Fifa International · resolved market
Will Nico Williams score a goal in the 2025 UEFA Nations League Final?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9e9e4a28db63ba9e0c5c290c167435c9538d10c1f25dfd62bdf5c04856b9e405
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,826
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,831
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,826 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 15 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc9c8…44fbbacked No | 73c | 550.99$403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.26 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked No | 66c | 539.61$358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.99 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83d2…3a28backed Yes | 28c | 350.99$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d85…d337backed Yes | 27c | 295.61$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -64%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9304…f693backed No | 75c | 233.79$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.2 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -2.0wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b5c…d3bbbacked Yes | 41c | 213.13$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe93f…6769backed Yes | 27c | 181.81$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.09 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c27…1555backed No | 71c | 142$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.18 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a9b…bb0abacked Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 75c | 75.11$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.78 | 83 | 47%39 W · 44 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed No | 75c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 100 | 33%33 W · 67 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21cf…c7ecbacked Yes | 31c | 41.59$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 789 | 27.5%217 W · 572 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3eb0…8826backed Yes | 40c | 35$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86d1…84cbbacked No | 62c | 16.49$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.25 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +21%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Nico Williams score a goal in the 2025 UEFA Nations League Final?this page
- Will Cristiano Ronaldo score a goal in the 2025 UEFA Nations League Final?Yes won
- Will Lamine Yamal score a goal in the 2025 UEFA Nations League Final?No won
- Will Mikel Oyarzabal score a goal in the 2025 UEFA Nations League Final?Yes won
- Will Pedri score a goal in the 2025 UEFA Nations League Final?No won
- Will Álvaro Morata score a goal in the 2025 UEFA Nations League Final?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.