South American Leagues · resolved market
Spread: São Paulo FC (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x50a979fb83d7bd7d383250542ea302b61ce2080315228fb645649e8566967a80
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- CA Boston Riverof São Paulo FC, CA Boston River
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,884
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,934
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,884 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee0d…57abbacked São Paulo FC | 36c | 20,302$7,304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,304.47 | 42 | 38.1%16 W · 26 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed CA Boston River | 64c | 7,132$4,565 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,566.77 | 2,514 | 39%980 W · 1,534 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb86f…da81backed CA Boston River | 64c | 6,651$4,256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,394.19 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d76…9168backed CA Boston River | 64c | 3,424$2,192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,232.78 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 59cpaid | +72.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2305…0acebacked CA Boston River | 64c | 1,703$1,090 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$613.22 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972f…65bdbacked São Paulo FC | 37c | 785.97$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.43 | 132 | 57.6%76 W · 56 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked CA Boston River | 76c | 664.47$506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.68 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed CA Boston River | 63c | 522.83$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.37 | 1,651 | 50.6%836 W · 815 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e9a…a9a8backed CA Boston River | 65c | 502.85$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.4 | 119 | 63.9%76 W · 43 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2707…0afabacked São Paulo FC | 23c | 476.9$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.69 | 131 | 34.4%45 W · 86 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -19%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed CA Boston River | 70c | 384.15$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.91 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…f301backed São Paulo FC | 36c | 292.83$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.11 | 57 | 24.6%14 W · 43 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked CA Boston River | 66c | 257.17$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.86 | 2,170 | 43.7%948 W · 1,222 L | -53.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x234b…f36dbacked CA Boston River | 64c | 239.13$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.09 | 332 | 66.3%220 W · 112 L | +24.8wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked São Paulo FC | 27c | 237.52$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.13 | 723 | 50.5%365 W · 358 L | -24.9wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed CA Boston River | 64c | 180$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.8 | 551 | 55%303 W · 248 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fb4…d080backed São Paulo FC | 34c | 157.05$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.4 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked CA Boston River | 64c | 125$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 1,355 | 49.7%674 W · 681 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed CA Boston River | 64c | 125$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a77…4fcfbacked São Paulo FC | 24c | 89.71$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.95 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked CA Boston River | 64c | 76.32$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.47 | 242 | 53.3%129 W · 113 L | +8.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c27…1555backed CA Boston River | 77c | 74.99$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.1 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +2.7wins | +0.22per pick | 61cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8409…254abacked CA Boston River | 64c | 67.27$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.22 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +55%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1de9…9499backed São Paulo FC | 26c | 54.86$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.34 | 81 | 46.9%38 W · 43 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3baa…68ecbacked CA Boston River | 67c | 51.2$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.9 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed CA Boston River | 67c | 50.57$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.78 | 571 | 57.8%330 W · 241 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked CA Boston River | 67c | 50.57$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.78 | 412 | 56.6%233 W · 179 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed São Paulo FC | 22c | 45.46$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 716 | 19.7%141 W · 575 L | -49.1wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0bec…c707backed CA Boston River | 67c | 42.22$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.02 | 89 | 64%57 W · 32 L | +5.6wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9787…37dfbacked São Paulo FC | 35c | 41.19$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.42 | 181 | 45.3%82 W · 99 L | +8.4wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8098…5646backed CA Boston River | 67c | 33.08$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.92 | 167 | 59.9%100 W · 67 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaedd…ad5bbacked CA Boston River | 64c | 30.58$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.01 | 286 | 65%186 W · 100 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b74…1e21backed CA Boston River | 64c | 30.58$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.01 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | +3.0wins | +0.12per pick | 58cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1121…6604backed CA Boston River | 64c | 30.33$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.92 | 109 | 43.1%47 W · 62 L | -5.9wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc9b7…93ebbacked CA Boston River | 66c | 20.88$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.1 | 76 | 60.5%46 W · 30 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…44e1backed CA Boston River | 66c | 19.93$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.78 | 162 | 55.6%90 W · 72 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8b9…46e4backed CA Boston River | 66c | 19.25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.55 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe02…5fb3backed CA Boston River | 67c | 18.16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.01 | 89 | 61.8%55 W · 34 L | +5.6wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa85b…eb0ebacked CA Boston River | 66c | 17.62$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.99 | 166 | 53.6%89 W · 77 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed CA Boston River | 66c | 17.5$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.86 | 636 | 57.5%366 W · 270 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed CA Boston River | 66c | 17.5$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.86 | 335 | 60.9%204 W · 131 L | +18.7wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed CA Boston River | 66c | 17.5$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.86 | 650 | 58%377 W · 273 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed CA Boston River | 66c | 17.5$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.86 | 367 | 57.5%211 W · 156 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed CA Boston River | 66c | 17.5$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.86 | 477 | 56%267 W · 210 L | +9.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5bd…b891backed CA Boston River | 66c | 17.5$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.86 | 123 | 61.8%76 W · 47 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd443…5f71backed CA Boston River | 65c | 17$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.95 | 296 | 53%157 W · 139 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: São Paulo FC (-1.5)this page
- CA Boston River vs. São Paulo FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- CA Boston River vs. São Paulo FC: O/U 1.5Under won
- CA Boston River vs. São Paulo FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- CA Boston River vs. São Paulo FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- CA Boston River vs. São Paulo FC: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.