Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
North Texas Mean Green vs. Wichita State Shockers: O/U 131.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2629b7527796de28bb3c2c6d56499fb7ce14e49b57e6843fc48ab087e3edb98f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,650
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,710
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,650 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 18 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Under | 42c | 3,204$1,346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,345.87 | 896 | 45.9%411 W · 485 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed Over | 58c | 2,000$1,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$840 | 397 | 44.8%178 W · 219 L | +9.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1052…53dabacked Under | 49c | 1,374$673 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$673.22 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -4.1wins | -0.15per pick | 50cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Over | 58c | 934.7$541 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$393.29 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 51c | 791.18$404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$387.68 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Under | 43c | 580.05$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.42 | 138 | 42.8%59 W · 79 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Over | 51c | 565.73$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.21 | 1,633 | 47.3%773 W · 860 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2d7…ba47backed Over | 57c | 350$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.5 | 152 | 50%76 W · 76 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Over | 53c | 268.7$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.29 | 616 | 52.8%325 W · 291 L | +21.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Under | 47c | 200$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 820 | 48.2%395 W · 425 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Over | 57c | 199$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.33 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd77d…b01cbacked Over | 58c | 86.21$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.21 | 188 | 51.6%97 W · 91 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a64…6769backed Over | 58c | 86.21$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.21 | 179 | 50.8%91 W · 88 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 47c | 68.7$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.29 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0fd…e1f5backed Over | 53c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.5 | 1,162 | 55.2%641 W · 521 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 57c | 48$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.54 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked Under | 49c | 33$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.17 | 1,124 | 46.4%521 W · 603 L | -25.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfee4…d386backed Over | 57c | 25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.75 | 148 | 46.6%69 W · 79 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- North Texas Mean Green vs. Wichita State Shockers: O/U 131.5this page
- North Texas Mean Green vs. Wichita State ShockersWichita State Shockers won
- North Texas Mean Green vs. Wichita State Shockers: O/U 128.5Over won
- North Texas Mean Green vs. Wichita State Shockers: O/U 129.5Over won
- North Texas Mean Green vs. Wichita State Shockers: O/U 130.5Over won
- North Texas Mean Green vs. Wichita State Shockers: O/U 132.5Over won
- North Texas Mean Green vs. Wichita State Shockers: O/U 133.5Over won
- Spread: Wichita State Shockers (-5.5)Wichita State Shockers won
- Spread: Wichita State Shockers (-6.5)Wichita State Shockers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.