Tennis · resolved market
Wimbledon: Tauson vs. Rybakina (W)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcc2c37ce162d8e97319ce8a590e1b610b1471bff6d9c00522ee1ded7768014be
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Tauson of Tauson , Rybakina
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $56,357
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $63,085
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $56,357 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Rybakina | 37c | 10,989$4,089 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,088.9 | 1,090 | 35.9%391 W · 699 L | +16.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa9…2491backed Rybakina | 40c | 3,826$1,542 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,541.56 | 321 | 41.1%132 W · 189 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07cb…743cbacked Tauson | 27c | 3,743$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,743.53 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | +3.3wins | +0.10per pick | 36cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Rybakina | 60c | 3,721$2,228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,228.36 | 391 | 44.2%173 W · 218 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3210…5c4ebacked Tauson | 51c | 3,677$1,857 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,819.52 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -1.8wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Tauson | 55c | 3,021$1,653 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,368.1 | 280 | 43.2%121 W · 159 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xceae…1cedbacked Rybakina | 20c | 1,560$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.8 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.14per pick | 23cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e67…91b0backed Rybakina | 19c | 1,518$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.84 | 28 | 21.4%6 W · 22 L | -2.6wins | -0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc9c8…44fbbacked Rybakina | 78c | 1,320$1,033 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,033.49 | 98 | 26.5%26 W · 72 L | -6.8wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -33%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4e78…52b5backed Tauson | 52c | 1,205$626 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$579.26 | 93 | 48.4%45 W · 48 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96df…4caabacked Tauson | 17c | 1,203$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,002.78 | 260 | 39.2%102 W · 158 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Tauson | 20c | 1,000$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800 | 731 | 47.9%350 W · 381 L | -16.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2360…1c1cbacked Rybakina | 26c | 964.81$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 88 | 31.8%28 W · 60 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Tauson | 41c | 900.77$371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530 | 1,107 | 42.8%474 W · 633 L | -20.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6149…dacfbacked Rybakina | 39c | 706.21$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed Rybakina | 59c | 699.54$415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$414.95 | 187 | 40.6%76 W · 111 L | +13.2wins | +0.07per pick | 34cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Tauson | 17c | 523.3$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$434.34 | 1,039 | 54.6%567 W · 472 L | +37.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Rybakina | 79c | 520$411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410.8 | 629 | 52.1%328 W · 301 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Tauson | 21c | 500$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$395 | 819 | 38.9%319 W · 500 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Tauson | 20c | 500$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 480 | 43.3%208 W · 272 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5ef…9e7abacked Rybakina | 26c | 494.88$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.67 | 53 | 32.1%17 W · 36 L | -4.7wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Tauson | 21c | 478.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378.57 | 639 | 42.4%271 W · 368 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Rybakina | 79c | 452.38$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357.38 | 96 | 52.1%50 W · 46 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97ae…82bdbacked Tauson | 19c | 415$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335.15 | 220 | 21.8%48 W · 172 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Rybakina | 60c | 408.57$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.7 | 813 | 49.1%399 W · 414 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c80…a608backed Rybakina | 15c | 400$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fbc…a89cbacked Tauson | 20c | 400$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320 | 48 | 29.2%14 W · 34 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89f2…0659backed Tauson | 25c | 400$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | +3.5wins | +0.10per pick | 37cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d5…ac1ebacked Rybakina | 15c | 391.6$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.74 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -2.0wins | -0.15per pick | 36cpaid | -63.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf8d6…0062backed Rybakina | 45c | 388.15$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.71 | 61 | 39.3%24 W · 37 L | -3.5wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd4…ce48backed Rybakina | 53c | 349.06$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185 | 97 | 42.3%41 W · 56 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Rybakina | 15c | 333.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 512 | 43%220 W · 292 L | +14.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Tauson | 21c | 300$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237 | 1,212 | 33.1%401 W · 811 L | -16.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35e8…dde4backed Tauson | 23c | 269.57$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.57 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5cc…3f0fbacked Rybakina | 52c | 256$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.14 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Rybakina | 17c | 200$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 439 | 48.5%213 W · 226 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x866d…4d7dbacked Tauson | 19c | 200$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 21cpaid | +45%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf744…7392backed Rybakina | 39c | 179.49$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 122 | 53.3%65 W · 57 L | -6.9wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xae30…d0a3backed Rybakina | 74c | 125$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.5 | 79 | 43%34 W · 45 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88c4…fbf0backed Tauson | 18c | 100$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82 | 204 | 31.4%64 W · 140 L | +7.7wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x25bf…7a56backed Tauson | 23c | 86.96$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.96 | 2,335 | 46.6%1,088 W · 1,247 L | +55.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Tauson | 19c | 66$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.46 | 459 | 9.6%44 W · 415 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c3…b35abacked Rybakina | 31c | 63.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Rybakina | 22c | 60$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.37 | 1,852 | 44.5%825 W · 1,027 L | -20.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x082b…5e67backed Rybakina | 20c | 58.83$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa337…9e54backed Tauson | 20c | 50$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 93 | 59.1%55 W · 38 L | +8.0wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x10f4…3b7ebacked Rybakina | 79c | 37.97$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 130 | 44.6%58 W · 72 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0c3…0230backed Tauson | 58c | 36.21$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.21 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -2.9wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x198b…9973backed Rybakina | 80c | 21.75$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.4 | 55 | 40%22 W · 33 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x393d…7084backed Tauson | 55c | 21.6$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.72 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.