Tennis · resolved market
Will Novak Djokovic win the 2024 French Open Men's Singles?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe1fd73970fd85a71f4da2e9f1cb2b7dcc5109ec204747e502752d693b0f12ee4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $92,328
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $85,484
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $92,328 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x96c4…bfdebacked Yes | 0c | 28,855$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.55 | 20 | 5%1 W · 19 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -59.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac92…9d64backed Yes | 22c | 5,279$1,157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,157 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 19cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e9…0b6fbacked Yes | 19c | 4,343$825 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$825.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Yes | 20c | 3,128$616 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$615.98 | 819 | 38.9%319 W · 500 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1574…64c9backed Yes | 15c | 2,524$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.6 | 476 | 39.1%186 W · 290 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1856…1964backed No | 79c | 1,752$1,379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$373.02 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.32per pick | 52cpaid | -74.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8065…b23ebacked Yes | 22c | 910$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.2 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 21cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb268…46c7backed Yes | 12c | 808.33$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe79…c9eabacked Yes | 22c | 716.18$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.56 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.15per pick | 18cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe95e…61f2backed No | 78c | 657.19$513 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.58 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cb5…8b87backed Yes | 23c | 640.89$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148 | 24 | 20.8%5 W · 19 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36cf…7c15backed Yes | 21c | 583.37$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.48 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed No | 78c | 499.39$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.86 | 48 | 37.5%18 W · 30 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f31…efd0backed Yes | 22c | 454.55$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83e4…e757backed Yes | 18c | 404.85$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb375…faffbacked Yes | 19c | 346.85$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x934b…fdc2backed Yes | 17c | 340.02$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.79 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a6e…b172backed Yes | 17c | 300$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9186…9220backed Yes | 19c | 263.16$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24d5…7ca9backed Yes | 19c | 262.05$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.79 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 14cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45cc…6400backed No | 76c | 200$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e91…7d09backed Yes | 22c | 140.91$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 24cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf3…87b3backed Yes | 10c | 132.98$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.75 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -58%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d9d…a6d7backed Yes | 22c | 113.64$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2736…3625backed Yes | 19c | 100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf86c…ba99backed Yes | 22c | 90.91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xebc8…6ef6backed Yes | 23c | 86.96$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x089e…6e0ebacked Yes | 23c | 86.96$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.25per pick | 41cpaid | +73.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3ed1…4c35backed Yes | 21c | 77.78$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5095…c97cbacked Yes | 20c | 57.9$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.58 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbdd8…296ebacked Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe033…472dbacked Yes | 21c | 46.57$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.01 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27e4…7ef1backed No | 80c | 30.59$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.12 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f0c…7bbebacked No | 80c | 16.66$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.33 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbc3…0085backed No | 80c | 12.7$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.54 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Novak Djokovic win the 2024 French Open Men's Singles?this page
- Will Alexander Zverev win the 2024 French Open Men's Singles?No won
- Will Andrey Rublev win the 2024 French Open Men's Singles?No won
- Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2024 French Open Men's Singles?Yes won
- Will Casper Ruud win the 2024 French Open Men's Singles?No won
- Will Daniil Medvedev win the 2024 French Open Men's Singles?No won
- Will Grigor Dimitrov win the 2024 French Open Men's Singles?No won
- Will Hubert Hurkacz win the 2024 French Open Men's Singles?No won
- Will Jannik Sinner win the 2024 French Open Men's Singles?No won
- Will Rafael Nadal win the 2024 French Open Men's Singles?No won
- Will Stefanos Tsitsipas win the 2024 French Open Men's Singles?No won
- Will another player win the 2024 French Open Men's Singles?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.