TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

South American Leagues · resolved market

CA Boston River vs. São Paulo FC: O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$184,709
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$182,108

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $184,709 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 104 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xee0d…57abbacked Over52c161,518$83,859 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83,859.144238.1%16 W · 26 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-19.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under49c57,180$27,917 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29,263.38,10748.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L+26.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under49c28,823$14,197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,626.045,75745.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L+94.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Under49c11,638$5,669 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,968.7565058%377 W · 273 L+21.6wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+3.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Under49c11,110$5,404 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,705.5633560.9%204 W · 131 L+18.7wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+7.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x86c8…c867backed Under47c9,682$4,551 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,131.463574.3%26 W · 9 L+6.5wins+0.19per pick56cpaid+28%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x05e3…4b87backed Over50c7,071$3,536 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,535.517146.2%79 W · 92 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Under48c5,783$2,764 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,018.8157157.8%330 W · 241 L+9.0wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5677…2ce9backed Over52c5,552$2,887 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,887.082759.3%16 W · 11 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick64cpaid-12.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Under48c5,224$2,501 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,723.4447756%267 W · 210 L+9.9wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked Under48c5,116$2,437 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,678.4241256.6%233 W · 179 L+7.0wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under47c3,743$1,774 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,969.031,32857%757 W · 571 L+57.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+5.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under48c3,166$1,505 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,660.72,17043.7%948 W · 1,222 L-53.8wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-19.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under47c3,147$1,479 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,667.7272350.5%365 W · 358 L-24.9wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-9.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x82de…1337backed Under48c2,823$1,344 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,478.7528158.7%165 W · 116 L+12.4wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+3.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb5bd…b891backed Under47c2,593$1,223 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,370.5512361.8%76 W · 47 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed Under48c2,308$1,102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,205.836757.5%211 W · 156 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8098…5646backed Under48c2,102$1,005 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,096.6216759.9%100 W · 67 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa42c…b22ebacked Under48c1,681$806 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$875.357857.7%45 W · 33 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7511…582ebacked Under49c1,662$812 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$850.1220059.5%119 W · 81 L+11.0wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+7.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x12b9…3ec2backed Over50c1,650$822 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$821.7830841.2%127 W · 181 L+9.5wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+10.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under49c1,207$588 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$618.852,51439%980 W · 1,534 L-32.2wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under53c1,167$624 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$543.322,38851.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L-9.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0fce…63d5backed Under48c1,131$539 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$592.649054.4%49 W · 41 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x30db…44e1backed Under48c1,016$483 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$532.3716255.6%90 W · 72 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick58cpaid+0.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfcf3…f535backed Under47c968.2$455 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$513.151560%9 W · 6 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+16.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb1ef…9fadbacked Over43c940.59$408 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$408.4712354.5%67 W · 56 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2373…a1f3backed Under47c816.53$388 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$428.8519056.3%107 W · 83 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x07d0…1310backed Under49c593.51$291 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$302.693764.9%24 W · 13 L+2.9wins+0.08per pick57cpaid+20.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4ec3…34a7backed Under48c530.61$253 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$277.549457.4%54 W · 40 L+3.6wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Over31c480.66$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.9185220.7%176 W · 676 L-85.2wins-0.10per pick31cpaid-52.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x3a15…52d6backed Under48c427.15$203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$224.0110564.8%68 W · 37 L+4.2wins+0.04per pick61cpaid+2.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed Under49c397.54$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202.8363657.5%366 W · 270 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe6a3…04bebacked Under49c397.54$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202.8318154.7%99 W · 82 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa8ed…8bb4backed Under49c395.67$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201.797955.7%44 W · 35 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-8.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2e6c…e09cbacked Under49c351.59$173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.9126160.9%159 W · 102 L+20.4wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+12.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0542…e195backed Over33c345.32$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1135832.8%19 W · 39 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-16.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under43c338.09$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.33,74938.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L-33.3wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7c8a…02acbacked Under49c325.95$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.866451.6%33 W · 31 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-9.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfce1…4f4cbacked Under48c308.78$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.4410456.7%59 W · 45 L+0.4wins0.00per pick56cpaid-4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd871…6bbabacked Over37c288.66$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.812940.3%52 W · 77 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick43cpaid+2.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc86…7e77backed Under53c285.37$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.4511664.7%75 W · 41 L+7.5wins+0.06per pick58cpaid+7.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc8c2…080bbacked Under49c284.03$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.144052.5%21 W · 19 L-2.1wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-17%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x08ce…f301backed Over30c250$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$755724.6%14 W · 43 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-34.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbe02…5fb3backed Under48c243.25$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.368961.8%55 W · 34 L+5.6wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+16.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5625…6c2abacked Under47c206$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.183467.6%23 W · 11 L+4.5wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+22.9%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x8af5…4bbabacked Over44c199.96$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.982133.3%7 W · 14 L-2.3wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-37.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8c0d…b612backed Over49c199.75$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.9116656%93 W · 73 L-5.8wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-8.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x26dd…0249backed Under49c199.7$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.9318859%111 W · 77 L+10.7wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+3.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6569…7600backed Under49c199.7$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.9316160.9%98 W · 63 L+4.2wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd51e…ac0cbacked Under49c199.7$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.9317857.3%102 W · 76 L+4.7wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+1.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2e73…3f4ebacked Under49c190.36$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.5419264.1%123 W · 69 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick63cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa4e8…ff03backed Under49c157.12$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.5512259%72 W · 50 L+4.2wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2ddd…73b2backed Under48c154.17$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.9516459.8%98 W · 66 L+7.8wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+11.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x06e7…3acabacked Under49c130.7$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.3615654.5%85 W · 71 L+0.5wins0.00per pick54cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd04b…3ce0backed Over51c119.64$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.241947.4%9 W · 10 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa975…42eebacked Under49c118.32$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.1519955.8%111 W · 88 L+5.6wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xea8d…89b1backed Under50c112.58$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.2515457.1%88 W · 66 L-0.4wins0.00per pick57cpaid-8.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3e6d…2671backed Under47c103.67$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.958451.2%43 W · 41 L-3.3wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-12.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb6fc…b24ebacked Under47c103$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.596657.6%38 W · 28 L+6.0wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+21.5%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x93ff…84d1backed Over45c99.99$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$453243.8%14 W · 18 L-1.7wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-10.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf2ba…4028backed Over69c99.2$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.4583642.9%359 W · 477 L-3.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0954…bfffbacked Over41c96.46$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.55922.2%2 W · 7 L-2.2wins-0.24per pick47cpaid-55%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd0e7…eeb1backed Over49c79.49$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.952055%11 W · 9 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick56cpaid+0.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x4cf4…ed22backed Over43c75.07$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.44850%4 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-18.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xea9b…2be5backed Under50c74.71$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.343663.9%23 W · 13 L+2.2wins+0.06per pick58cpaid+4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd8d7…406dbacked Under47c68.58$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.355935.6%21 W · 38 L-3.4wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-23.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa85b…eb0ebacked Under50c65.22$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.6116653.6%89 W · 77 L-4.2wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfbb5…2b6abacked Over52c63.5$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.0239127.1%106 W · 285 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4d2b…5271backed Under48c62.52$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.62657.7%15 W · 11 L-1.6wins-0.06per pick64cpaid-10.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x97a8…078dbacked Under48c60.11$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.212560%15 W · 10 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick58cpaid-4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x834f…266ebacked Under50c59.36$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.571435.7%5 W · 9 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-40.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa178…11a2backed Over32c58.84$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.8376951.5%396 W · 373 L-2.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc770…8dbbbacked Over54c48.62$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.256949.3%34 W · 35 L-6.9wins-0.10per pick59cpaid-22.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd208…29e6backed Under50c48.5$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.258851.1%45 W · 43 L-3.7wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1d1f…acafbacked Under50c48.5$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.252245.5%10 W · 12 L-1.8wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-23%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x231f…254bbacked Under49c48.06$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.284761.7%29 W · 18 L+3.4wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+15.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0198…37e6backed Under52c47$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.713461.8%21 W · 13 L+1.9wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4f72…2fbfbacked Over70c42.09$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.462965.5%19 W · 10 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick67cpaid+1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under48c41.67$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.481,35549.7%674 W · 681 L-8.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Under48c41.67$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.481,65150.6%836 W · 815 L-4.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under48c41.67$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.482,33551.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L+2.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x27b1…6a0bbacked Under49c41.41$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.054557.8%26 W · 19 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb17…32b2backed Under49c35.61$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.164957.1%28 W · 21 L+3.4wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+8.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb6d2…d67bbacked Under47c35.42$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.7729245.2%132 W · 160 L-24.0wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-23.2%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x4666…3a55backed Under47c32.49$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.073100%3 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+74.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6d08…9b65backed Under61c32.02$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.49250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-18%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ed3…274cbacked Under47c30.67$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.159056.7%51 W · 39 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb792…fa38backed Under65c30.12$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.542857.1%16 W · 12 L+1.5wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+13.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x550d…f1ffbacked Under49c29.68$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.1310964.2%70 W · 39 L+6.4wins+0.06per pick58cpaid+4.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5ec5…5923backed Under48c27.28$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.13837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.16per pick54cpaid-27.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x66e4…5583backed Under49c24.39$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.481457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x718d…2b46backed Under56c24.34$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.718451.2%43 W · 41 L-5.5wins-0.07per pick58cpaid-15.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4ccb…604ebacked Under71c24.18$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.06944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-29.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4880…5626backed Under49c24.12$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.33756.8%21 W · 16 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf8c4…39a4backed Under48c23.98$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.551100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+109.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbe9c…1700backed Under51c22.89$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.245362.3%33 W · 20 L+3.7wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+17%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfd56…1a1bbacked Under47c22.66$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.011100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0bec…c707backed Under49c21.76$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.068964%57 W · 32 L+5.6wins+0.06per pick58cpaid+12.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb155…9111backed Under56c20.25$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.832095%19 W · 1 L+7.8wins+0.39per pick56cpaid+76.5%equal weight69+0.17 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.