Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Northern Colorado Bears vs. Sacramento State Hornets
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf543dd95b70ccc5fada135e58bc099bfc7a0db6393726e12c74ea40a8c07fca4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sacramento State Hornetsof Northern Colorado Bears, Sacramento State Hornets
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,919
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,397
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,919 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Northern Colorado Bears | 4c | 1,385$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.35 | 399 | 3.3%13 W · 386 L | -21.0wins | -0.05per pick | 9cpaid | -89.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Northern Colorado Bears | 37c | 1,030$379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.35 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…5878backed Sacramento State Hornets | 30c | 667.77$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$468.48 | 267 | 40.8%109 W · 158 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94fa…989ebacked Sacramento State Hornets | 29c | 611$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$433.81 | 814 | 53.1%432 W · 382 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Sacramento State Hornets | 28c | 603.51$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$437.03 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Sacramento State Hornets | 80c | 440$352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.41 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Sacramento State Hornets | 17c | 422.77$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$349.3 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Sacramento State Hornets | 31c | 407.21$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.82 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Northern Colorado Bears | 70c | 390.72$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.45 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Northern Colorado Bears | 68c | 370.52$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.68 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49b5…e5eebacked Northern Colorado Bears | 56c | 333.17$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.2 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -3.3wins | -0.23per pick | 45cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Northern Colorado Bears | 70c | 249.95$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.86 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Northern Colorado Bears | 73c | 239$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.47 | 1,436 | 47.5%682 W · 754 L | -18.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8307…ad90backed Northern Colorado Bears | 7c | 199.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 104 | 8.7%9 W · 95 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 6cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Northern Colorado Bears | 36c | 102.02$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.26 | 1,887 | 45.2%853 W · 1,034 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5df1…2da7backed Northern Colorado Bears | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.6 | 89 | 30.3%27 W · 62 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Northern Colorado Bears | 71c | 100$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71 | 352 | 43.2%152 W · 200 L | -11.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xccc6…a5f1backed Sacramento State Hornets | 40c | 92.84$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.68 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +149.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4d8…19c5backed Northern Colorado Bears | 72c | 70$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.5 | 41 | 70.7%29 W · 12 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 65cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed Sacramento State Hornets | 34c | 67.75$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.72 | 213 | 42.3%90 W · 123 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4ec…7b98backed Northern Colorado Bears | 58c | 67$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.66 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef72…4e5cbacked Sacramento State Hornets | 80c | 58.26$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Northern Colorado Bears | 40c | 53$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.29 | 1,951 | 45.1%880 W · 1,071 L | -19.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Sacramento State Hornets | 29c | 50$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.5 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Sacramento State Hornets | 29c | 50$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.5 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a8e…b505backed Northern Colorado Bears | 32c | 46.8$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.15 | 480 | 51%245 W · 235 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c76…477abacked Northern Colorado Bears | 63c | 42.79$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.96 | 56 | 44.6%25 W · 31 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Sacramento State Hornets | 27c | 40$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.2 | 200 | 26%52 W · 148 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Sacramento State Hornets | 66c | 39.55$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.36 | 1,667 | 36.4%607 W · 1,060 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6b8…d54cbacked Northern Colorado Bears | 65c | 36.33$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.61 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -2.5wins | -0.12per pick | 31cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x87a4…953ebacked Northern Colorado Bears | 63c | 31.64$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Sacramento State Hornets | 47c | 30.69$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.33 | 1,003 | 55.3%555 W · 448 L | +46.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Sacramento State Hornets | 37c | 29.79$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.77 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bc8…4d6fbacked Sacramento State Hornets | 70c | 28.37$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.37 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72ea…d4f2backed Northern Colorado Bears | 72c | 27.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 217 | 46.1%100 W · 117 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c0…e43ebacked Northern Colorado Bears | 73c | 27.4$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 35 | 65.7%23 W · 12 L | +3.8wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +41.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0110…af5dbacked Northern Colorado Bears | 64c | 26.62$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 91 | 53.8%49 W · 42 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Northern Colorado Bears | 71c | 15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.65 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Northern Colorado Bears vs. Sacramento State Hornetsthis page
- Northern Colorado Bears vs. Sacramento State Hornets: O/U 164.5Over won
- Spread: Northern Colorado Bears (-5.5)Sacramento State Hornets won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.