TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2024 French Open Men's Singles?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$89,149
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$85,371

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $89,149 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 85 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2de9…4b3fbacked Yes46c11,004$5,075 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,929.612100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+70.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3cf3…87b3backed Yes48c5,588$2,660 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,928.31520%1 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick17cpaid-58%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9ac5…6a3dbacked No69c5,391$3,694 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,694.414047.5%19 W · 21 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+5.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2dae…a09fbacked Yes72c1,397$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$397.341100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+39.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd05f…949cbacked No29c1,327$385 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$384.88333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-25.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2767…ffb2backed Yes72c1,111$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$311.112100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8b32…5950backed No29c947.16$275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$274.685438.9%21 W · 33 L-2.4wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-6.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4c03…0cc1backed No65c850.95$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$550.34837.5%18 W · 30 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick34cpaid-31.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8065…b23ebacked Yes26c771$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$570.54333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick21cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe79…c9eabacked Yes27c700$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$511333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.15per pick18cpaid+23.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x296d…70f9backed No29c696.55$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid-9.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4cd4…5b25backed No72c694.44$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50010%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.72per pick72cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x84f9…0285backed Yes26c636.15$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$470.75520%1 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick10cpaid-23.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x25af…d2b7backed Yes34c584.8$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$384.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.66per pick34cpaid+192.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Yes45c575.78$261 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$314.6881938.9%319 W · 500 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9716…378abacked Yes41c574.78$237 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$338.131060%6 W · 4 L+2.2wins+0.22per pick38cpaid+8.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb0d7…f9fabacked No62c531.92$328 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$327.98933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-46.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6b7e…4562backed Yes31c500$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3451136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-30.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x059b…d7b7backed Yes46c449.09$207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$242.511100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee2d…7974backed Yes46c434.78$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.781100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3938…013fbacked Yes74c424.06$312 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.81250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid-32.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1470…608abacked Yes24c416.67$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$316.67425%1 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.10per pick15cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd8e…f023backed Yes76c392.86$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.8657249.5%283 W · 289 L-32.8wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-13.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8e82…64abbacked Yes72c374$269 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.72616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.9wins-0.31per pick48cpaid-76.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4468…e071backed Yes45c360$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1981100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4b2d…f0d4backed Yes45c354$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.73447.1%16 W · 18 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-21.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4cb5…8b87backed Yes33c345.16$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$230.572420.8%5 W · 19 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick23cpaid-42.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x827b…01cebacked Yes30c311.11$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$217.1112445.2%56 W · 68 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick42cpaid-1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x45cc…6400backed No71c300$213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2132437.5%9 W · 15 L-2.1wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-47.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf7af…49a6backed No55c300$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16510%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x96c4…bfdebacked No12c257.64$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.31205%1 W · 19 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick3cpaid-59.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0eae…1eebbacked Yes39c256.41$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.411100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.61per pick39cpaid+156.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1574…64c9backed No31c232.59$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.3247639.1%186 W · 290 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick40cpaid+2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x865e…3013backed Yes43c231.11$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.111100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+131.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b55…02f8backed No17c217.97$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.143050%15 W · 15 L+2.7wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+10.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xea21…98b3backed Yes46c217.39$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.391100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xceac…fc98backed Yes46c217.39$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.391100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe95e…61f2backed Yes61c211.24$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.793138.7%12 W · 19 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-27.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd7cb…b857backed Yes38c211$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.822744.4%12 W · 15 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick41cpaid-14.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe55e…98c9backed Yes44c199.99$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1121100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+127.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcbac…23ddbacked Yes53c187.39$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.391100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+87.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3a6e…b172backed Yes68c166.01$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.441540%6 W · 9 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-26.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x710d…8bacbacked Yes71c150$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc5cc…3f0fbacked Yes34c147.06$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.062657.7%15 W · 11 L+1.5wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x148e…f98bbacked Yes72c135.72$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$382100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xba17…c8a6backed No75c132.48$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.3610%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.75per pick75cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd22f…d8a8backed Yes46c128.26$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.041100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+116.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe219…2fdfbacked Yes34c115.49$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.22728.6%2 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick21cpaid-11.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x42c2…498ebacked Yes72c103.61$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.615100%5 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+71.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x39a2…a50dbacked Yes34c100$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.10per pick32cpaid+14.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa7cc…4952backed Yes30c100$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$701936.8%7 W · 12 L-2.3wins-0.12per pick49cpaid-31.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe50a…7c29backed Yes34c100$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66520%1 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick18cpaid-41.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbf5a…ba88backed Yes30c100$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$701100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.70per pick30cpaid+233.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf2c5…c8ddbacked Yes26c96.15$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.15933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick40cpaid+1.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb6d…f343backed Yes27c77.78$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.78666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.22per pick44cpaid+46.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3740…7d35backed Yes26c76.92$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.921100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.74per pick26cpaid+284.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x071f…881bbacked Yes26c76.92$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.92250%1 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.33per pick17cpaid+92.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdf78…7723backed Yes28c74.18$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.231100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.72per pick28cpaid+254.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3b9f…d2b9backed No56c72$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.325255.8%29 W · 23 L+2.6wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+2.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5e91…7d09backed Yes27c70.37$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.37250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.26per pick24cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8024…ba91backed Yes62c69.62$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.592218.2%4 W · 18 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick16cpaid-35.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8844…b672backed Yes72c69.44$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.441100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf86c…ba99backed Yes29c68.97$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.974348.8%21 W · 22 L-3.1wins-0.07per pick56cpaid-19.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd0aa…ab4dbacked Yes46c65.22$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.221100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6e73…a236backed Yes43c65$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.92441.7%10 W · 14 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-12.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x24bb…d271backed No45c62.11$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.6520%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc500…5e88backed Yes45c45.4$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.971100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc3ef…3d1ebacked No75c44.44$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.331040%4 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-28.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9006…507ebacked Yes45c44.44$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.44250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid+11.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a60…7b8fbacked Yes46c43.48$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.481100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x09c0…ee77backed Yes36c42$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.88366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.43per pick24cpaid+120.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8d09…ddc6backed Yes27c40.74$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.741100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.73per pick27cpaid+270.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8f69…7df1backed Yes75c40$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10922.2%2 W · 7 L-2.2wins-0.25per pick47cpaid-63.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xcae4…3069backed No75c40$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3010%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.75per pick75cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe81f…129dbacked Yes39c38.46$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.461100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.61per pick39cpaid+156.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe033…472dbacked Yes35c38.38$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.86250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.22per pick28cpaid+41.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x247c…3222backed Yes30c36.67$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.671100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.70per pick30cpaid+233.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xab47…838ebacked Yes46c32.61$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.611100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x896e…7b00backed Yes71c32.39$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.391100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb11…e93fbacked Yes71c28$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.123154.8%17 W · 14 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3914…e17ebacked Yes46c23.91$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.911100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x83b7…cc14backed No55c20$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1110%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x25db…07a6backed Yes50c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc04…d31fbacked No56c19.64$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1110%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x12b8…d22fbacked Yes72c16.76$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.691100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.