Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
North Texas Mean Green vs. Wichita State Shockers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x85dbf85b02a2252694cd0a54fa564ed721ed79b143078c5ba1df9a6127bde3b0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Wichita State Shockersof North Texas Mean Green, Wichita State Shockers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,075
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,601
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,075 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed North Texas Mean Green | 25c | 5,839$1,458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,457.84 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20ae…f107backed North Texas Mean Green | 27c | 4,174$1,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,119.89 | 423 | 27.2%115 W · 308 L | -10.9wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Wichita State Shockers | 74c | 3,432$2,552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$879.93 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Wichita State Shockers | 75c | 3,127$2,345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$781.81 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked North Texas Mean Green | 27c | 1,377$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$371.79 | 1,391 | 44.1%613 W · 778 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Wichita State Shockers | 76c | 1,337$1,021 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.67 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed North Texas Mean Green | 7c | 1,288$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.72 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Wichita State Shockers | 74c | 1,180$873 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.86 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked North Texas Mean Green | 23c | 1,119$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.52 | 138 | 42.8%59 W · 79 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed Wichita State Shockers | 76c | 1,027$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.75 | 397 | 44.8%178 W · 219 L | +9.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked North Texas Mean Green | 24c | 950.99$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.24 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Wichita State Shockers | 76c | 921.05$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.05 | 841 | 47.4%399 W · 442 L | -13.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Wichita State Shockers | 76c | 527$401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.48 | 741 | 52.6%390 W · 351 L | +9.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcc0…6872backed Wichita State Shockers | 76c | 490$372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.6 | 160 | 51.3%82 W · 78 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Wichita State Shockers | 73c | 397.11$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.4 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Wichita State Shockers | 73c | 346.25$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.49 | 1,633 | 47.3%773 W · 860 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf62b…844abacked Wichita State Shockers | 80c | 250.86$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.86 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 77cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked North Texas Mean Green | 24c | 250$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1,260 | 43.3%545 W · 715 L | +34.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf3…50d9backed North Texas Mean Green | 8c | 245.27$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.72 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e6f…c966backed North Texas Mean Green | 9c | 231.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 25 | 12%3 W · 22 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 17cpaid | -52.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb8…753bbacked North Texas Mean Green | 17c | 212.5$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 50 | 18%9 W · 41 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -43%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked North Texas Mean Green | 16c | 210.52$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.59 | 573 | 35.6%204 W · 369 L | -27.3wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5f29…9d73backed North Texas Mean Green | 26c | 196.66$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.13 | 82 | 53.7%44 W · 38 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +12%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc091…3d42backed North Texas Mean Green | 27c | 162$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.74 | 722 | 48.8%352 W · 370 L | -23.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44f0…432cbacked North Texas Mean Green | 24c | 139.75$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.54 | 754 | 47.1%355 W · 399 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed North Texas Mean Green | 23c | 122.33$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.6 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc479…e938backed North Texas Mean Green | 10c | 115.51$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 21 | 4.8%1 W · 20 L | -2.8wins | -0.14per pick | 18cpaid | -93.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8b…d3d6backed North Texas Mean Green | 17c | 96.45$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 307 | 46.3%142 W · 165 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Wichita State Shockers | 78c | 94.96$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.89 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd3a…9993backed Wichita State Shockers | 78c | 27.64$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.08 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Wichita State Shockers | 76c | 13.66$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.28 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- North Texas Mean Green vs. Wichita State Shockersthis page
- North Texas Mean Green vs. Wichita State Shockers: O/U 128.5Over won
- North Texas Mean Green vs. Wichita State Shockers: O/U 129.5Over won
- North Texas Mean Green vs. Wichita State Shockers: O/U 130.5Over won
- North Texas Mean Green vs. Wichita State Shockers: O/U 131.5Over won
- North Texas Mean Green vs. Wichita State Shockers: O/U 132.5Over won
- North Texas Mean Green vs. Wichita State Shockers: O/U 133.5Over won
- Spread: Wichita State Shockers (-5.5)Wichita State Shockers won
- Spread: Wichita State Shockers (-6.5)Wichita State Shockers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.