Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Albany Great Danes vs. Vermont Catamounts
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x97c88a9e8897ce8e2e6f918db77265f60355a149da1cf644e92f9eaa51e2cf0b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Vermont Catamountsof Albany Great Danes, Vermont Catamounts
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $34,648
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $39,686
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $34,648 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Albany Great Danes | 1c | 4,557$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.05 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Albany Great Danes | 21c | 3,333$711 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$711.04 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3817…7d10backed Vermont Catamounts | 79c | 2,760$2,180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$579.55 | 298 | 45.3%135 W · 163 L | -8.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66b6…159dbacked Vermont Catamounts | 78c | 2,224$1,735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$489.22 | 50 | 62%31 W · 19 L | +3.8wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +12%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xecfa…3c6fbacked Albany Great Danes | 23c | 2,100$488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$488 | 555 | 32.8%182 W · 373 L | +15.5wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Albany Great Danes | 13c | 1,828$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.58 | 1,540 | 41.3%636 W · 904 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9b4…75a0backed Vermont Catamounts | 76c | 1,580$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380.4 | 92 | 44.6%41 W · 51 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Albany Great Danes | 28c | 1,538$426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$426.42 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Albany Great Danes | 22c | 1,183$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.36 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Albany Great Danes | 23c | 877.28$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.49 | 1,446 | 43.4%627 W · 819 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Vermont Catamounts | 76c | 721.4$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.66 | 1,511 | 47.8%722 W · 789 L | -35.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Albany Great Danes | 19c | 662.08$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.64 | 771 | 42.3%326 W · 445 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf62b…844abacked Vermont Catamounts | 80c | 621.5$497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.3 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 77cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Albany Great Danes | 20c | 518.49$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.7 | 896 | 45.9%411 W · 485 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Albany Great Danes | 32c | 509.6$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.94 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Vermont Catamounts | 75c | 431.58$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.45 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56be…88febacked Albany Great Danes | 24c | 413.54$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.36 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Albany Great Danes | 17c | 401.95$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.1 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2deb…8e68backed Vermont Catamounts | 75c | 386.78$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.69 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +2.8wins | +0.20per pick | 58cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Vermont Catamounts | 79c | 314.62$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.07 | 308 | 53.2%164 W · 144 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Albany Great Danes | 25c | 299.98$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe81b…ae69backed Albany Great Danes | 33c | 291.83$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.64 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Albany Great Danes | 26c | 256.68$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.74 | 922 | 46%424 W · 498 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf43c…d7c3backed Vermont Catamounts | 77c | 242.14$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.88 | 491 | 57.2%281 W · 210 L | +18.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Albany Great Danes | 22c | 232.68$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.33 | 939 | 41.6%391 W · 548 L | +25.4wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5271…0f95backed Albany Great Danes | 26c | 228.45$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.4 | 67 | 40.3%27 W · 40 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x62c0…49bfbacked Albany Great Danes | 22c | 205.01$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.25 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Albany Great Danes | 26c | 198.65$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.65 | 1,317 | 33.6%443 W · 874 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0dee…f426backed Vermont Catamounts | 79c | 189.52$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.4 | 33 | 63.6%21 W · 12 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Albany Great Danes | 17c | 158.75$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.13 | 1,493 | 48.7%727 W · 766 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Albany Great Danes | 26c | 155.94$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.54 | 815 | 28.8%235 W · 580 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Albany Great Danes | 21c | 133.84$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.11 | 621 | 40.4%251 W · 370 L | -10.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb171…7d2bbacked Vermont Catamounts | 77c | 129.07$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.69 | 95 | 54.7%52 W · 43 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1f…4a48backed Albany Great Danes | 24c | 127.92$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.16 | 55 | 20%11 W · 44 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…f81dbacked Vermont Catamounts | 74c | 93.3$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.3 | 870 | 47.2%411 W · 459 L | -23.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3eff…ae12backed Albany Great Danes | 26c | 77.13$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.05 | 423 | 39.2%166 W · 257 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed Albany Great Danes | 25c | 65.77$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.44 | 142 | 44.4%63 W · 79 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf72…b4a6backed Vermont Catamounts | 78c | 64.24$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.3 | 94 | 70.2%66 W · 28 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Albany Great Danes | 25c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 202 | 54.5%110 W · 92 L | +9.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd0f…48fdbacked Vermont Catamounts | 75c | 43.71$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.93 | 265 | 50.6%134 W · 131 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed Albany Great Danes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 828 | 46.1%382 W · 446 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x043c…595fbacked Vermont Catamounts | 79c | 28.94$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.08 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2a2…d591backed Vermont Catamounts | 75c | 26.49$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.62 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcffd…7f24backed Vermont Catamounts | 75c | 26.49$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.62 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 62cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe367…b5d5backed Vermont Catamounts | 75c | 20.01$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36f0…2711backed Vermont Catamounts | 68c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.32 | 61 | 62.3%38 W · 23 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb21b…c396backed Vermont Catamounts | 76c | 19.87$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.77 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c7e…b137backed Vermont Catamounts | 75c | 19.35$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.84 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Vermont Catamounts | 77c | 17.13$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.99 | 334 | 45.8%153 W · 181 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6fff…b18dbacked Vermont Catamounts | 75c | 13.91$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Albany Great Danes vs. Vermont Catamountsthis page
- Albany Great Danes vs. Vermont Catamounts: O/U 138.5Under won
- Albany Great Danes vs. Vermont Catamounts: O/U 139.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.