Tennis · resolved market
Wimbledon: Majchrzak vs. Rinderknech
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xca8565a7ae9834c95f8b79b4aae6d8af04af8201fb82db82f3b4d63542ca0191
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Majchrzakof Majchrzak, Rinderknech
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $32,331
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $35,352
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,331 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf520…0637backed Majchrzak | 80c | 4,524$3,597 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$927.29 | 280 | 43.2%121 W · 159 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Rinderknech | 13c | 4,307$539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$539 | 1,090 | 35.9%391 W · 699 L | +16.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbada…3fcbbacked Majchrzak | 46c | 3,080$1,428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,651.37 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +119.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6332…6128backed Majchrzak | 48c | 2,824$1,352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,472.69 | 108 | 39.8%43 W · 65 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x821d…0a01backed Rinderknech | 52c | 2,100$1,092 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,092 | 99 | 35.4%35 W · 64 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f2…5495backed Rinderknech | 55c | 1,365$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Rinderknech | 24c | 951.76$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.23 | 1,107 | 42.8%474 W · 633 L | -20.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa9…2491backed Majchrzak | 74c | 908.37$672 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.34 | 321 | 41.1%132 W · 189 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4aef…9337backed Rinderknech | 53c | 800$424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$424 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5ed…2ea5backed Majchrzak | 47c | 690$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$365.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Rinderknech | 51c | 687.1$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.42 | 627 | 42.4%266 W · 361 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0469…7865backed Majchrzak | 48c | 665$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6948…4370backed Rinderknech | 53c | 655$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.15 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +64%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x644b…2145backed Rinderknech | 37c | 644$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.36 | 73 | 35.6%26 W · 47 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -26%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34cb…009cbacked Rinderknech | 52c | 620$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c80…a608backed Rinderknech | 16c | 523$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.68 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Rinderknech | 42c | 473.42$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.68 | 372 | 30.4%113 W · 259 L | -12.0wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3010…a27cbacked Rinderknech | 16c | 455.32$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.85 | 107 | 29%31 W · 76 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Majchrzak | 44c | 444.42$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.7 | 391 | 44.2%173 W · 218 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedf5…370dbacked Rinderknech | 52c | 375$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf744…7392backed Rinderknech | 29c | 340.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 122 | 53.3%65 W · 57 L | -6.9wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe755…c1ecbacked Majchrzak | 48c | 325$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8de7…1e22backed Rinderknech | 53c | 305$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.65 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 59cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Rinderknech | 53c | 303.93$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.09 | 2,761 | 53.9%1,487 W · 1,274 L | +73.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54e7…e35fbacked Rinderknech | 53c | 280$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.4 | 129 | 54.3%70 W · 59 L | -6.2wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd9c…f0c8backed Rinderknech | 38c | 263.05$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xad32…be28backed Majchrzak | 47c | 260$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.8 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Majchrzak | 45c | 200$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 1,212 | 33.1%401 W · 811 L | -16.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Rinderknech | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 639 | 42.4%271 W · 368 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff92…f22cbacked Rinderknech | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ed…f17dbacked Rinderknech | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Rinderknech | 24c | 175.47$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.39 | 439 | 48.5%213 W · 226 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef13…53d2backed Rinderknech | 34c | 173.53$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 250 | 43.2%108 W · 142 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0455…e25abacked Rinderknech | 23c | 171.07$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Rinderknech | 59c | 169.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 480 | 43.3%208 W · 272 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Rinderknech | 21c | 153$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.4 | 1,852 | 44.5%825 W · 1,027 L | -20.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Rinderknech | 26c | 128.72$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.63 | 813 | 49.1%399 W · 414 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfdbf…c88ebacked Rinderknech | 22c | 120.36$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.98 | 245 | 29.8%73 W · 172 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e17…e4d4backed Rinderknech | 55c | 106.73$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.7 | 159 | 61%97 W · 62 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x355a…98a6backed Rinderknech | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 188 | 39.9%75 W · 113 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8af…4900backed Majchrzak | 61c | 77.78$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.5 | 173 | 49.1%85 W · 88 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10f4…3b7ebacked Rinderknech | 54c | 73.64$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 130 | 44.6%58 W · 72 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x25bf…7a56backed Rinderknech | 55c | 54.55$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2,335 | 46.6%1,088 W · 1,247 L | +55.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba05…f8c0backed Rinderknech | 23c | 51.64$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.1 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -2.1wins | -0.10per pick | 34cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Majchrzak | 66c | 51$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.21 | 65 | 30.8%20 W · 45 L | -4.9wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x348d…b38fbacked Majchrzak | 47c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +71.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x224b…f6b8backed Rinderknech | 55c | 50$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x362c…ac6ebacked Rinderknech | 54c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 67 | 56.7%38 W · 29 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf8d6…0062backed Majchrzak | 45c | 49.99$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.6 | 61 | 39.3%24 W · 37 L | -3.5wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x89f2…0659backed Rinderknech | 51c | 46.8$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.87 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | +3.5wins | +0.10per pick | 37cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xafbc…a8b5backed Majchrzak | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.44 | 65 | 60%39 W · 26 L | +5.6wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfd48…cd99backed Rinderknech | 39c | 43.46$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x860f…422ebacked Rinderknech | 54c | 38$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.52 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21cd…e7aabacked Majchrzak | 45c | 33$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 74 | 41.9%31 W · 43 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…72d0backed Rinderknech | 53c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x393d…7084backed Majchrzak | 49c | 24.24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.36 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc5cc…3f0fbacked Rinderknech | 55c | 23.64$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.