Tennis · resolved market
Will Jannik Sinner win the 2024 French Open Men's Singles?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x843ebda467d21e813fa1b9b23011f3d6b2d1ad0f0ba04489e74ae9faa876ce10
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $67,844
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $56,320
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $67,844 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8e0b…9e5cbacked Yes | 16c | 11,286$1,829 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,829.45 | 139 | 34.5%48 W · 91 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc933…6efbbacked Yes | 29c | 7,172$2,070 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,070.36 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ac5…6a3dbacked No | 75c | 3,919$2,930 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$989.43 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2de9…4b3fbacked No | 80c | 2,962$2,369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$592.32 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +70.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe95e…61f2backed Yes | 17c | 2,332$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.16 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d7…f9fabacked No | 78c | 1,609$1,249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.93 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde77…65d2backed Yes | 47c | 1,054$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 26cpaid | -60.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1488…c120backed Yes | 17c | 1,006$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.97 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed No | 58c | 786.28$454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.69 | 48 | 37.5%18 W · 30 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cb5…8b87backed Yes | 25c | 754.09$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.73 | 24 | 20.8%5 W · 19 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f69…7df1backed Yes | 55c | 635.19$349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.35 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.2wins | -0.25per pick | 47cpaid | -63.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8065…b23ebacked Yes | 16c | 630$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.8 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 21cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1470…608abacked Yes | 17c | 588.24$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 15cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4850…c97abacked Yes | 28c | 571.5$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36cf…7c15backed Yes | 23c | 500$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf3…87b3backed Yes | 21c | 476.44$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.38 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -58%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…5950backed Yes | 27c | 400.51$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.14 | 54 | 38.9%21 W · 33 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce2f…09a9backed Yes | 29c | 344.83$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96c4…bfdebacked No | 12c | 300.06$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.69 | 20 | 5%1 W · 19 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -59.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb1d…b0a0backed Yes | 30c | 244.77$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ef…3d1ebacked Yes | 29c | 241.38$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf24f…15b2backed Yes | 19c | 235.61$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5cc…3f0fbacked Yes | 22c | 227.27$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe406…86dcbacked Yes | 22c | 205.99$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7e…4562backed Yes | 18c | 200$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Yes | 22c | 179$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.38 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -2.8wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdd8e…f023backed Yes | 22c | 161.52$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 572 | 49.5%283 W · 289 L | -32.8wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8c6d…1afcbacked Yes | 15c | 160$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf86c…ba99backed Yes | 17c | 117.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb25…a21dbacked Yes | 19c | 105.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -56.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39a2…a50dbacked Yes | 22c | 100$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 32cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe50a…7c29backed Yes | 22c | 100$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x148e…f98bbacked No | 72c | 97.72$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.36 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7cb…b857backed Yes | 21c | 93.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ba0…bdebbacked Yes | 22c | 90.91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6535…3454backed Yes | 21c | 90.48$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d56…470fbacked Yes | 48c | 85.84$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.99 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x934b…fdc2backed Yes | 21c | 82.9$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.41 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b9f…d2b9backed No | 77c | 70$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.1 | 52 | 55.8%29 W · 23 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe219…2fdfbacked Yes | 22c | 68.18$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 21cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb6d…f343backed Yes | 17c | 62.65$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.65 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.22per pick | 44cpaid | +46.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e73…a236backed Yes | 33c | 58.95$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.19 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee20…5b37backed No | 78c | 46.15$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.15 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +48.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb11…e93fbacked No | 73c | 27$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.29 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8877…c30bbacked No | 72c | 17.58$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82b5…fb84backed No | 72c | 14.78$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.14 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37b1…fe1bbacked No | 72c | 14.04$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.93 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc73…e98ebacked No | 78c | 13.59$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Jannik Sinner win the 2024 French Open Men's Singles?this page
- Will Alexander Zverev win the 2024 French Open Men's Singles?No won
- Will Andrey Rublev win the 2024 French Open Men's Singles?No won
- Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2024 French Open Men's Singles?Yes won
- Will Casper Ruud win the 2024 French Open Men's Singles?No won
- Will Daniil Medvedev win the 2024 French Open Men's Singles?No won
- Will Grigor Dimitrov win the 2024 French Open Men's Singles?No won
- Will Hubert Hurkacz win the 2024 French Open Men's Singles?No won
- Will Novak Djokovic win the 2024 French Open Men's Singles?No won
- Will Rafael Nadal win the 2024 French Open Men's Singles?No won
- Will Stefanos Tsitsipas win the 2024 French Open Men's Singles?No won
- Will another player win the 2024 French Open Men's Singles?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.