20%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa667…ceb3backed No | 39c | 34.66$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf800…bdbabacked No | 44c | 27.85$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.25 | 191 | 45%86 W · 105 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f90…82aabacked No | 48c | 27.1$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7ea…ea62backed No | 38c | 26.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.34 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a5a…3427backed Yes | 65c | 26.61$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.35 | 61 | 57.4%35 W · 26 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ead…bdccbacked No | 52c | 24.69$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.74 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f50…7077backed Yes | 57c | 22.83$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.83 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c64…cb26backed No | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1b…bc10backed No | 56c | 18.59$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d56…046fbacked Yes | 63c | 16$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.92 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.