Tennis · resolved market
Will Alexander Zverev win the 2024 French Open Men's Singles?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4cae5deb3d8ae9366f83f8802ae5df18e3ff5f1ac8320ceccc139a456842d477
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $86,234
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $75,954
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $86,234 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc933…6efbbacked Yes | 16c | 8,247$1,340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,339.55 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac92…9d64backed Yes | 18c | 6,424$1,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,149.87 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 19cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96c4…bfdebacked Yes | 1c | 5,107$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.29 | 20 | 5%1 W · 19 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -59.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde77…65d2backed Yes | 19c | 2,624$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 26cpaid | -60.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1488…c120backed Yes | 12c | 2,029$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.46 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5975…6820backed Yes | 13c | 1,427$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9716…378abacked Yes | 11c | 1,322$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.97 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.22per pick | 38cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…5950backed No | 71c | 1,140$809 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330.5 | 54 | 38.9%21 W · 33 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1470…608abacked Yes | 9c | 1,111$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 15cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6af7…0ff1backed Yes | 13c | 1,056$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.19 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8d…28e1backed Yes | 29c | 1,056$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b2d…f0d4backed Yes | 13c | 1,055$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.04 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6cf9…2cfbbacked Yes | 15c | 1,036$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.33 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Yes | 29c | 1,000$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 819 | 38.9%319 W · 500 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84f9…0285backed Yes | 8c | 800$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cb5…8b87backed Yes | 19c | 790.46$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.23 | 24 | 20.8%5 W · 19 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3077…02b3backed Yes | 5c | 757.75$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.86 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a6e…b172backed Yes | 20c | 678.63$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.76 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce2f…09a9backed Yes | 17c | 592.71$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.76 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4850…c97abacked Yes | 18c | 580.06$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.9 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2767…ffb2backed No | 72c | 555.56$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.56 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1856…1964backed Yes | 18c | 391.8$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.33 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.32per pick | 52cpaid | -74.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf3…87b3backed Yes | 7c | 371.77$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.59 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -58%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f74…44c7backed Yes | 29c | 366.9$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99fc…ec26backed Yes | 15c | 343.81$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 645 | 40.2%259 W · 386 L | -19.6wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7012…4035backed Yes | 15c | 333.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7cb…b857backed Yes | 13c | 304$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…d271backed Yes | 14c | 294.49$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.84 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28b2…eb4fbacked Yes | 13c | 282.38$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.49 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.31per pick | 56cpaid | -65.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x69ef…4d98backed Yes | 15c | 251.01$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.17 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x705f…e07dbacked Yes | 28c | 203.45$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe219…2fdfbacked Yes | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 21cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3938…013fbacked Yes | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf86c…ba99backed Yes | 11c | 181.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x45cc…6400backed Yes | 12c | 150$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ed1…4c35backed Yes | 12c | 140$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.1 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8024…ba91backed Yes | 11c | 104.54$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.32 | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa93…afc1backed Yes | 29c | 100$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe50a…7c29backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4d…3c01backed Yes | 15c | 85.33$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b55…02f8backed No | 69c | 80.93$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.25 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc0bf…f42ebacked Yes | 30c | 74.1$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f7f…d498backed Yes | 39c | 51.32$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ac5…6a3dbacked Yes | 28c | 50.77$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.22 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bb8…fbd6backed Yes | 29c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Alexander Zverev win the 2024 French Open Men's Singles?this page
- Will Andrey Rublev win the 2024 French Open Men's Singles?No won
- Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2024 French Open Men's Singles?Yes won
- Will Casper Ruud win the 2024 French Open Men's Singles?No won
- Will Daniil Medvedev win the 2024 French Open Men's Singles?No won
- Will Grigor Dimitrov win the 2024 French Open Men's Singles?No won
- Will Hubert Hurkacz win the 2024 French Open Men's Singles?No won
- Will Jannik Sinner win the 2024 French Open Men's Singles?No won
- Will Novak Djokovic win the 2024 French Open Men's Singles?No won
- Will Rafael Nadal win the 2024 French Open Men's Singles?No won
- Will Stefanos Tsitsipas win the 2024 French Open Men's Singles?No won
- Will another player win the 2024 French Open Men's Singles?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.