Tennis · resolved market
Wimbledon: Darderi vs. Thompson
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7cd14bc019cd852b92e36ab57047358a7268fce9085d9190330305d4f6102bca
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Thompsonof Darderi, Thompson
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $40,503
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $45,852
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $40,503 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8e0b…9e5cbacked Darderi | 42c | 10,707$4,494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,494.48 | 139 | 34.5%48 W · 91 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Thompson | 78c | 8,377$6,558 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,819.59 | 280 | 43.2%121 W · 159 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Darderi | 35c | 5,246$1,844 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,844.23 | 1,107 | 42.8%474 W · 633 L | -20.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Thompson | 58c | 3,897$2,257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,640.49 | 391 | 44.2%173 W · 218 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Thompson | 68c | 3,521$2,409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,112.23 | 1,090 | 35.9%391 W · 699 L | +16.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Thompson | 58c | 2,500$1,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,049.99 | 154 | 52.6%81 W · 73 L | +10.8wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xae30…d0a3backed Thompson | 58c | 1,943$1,127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$815.97 | 79 | 43%34 W · 45 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Darderi | 17c | 1,603$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.6 | 101 | 38.6%39 W · 62 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked Thompson | 55c | 1,556$856 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$700.23 | 1,446 | 48.8%706 W · 740 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed Darderi | 22c | 1,313$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.06 | 246 | 37.4%92 W · 154 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a94…56edbacked Thompson | 56c | 1,000$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +54.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x633f…03b1backed Darderi | 44c | 1,000$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedf5…370dbacked Darderi | 43c | 1,000$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce1b…2192backed Thompson | 57c | 825$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.75 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54a1…7cb1backed Thompson | 73c | 614.11$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.11 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Darderi | 36c | 606.99$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.1 | 65 | 30.8%20 W · 45 L | -4.9wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3010…a27cbacked Darderi | 25c | 550$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.5 | 107 | 29%31 W · 76 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d26…ccb8backed Darderi | 28c | 525$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147 | 137 | 62.8%86 W · 51 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87a4…953ebacked Thompson | 62c | 492$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.16 | 1,056 | 55.4%585 W · 471 L | -22.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d6f…482cbacked Thompson | 56c | 297.89$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.96 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e78…52b5backed Darderi | 15c | 259.31$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 93 | 48.4%45 W · 48 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Thompson | 76c | 243.42$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.19 | 813 | 49.1%399 W · 414 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd9c…f0c8backed Darderi | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6497…e879backed Darderi | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +49.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Thompson | 59c | 222.83$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.36 | 2,761 | 53.9%1,487 W · 1,274 L | +73.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Darderi | 21c | 209$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.9 | 1,852 | 44.5%825 W · 1,027 L | -20.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca38…460bbacked Darderi | 41c | 200$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 183 | 38.8%71 W · 112 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2035…ce7fbacked Thompson | 57c | 175$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.25 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 63cpaid | +61.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Thompson | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.49 | 480 | 43.3%208 W · 272 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Thompson | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.49 | 639 | 42.4%271 W · 368 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab3e…6939backed Darderi | 12c | 166.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 56 | 17.9%10 W · 46 L | -3.7wins | -0.07per pick | 24cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6111…c02fbacked Thompson | 62c | 143.77$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.28 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Thompson | 65c | 118$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.81 | 439 | 48.5%213 W · 226 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x045c…5861backed Thompson | 57c | 108$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.44 | 152 | 46.7%71 W · 81 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x412a…802cbacked Thompson | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 71 | 49.3%35 W · 36 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88c4…fbf0backed Darderi | 39c | 100$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 204 | 31.4%64 W · 140 L | +7.7wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Darderi | 40c | 95$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 1,212 | 33.1%401 W · 811 L | -16.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0455…e25abacked Darderi | 22c | 90.91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ab6…cfecbacked Thompson | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.72 | 129 | 27.1%35 W · 94 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Thompson | 55c | 87.07$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.18 | 1,039 | 54.6%567 W · 472 L | +37.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd073…b757backed Darderi | 45c | 86.67$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 34 | 29.4%10 W · 24 L | -6.4wins | -0.19per pick | 48cpaid | -54.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x25bf…7a56backed Darderi | 42c | 71.43$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2,335 | 46.6%1,088 W · 1,247 L | +55.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21cd…e7aabacked Darderi | 20c | 70.38$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 74 | 41.9%31 W · 43 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x10f4…3b7ebacked Darderi | 33c | 60.61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 130 | 44.6%58 W · 72 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba05…f8c0backed Darderi | 19c | 60.56$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -2.1wins | -0.10per pick | 34cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcba6…bb05backed Thompson | 78c | 51$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.28 | 106 | 51.9%55 W · 51 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbc…5d23backed Darderi | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -2.3wins | -0.14per pick | 46cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xafbc…a8b5backed Thompson | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 65 | 60%39 W · 26 L | +5.6wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc615…9f26backed Darderi | 42c | 33.33$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 58 | 19%11 W · 47 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x393d…7084backed Darderi | 45c | 26.4$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.88 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc5cc…3f0fbacked Thompson | 59c | 22.03$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.03 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc061…a297backed Thompson | 79c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 51 | 66.7%34 W · 17 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa9…2491backed Thompson | 72c | 19.48$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.4 | 321 | 41.1%132 W · 189 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd267…9dc6backed Thompson | 57c | 17.52$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.51 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7732…fa11backed Thompson | 77c | 16.71$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.84 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.