Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Aurora (BO3)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xabab04478dd0f0fe35030f6e9f73f3eac7a6db400f492784e02d626307446824
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Tundra Esportsof Tundra Esports, Aurora
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $50,029
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $57,379
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $50,029 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 118 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcccc…dbddbacked Aurora | 24c | 8,888$2,133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,132.82 | 199 | 43.2%86 W · 113 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x827a…8a2bbacked Tundra Esports | 79c | 3,148$2,484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$663.96 | 80 | 46.3%37 W · 43 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c82…1f13backed Tundra Esports | 74c | 3,072$2,284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$787.88 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Aurora | 19c | 1,500$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285 | 399 | 36.8%147 W · 252 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Tundra Esports | 76c | 1,375$1,042 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.51 | 118 | 55.1%65 W · 53 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Aurora | 18c | 1,345$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.51 | 628 | 41.1%258 W · 370 L | -17.8wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed Aurora | 13c | 1,214$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.29 | 364 | 42.3%154 W · 210 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8a8…3d3fbacked Aurora | 26c | 1,088$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Aurora | 21c | 1,001$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.09 | 206 | 42.2%87 W · 119 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb116…940abacked Tundra Esports | 76c | 1,000$760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 89 | 50.6%45 W · 44 L | -7.3wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7072…abccbacked Tundra Esports | 78c | 1,000$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220 | 128 | 68%87 W · 41 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x303b…53cabacked Aurora | 7c | 910.83$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.76 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 9cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe724…5c55backed Aurora | 22c | 900.54$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bfe…ab8dbacked Tundra Esports | 76c | 874.03$663 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.03 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.7wins | +0.20per pick | 45cpaid | +48.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Aurora | 12c | 803.1$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.37 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1473…d28bbacked Aurora | 3c | 789.29$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.89 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b26…c9afbacked Tundra Esports | 76c | 785$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185 | 142 | 51.4%73 W · 69 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5984…76ebbacked Aurora | 26c | 783.58$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.28 | 208 | 27.9%58 W · 150 L | -11.2wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee14…8055backed Aurora | 13c | 745.55$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.25 | 149 | 47.7%71 W · 78 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x031d…db9dbacked Tundra Esports | 76c | 700$532 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168 | 156 | 53.2%83 W · 73 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe42b…7ea9backed Aurora | 20c | 700$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 465 | 35.1%163 W · 302 L | +22.9wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe08e…1d61backed Tundra Esports | 78c | 641.03$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.03 | 46 | 78.3%36 W · 10 L | +6.1wins | +0.13per pick | 65cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1448…9b9cbacked Tundra Esports | 80c | 625$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125 | 132 | 62.9%83 W · 49 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4cd…e2abbacked Aurora | 26c | 602.43$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.63 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba05…f8c0backed Aurora | 25c | 599.79$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.15 | 491 | 33.6%165 W · 326 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd4b…f8fbbacked Aurora | 22c | 488$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.55 | 51 | 37.3%19 W · 32 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Aurora | 22c | 454.55$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 173 | 42.8%74 W · 99 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f0…0d38backed Aurora | 21c | 433.33$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9801…1ab6backed Aurora | 25c | 388$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.75 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | -4.9wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Aurora | 12c | 354.23$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.1 | 897 | 49.6%445 W · 452 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x209e…8bb4backed Tundra Esports | 76c | 333$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.92 | 805 | 44.6%359 W · 446 L | -25.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38e3…e46dbacked Aurora | 19c | 309.09$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 38 | 26.3%10 W · 28 L | -3.5wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x115d…1691backed Aurora | 11c | 300.04$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.18 | 142 | 44.4%63 W · 79 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb82b…3a09backed Aurora | 20c | 300$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 149 | 48.3%72 W · 77 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x040f…e98cbacked Tundra Esports | 77c | 277.71$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.87 | 60 | 46.7%28 W · 32 L | -5.0wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x37b4…d5e5backed Aurora | 24c | 272$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.28 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -47%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4f2…3263backed Tundra Esports | 77c | 258.08$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.08 | 61 | 75.4%46 W · 15 L | +5.8wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x871c…7f0abacked Tundra Esports | 78c | 257.37$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.37 | 60 | 68.3%41 W · 19 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 62cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb80d…0ac1backed Aurora | 18c | 250$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 69 | 36.2%25 W · 44 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5cc…3f0fbacked Tundra Esports | 76c | 235.83$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.83 | 59 | 72.9%43 W · 16 L | +5.7wins | +0.10per pick | 63cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Aurora | 13c | 219.71$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.56 | 869 | 49%426 W · 443 L | -3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0039…046ebacked Aurora | 25c | 204$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -65.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc36…1b11backed Aurora | 10c | 200.87$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 29 | 17.2%5 W · 24 L | -4.6wins | -0.16per pick | 33cpaid | -24%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x51ec…a7b9backed Aurora | 8c | 200$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 94 | 23.4%22 W · 72 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc89d…5909backed Tundra Esports | 77c | 200$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2d6…d648backed Tundra Esports | 76c | 197.37$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.37 | 14 | 92.9%13 W · 1 L | +3.0wins | +0.21per pick | 71cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfd96…e623backed Aurora | 22c | 172$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.2 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Aurora | 20c | 161.15$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.37 | 145 | 37.2%54 W · 91 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcca…c460backed Tundra Esports | 74c | 157.25$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.89 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Aurora | 17c | 143$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.86 | 616 | 9.7%60 W · 556 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2a0…cbd6backed Aurora | 22c | 136.36$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe1ab…62e3backed Aurora | 19c | 134.17$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc393…66f9backed Tundra Esports | 78c | 127.53$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.53 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 74cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Aurora | 22c | 125.23$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.55 | 605 | 42.6%258 W · 347 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Aurora | 21c | 109.53$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc9…5c4cbacked Aurora | 20c | 105.65$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.30per pick | 50cpaid | -73.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked Aurora | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 641 | 23.4%150 W · 491 L | -18.6wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x730e…fca0backed Tundra Esports | 76c | 100$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 205 | 35.1%72 W · 133 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -21%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Tundra Esports | 75c | 100$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 105 | 60%63 W · 42 L | +4.5wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8046…a845backed Aurora | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 59 | 50.8%30 W · 29 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x61a1…6657backed Aurora | 24c | 84.98$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd138…7058backed Tundra Esports | 77c | 70.13$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.13 | 115 | 51.3%59 W · 56 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e9d…6fd0backed Tundra Esports | 76c | 68.51$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.44 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +167%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfe00…cdd3backed Tundra Esports | 77c | 67.53$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.53 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4283…b5dabacked Tundra Esports | 78c | 64.1$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 46 | 78.3%36 W · 10 L | +4.9wins | +0.11per pick | 68cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc36a…a9cbbacked Tundra Esports | 77c | 63.64$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadf1…e1cfbacked Tundra Esports | 78c | 61.54$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.54 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Aurora | 23c | 60$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 59 | 28.8%17 W · 42 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02a4…6854backed Aurora | 24c | 59.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 1,797 | 55.8%1,003 W · 794 L | +37.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3bec…6997backed Aurora | 24c | 55$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xace9…f74abacked Tundra Esports | 79c | 55$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.52 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0257…22b2backed Tundra Esports | 77c | 52.28$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.28 | 236 | 50.4%119 W · 117 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10ec…0c19backed Tundra Esports | 78c | 51.39$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.39 | 35 | 74.3%26 W · 9 L | +2.7wins | +0.08per pick | 67cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5476…9649backed Tundra Esports | 77c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a29…c0b6backed Tundra Esports | 80c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 57 | 77.2%44 W · 13 L | +4.4wins | +0.08per pick | 69cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf181…a896backed Tundra Esports | 75c | 49.33$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.33 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4601…ae78backed Tundra Esports | 77c | 38.96$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.96 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa092…f64ebacked Tundra Esports | 77c | 38.78$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.78 | 34 | 76.5%26 W · 8 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 70cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec5a…3171backed Tundra Esports | 77c | 36.36$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.36 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x772d…c519backed Tundra Esports | 77c | 35.2$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0b0…d24bbacked Tundra Esports | 77c | 35.06$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.06 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x447d…5cf9backed Tundra Esports | 78c | 34.62$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.62 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x376c…8836backed Tundra Esports | 77c | 33.77$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.77 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c3a…0cdfbacked Tundra Esports | 77c | 31.17$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.17 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc209…7924backed Tundra Esports | 77c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.9 | 507 | 57.4%291 W · 216 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3b9…c68cbacked Tundra Esports | 76c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb52c…fb5bbacked Tundra Esports | 77c | 29.87$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.87 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf570…d06abacked Tundra Esports | 77c | 29.87$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.87 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac18…dea2backed Tundra Esports | 77c | 29.87$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.87 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c91…6281backed Tundra Esports | 78c | 29.49$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.49 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5890…eb6cbacked Tundra Esports | 75c | 29.33$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.33 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf07f…5516backed Tundra Esports | 77c | 28.57$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.57 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe413…ff36backed Tundra Esports | 75c | 26.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3de…2e55backed Tundra Esports | 74c | 26.39$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.8 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 65cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce01…5c2abacked Tundra Esports | 76c | 26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.24 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 71cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x037a…9e29backed Tundra Esports | 77c | 25.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.97 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb851…3da7backed Tundra Esports | 77c | 25.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.97 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d27…bd5abacked Tundra Esports | 78c | 25.64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.64 | 468 | 72.2%338 W · 130 L | +36.5wins | +0.08per pick | 64cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x25e0…d873backed Tundra Esports | 78c | 25.64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.64 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe03a…856bbacked Tundra Esports | 78c | 25.64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.64 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Aurora (BO3)this page
- Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Aurora - Game 1 WinnerTundra Esports won
- Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Aurora - Game 2 WinnerTundra Esports won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.