TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Wimbledon: Bellucci vs. Norrie

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Norrieof Bellucci , Norrie
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$68,041
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$74,058

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $68,041 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 92 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa815…a3c3backed Norrie69c7,522$5,159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,363.2513253.8%71 W · 61 L-6.4wins-0.05per pick59cpaid-11.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf520…0637backed Norrie51c6,968$3,540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,427.3928043.2%121 W · 159 L+4.5wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-17.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x920d…38adbacked Bellucci 37c4,783$1,758 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,757.746033.3%20 W · 40 L-4.3wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-23.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Bellucci 35c4,747$1,671 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,670.5739144.2%173 W · 218 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf557…18debacked Bellucci 61c4,410$2,709 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,708.656376.2%48 W · 15 L+11.0wins+0.17per pick59cpaid+26.4%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed Norrie71c4,091$2,910 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,180.411,09035.9%391 W · 699 L+16.2wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-6.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x97ae…82bdbacked Bellucci 23c3,950$896 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$895.8922021.8%48 W · 172 L-6.6wins-0.03per pick25cpaid-14.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1464…5e75backed Norrie62c3,000$1,860 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,139.9815452.6%81 W · 73 L+10.8wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+26.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x52ad…337dbacked Bellucci 38c2,670$1,014 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,014.11757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-11.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9fa9…2491backed Bellucci 37c2,620$961 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$961.3932141.1%132 W · 189 L-1.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid-19.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Bellucci 31c2,079$635 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$635.1110138.6%39 W · 62 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-30.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbaca…49e6backed Norrie56c1,613$896 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$716.986835.3%24 W · 44 L-3.3wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-24.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfdaa…416dbacked Bellucci 39c1,588$627 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62710%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa14f…7926backed Norrie46c1,559$723 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$835.56666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x821d…0a01backed Bellucci 46c1,505$692 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$692.39935.4%35 W · 64 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9f41…a496backed Norrie69c1,500$1,030 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4704940.8%20 W · 29 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-27%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x60cc…f0dfbacked Bellucci 30c1,324$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40014549%71 W · 74 L+5.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+2.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x37e4…c991backed Norrie60c1,200$720 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48022037.7%83 W · 137 L+1.1wins0.00per pick37cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x89f2…0659backed Bellucci 48c1,050$504 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503.53447.1%16 W · 18 L+3.5wins+0.10per pick37cpaid+27.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x19b4…6318backed Bellucci 39c1,000$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$390333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-52.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x68fd…0285backed Norrie61c1,000$610 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3902100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+50.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf745…c60dbacked Bellucci 40c950$380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8de7…1e22backed Norrie59c795$469 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$325.95333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.26per pick59cpaid-43.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3557…993fbacked Bellucci 41c785$322 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$321.85250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-20.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x39cb…46e8backed Norrie61c700.2$426 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$274.439453.2%50 W · 44 L-0.3wins0.00per pick54cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd22c…53e9backed Norrie55c665.27$367 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$298.273056.7%17 W · 13 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick54cpaid-4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x700f…62d8backed Bellucci 38c657.89$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25038348%184 W · 199 L+7.7wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x735a…3ef2backed Bellucci 39c646.21$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2504544.4%20 W · 25 L-2.1wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-18.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0e64…8d31backed Norrie60c555$333 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2221100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Bellucci 22c512$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.271,10742.8%474 W · 633 L-20.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-16.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Norrie54c500$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23081938.9%319 W · 500 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d26…ccb8backed Norrie58c497.99$287 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$210.613762.8%86 W · 51 L+3.6wins+0.03per pick60cpaid-5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4b5a…7618backed Bellucci 41c497$206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205.8125330%76 W · 177 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick28cpaid-5.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x27a9…8781backed Norrie60c473.7$283 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190.715439.6%61 W · 93 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+9.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xac43…4925backed Norrie50c470.34$235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.1729553.2%157 W · 138 L-17.1wins-0.06per pick59cpaid-12.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc1f0…9b5cbacked Norrie60c445$267 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1782100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.32per pick69cpaid+48.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa8f2…5495backed Norrie60c433.33$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.331758.8%10 W · 7 L+1.3wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa020…d807backed Norrie55c380$209 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1712718.5%5 W · 22 L-2.0wins-0.07per pick26cpaid-65.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x24df…e8b2backed Bellucci 44c343.77$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.846530.8%20 W · 45 L-4.9wins-0.08per pick38cpaid-40.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6497…e879backed Bellucci 38c302.63$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+49.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Bellucci 39c256.41$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10048043.3%208 W · 272 L-1.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Bellucci 39c256.41$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10063942.4%271 W · 368 L+1.3wins0.00per pick42cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4483…c565backed Norrie65c230.77$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.7718543.2%80 W · 105 L-13.4wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-13.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x713f…22ccbacked Norrie62c227.67$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.513148.4%15 W · 16 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-10.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc615…9f26backed Bellucci 23c216.37$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505819%11 W · 47 L-2.4wins-0.04per pick23cpaid-31.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8016…0ff0backed Bellucci 41c215$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.1510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x481b…74c1backed Norrie70c200$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.59130.8%28 W · 63 L-2.9wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-29.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd5dd…7564backed Norrie63c200$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$743345.5%15 W · 18 L+2.5wins+0.08per pick38cpaid+13.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Bellucci 38c200$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$761,21233.1%401 W · 811 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8f13…daaebacked Bellucci 44c196.29$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.7624634.1%84 W · 162 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6562…4e48backed Bellucci 41c180.43$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.2114456.3%81 W · 63 L-10.7wins-0.07per pick64cpaid-11.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xbabf…3512backed Norrie59c175$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.751100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6111…c02fbacked Bellucci 39c162.91$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.533946.2%18 W · 21 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-13.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa61d…df1abacked Norrie62c161.45$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.4510457.7%60 W · 44 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb478…ac0abacked Norrie62c161.29$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.2936047.2%170 W · 190 L+9.6wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-1.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0113…6f26backed Norrie53c159.88$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.8212949.6%64 W · 65 L+0.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0455…e25abacked Norrie61c151.72$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.721533.3%5 W · 10 L-1.7wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-41.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x338b…97b3backed Norrie44c136.36$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.363441.2%14 W · 20 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-10%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfdbf…c88ebacked Bellucci 40c125$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5024529.8%73 W · 172 L-6.2wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-10.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x101c…4392backed Bellucci 42c125$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.13836.8%14 W · 24 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick38cpaid+4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3ab6…cfecbacked Bellucci 42c119.05$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5012927.1%35 W · 94 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick26cpaid-24.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc54a…4b6fbacked Norrie61c106.66$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.61741.2%7 W · 10 L-3.2wins-0.19per pick60cpaid-35%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2ba0…ff3abacked Norrie49c102.04$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.0443158.2%251 W · 180 L-5.2wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x88c4…fbf0backed Bellucci 36c101.65$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.5920431.4%64 W · 140 L+7.7wins+0.04per pick28cpaid+19.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb8af…4900backed Norrie60c100$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4017349.1%85 W · 88 L+5.7wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x045c…5861backed Norrie57c100$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4315246.7%71 W · 81 L-0.6wins0.00per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Norrie49c84$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.991,85244.5%825 W · 1,027 L-20.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-18.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf419…3ce7backed Bellucci 38c79.84$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.437236.1%26 W · 46 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick32cpaid+14.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x742f…d673backed Bellucci 27c78$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.8343948.5%213 W · 226 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-12.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x10f4…3b7ebacked Bellucci 59c67.8$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4013044.6%58 W · 72 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x355a…98a6backed Bellucci 39c64.1$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2518839.9%75 W · 113 L-5.9wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-16.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x74e6…99e8backed Norrie61c59.98$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.398061.3%49 W · 31 L+5.5wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+12.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf8d6…0062backed Bellucci 38c57.18$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.016139.3%24 W · 37 L-3.5wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-18.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7732…fa11backed Norrie50c51.74$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$263540%14 W · 21 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-28.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x224b…f6b8backed Bellucci 36c50$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182152.4%11 W · 10 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x25bf…7a56backed Norrie63c47.3$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.32,33546.6%1,088 W · 1,247 L+55.3wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x20f2…2dccbacked Bellucci 40c45$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-51.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc9d1…2b9ebacked Bellucci 45c44.31$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.9416445.7%75 W · 89 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb8c3…b35abacked Bellucci 40c44.22$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.533348.5%16 W · 17 L+2.1wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+13.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x198b…9973backed Bellucci 38c43.04$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.355540%22 W · 33 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-18.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcba6…bb05backed Norrie51c42.99$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.2310651.9%55 W · 51 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6fd9…f0d5backed Bellucci 65c34.45$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.3917767.2%119 W · 58 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick69cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb25…0e5bbacked Norrie58c33.38$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.083246.9%15 W · 17 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-22.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xafbc…a8b5backed Norrie61c32.78$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.786560%39 W · 26 L+5.6wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+15.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7a52…05b4backed Norrie61c29.76$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.612133.3%7 W · 14 L-4.9wins-0.23per pick56cpaid-31.7%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xae30…d0a3backed Norrie62c27.52$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.467943%34 W · 45 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-16.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Norrie63c23.94$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.7881349.1%399 W · 414 L+21.6wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-9.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf112…21ebbacked Norrie62c20.97$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.9713864.5%89 W · 49 L+4.6wins+0.03per pick61cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc5cc…3f0fbacked Norrie63c20.63$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.632657.7%15 W · 11 L+1.5wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4a83…d804backed Norrie59c20$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.22100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.31per pick70cpaid+47.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x393d…7084backed Norrie61c19.48$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.63948.7%19 W · 20 L+2.5wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+11.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xabdd…a3cabacked Norrie67c15.25$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.051963.2%12 W · 7 L+2.2wins+0.12per pick52cpaid+25.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.