Fifa International · resolved market
Will Cristiano Ronaldo score a goal in the 2025 UEFA Nations League Final?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9adff02c476987bd88ceb90546924b3457c6a17882604920e9f39355f7f2af10
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,878
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,937
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,878 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x85b9…906dbacked No | 1c | 2,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 199 | 29.1%58 W · 141 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bae…55b5backed No | 71c | 1,384$989 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$989 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +58.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9c8…44fbbacked No | 64c | 819.97$528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$527.98 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4aef…9337backed Yes | 31c | 431.14$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.04 | 132 | 40.2%53 W · 79 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc87…dd68backed Yes | 35c | 320$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaca8…87ffbacked Yes | 36c | 277.78$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.78 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +15%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8773…302fbacked Yes | 36c | 222$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.71 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.13per pick | 44cpaid | -26%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x46a6…8c21backed Yes | 22c | 200$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156 | 45 | 35.6%16 W · 29 L | +4.5wins | +0.10per pick | 26cpaid | +55%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdeb6…8f5dbacked Yes | 31c | 193.62$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.75 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc6c9…bb9ebacked Yes | 37c | 159.7$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.05 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a4f…829ebacked No | 68c | 147.06$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6562…4e48backed Yes | 36c | 89.92$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.92 | 254 | 55.9%142 W · 112 L | -10.0wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked No | 63c | 89.7$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.51 | 1,075 | 45.2%486 W · 589 L | +41.2wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e3e…692abacked Yes | 37c | 87$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.81 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x830d…a69bbacked Yes | 35c | 85.6$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +185.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d8e…d191backed Yes | 35c | 71.43$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.43 | 41 | 17.1%7 W · 34 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1dc…5460backed Yes | 36c | 69.44$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.44 | 69 | 47.8%33 W · 36 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x420c…b751backed Yes | 35c | 57.14$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.14 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed No | 60c | 50$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 100 | 33%33 W · 67 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d45…b661backed Yes | 33c | 50$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.5 | 35 | 28.6%10 W · 25 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a8a…0ffebacked Yes | 35c | 45$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +185.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e1…7c9fbacked No | 66c | 42$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.51 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 62cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc468…009dbacked No | 65c | 29.99$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -24%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74cd…2319backed Yes | 40c | 25.3$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.3 | 39 | 12.8%5 W · 34 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 9cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Cristiano Ronaldo score a goal in the 2025 UEFA Nations League Final?this page
- Will Lamine Yamal score a goal in the 2025 UEFA Nations League Final?No won
- Will Mikel Oyarzabal score a goal in the 2025 UEFA Nations League Final?Yes won
- Will Nico Williams score a goal in the 2025 UEFA Nations League Final?No won
- Will Pedri score a goal in the 2025 UEFA Nations League Final?No won
- Will Álvaro Morata score a goal in the 2025 UEFA Nations League Final?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.