Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: Northern Colorado Bears (-5.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x526b841d89fed8ff70ce6ed9a3b7bf59182ac007fdf22ee004ffd17c63f5cc3a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sacramento State Hornetsof Northern Colorado Bears, Sacramento State Hornets
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $605,918
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $606,385
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $605,918 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4924…3782backed Northern Colorado Bears | 53c | 569,712$302,649 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302,648.81 | 359 | 45.1%162 W · 197 L | -24.4wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Sacramento State Hornets | 47c | 325,369$151,670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173,699.47 | 217 | 54.8%119 W · 98 L | +15.3wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Sacramento State Hornets | 47c | 150,000$70,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79,500 | 691 | 42.8%296 W · 395 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c16…09cbbacked Sacramento State Hornets | 48c | 50,000$24,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,000 | 90 | 50%45 W · 45 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20d6…3856backed Sacramento State Hornets | 47c | 30,006$14,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,855.8 | 212 | 62.3%132 W · 80 L | +34.7wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +37%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Northern Colorado Bears | 52c | 8,915$4,679 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,678.66 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Sacramento State Hornets | 66c | 7,782$5,124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,657.63 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -3.6wins | -0.16per pick | 51cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed Sacramento State Hornets | 49c | 6,983$3,390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,593.29 | 212 | 48.1%102 W · 110 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc350…3669backed Sacramento State Hornets | 46c | 6,657$3,062 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,594.84 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24d3…30abbacked Sacramento State Hornets | 47c | 6,500$3,055 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,444.98 | 169 | 54.4%92 W · 77 L | +8.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Sacramento State Hornets | 47c | 6,000$2,820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,180 | 285 | 39.6%113 W · 172 L | -14.4wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Northern Colorado Bears | 53c | 5,911$3,133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,132.83 | 104 | 41.3%43 W · 61 L | -8.7wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Northern Colorado Bears | 54c | 4,088$2,203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,202.66 | 1,436 | 47.5%682 W · 754 L | -18.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Sacramento State Hornets | 47c | 4,000$1,880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,120 | 115 | 55.7%64 W · 51 L | +8.1wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x30a4…8441backed Sacramento State Hornets | 47c | 3,638$1,699 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,939.73 | 422 | 46.2%195 W · 227 L | -9.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8738…222bbacked Sacramento State Hornets | 49c | 2,041$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,040.82 | 255 | 56.1%143 W · 112 L | +12.4wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Northern Colorado Bears | 53c | 1,508$796 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$796.14 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Northern Colorado Bears | 52c | 1,221$632 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$631.57 | 141 | 51.1%72 W · 69 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x162f…585abacked Northern Colorado Bears | 53c | 882.62$469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$469.32 | 64 | 45.3%29 W · 35 L | -4.5wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d4d…1a07backed Sacramento State Hornets | 48c | 426.63$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.72 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +110.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd51b…9606backed Sacramento State Hornets | 48c | 420$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.4 | 138 | 51.4%71 W · 67 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d48…48e0backed Sacramento State Hornets | 47c | 384.36$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.26 | 180 | 46.7%84 W · 96 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…5950backed Sacramento State Hornets | 48c | 333$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.16 | 57 | 59.6%34 W · 23 L | +5.2wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf13b…9ef9backed Sacramento State Hornets | 50c | 221.33$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.33 | 196 | 57.1%112 W · 84 L | +14.9wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa966…208bbacked Sacramento State Hornets | 65c | 202.45$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.45 | 151 | 56.3%85 W · 66 L | +8.6wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x49f5…54d1backed Northern Colorado Bears | 53c | 195.45$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.63 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +41.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbda3…ef65backed Sacramento State Hornets | 49c | 130$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.8 | 627 | 53%332 W · 295 L | +13.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b46…944cbacked Sacramento State Hornets | 50c | 110.42$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.42 | 186 | 56.5%105 W · 81 L | +12.2wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Northern Colorado Bears | 53c | 104.47$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.37 | 352 | 43.2%152 W · 200 L | -11.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2165…f598backed Sacramento State Hornets | 47c | 100$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 146 | 54.1%79 W · 67 L | +7.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc82…6421backed Sacramento State Hornets | 48c | 80$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.6 | 111 | 47.7%53 W · 58 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2107…8f4cbacked Sacramento State Hornets | 48c | 61.25$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.85 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x865a…901bbacked Sacramento State Hornets | 50c | 61.11$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.79 | 125 | 60%75 W · 50 L | +12.0wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0bdf…7f09backed Sacramento State Hornets | 49c | 55.86$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.38 | 118 | 58.5%69 W · 49 L | +9.9wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc82b…e65abacked Sacramento State Hornets | 48c | 41.66$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.66 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Sacramento State Hornets | 48c | 34.83$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.11 | 891 | 46.2%412 W · 479 L | +9.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08b6…7db6backed Sacramento State Hornets | 50c | 34.18$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.09 | 122 | 45.9%56 W · 66 L | -6.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Sacramento State Hornets | 47c | 31.38$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.63 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5f7…db44backed Sacramento State Hornets | 48c | 31.25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.25 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 48cpaid | +39.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…3e29backed Sacramento State Hornets | 48c | 31.25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.25 | 283 | 54.1%153 W · 130 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7473…0ac9backed Northern Colorado Bears | 53c | 28.2$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfee4…d386backed Northern Colorado Bears | 53c | 27.38$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.51 | 148 | 46.6%69 W · 79 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…8964backed Northern Colorado Bears | 54c | 24.6$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.28 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2db9…846cbacked Sacramento State Hornets | 47c | 22.4$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.87 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ba2…8f7cbacked Sacramento State Hornets | 47c | 21.68$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.49 | 78 | 44.9%35 W · 43 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Northern Colorado Bears (-5.5)this page
- Northern Colorado Bears vs. Sacramento State HornetsSacramento State Hornets won
- Northern Colorado Bears vs. Sacramento State Hornets: O/U 164.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.