TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Will Casper Ruud win the 2024 French Open Men's Singles?

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$73,616
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$51,776

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $73,616 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1f1b…c6fcbacked Yes16c7,252$1,135 inLost-$1,134.9910%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb0c…1cdabacked Yes5c2,422$121 inLost-$121.110%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9716…378abacked Yes11c2,316$259 inLost-$259.451060%6 W · 4 L+2.2wins+0.22per pick38cpaid+8.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x96c4…bfdebacked Yes5c2,010$106 inLost-$106.07205%1 W · 19 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick3cpaid-59.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6cf9…2cfbbacked Yes7c1,100$77 inLost-$7760%0 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1488…c120backed Yes6c1,033$62 inLost-$61.9870%0 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8a27…d1e3backed Yes12c1,000$119 inLost-$11910%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x4cb5…8b87backed Yes8c978.05$80 inLost-$802420.8%5 W · 19 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick23cpaid-42.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb268…46c7backed Yes8c625$50 inLost-$5020%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4c03…0cc1backed Yes7c530.86$40 inLost-$39.744837.5%18 W · 30 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick34cpaid-31.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x84f9…0285backed Yes6c222$13 inLost-$13.32520%1 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick10cpaid-23.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x934b…fdc2backed Yes9c210.53$20 inLost-$2030%0 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8c6d…1afcbacked Yes7c208.33$15 inLost-$1530%0 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x415c…3c94backed Yes11c200$23 inLost-$22.61442.9%6 W · 8 L+2.4wins+0.17per pick26cpaid+31.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4929…75ecbacked Yes10c200$20 inLost-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb0d7…f9fabacked Yes7c157.03$10 inLost-$10.42933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-46.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3ba0…bdebbacked Yes9c105.89$10 inLost-$10.0620%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x39a2…a50dbacked Yes16c100$16 inLost-$16742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.10per pick32cpaid+14.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe50a…7c29backed Yes13c100$13 inLost-$12.9520%1 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick18cpaid-41.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6dd6…f5f4backed Yes55c91.38$50 inLost-$503745.9%17 W · 20 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.