TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Davidson Wildcats vs. George Mason Patriots

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
George Mason Patriotsof Davidson Wildcats, George Mason Patriots
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$283,621
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$276,004

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $283,621 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 73 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb45a…192cbacked George Mason Patriots74c243,364$180,715 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62,648.8289645.9%411 W · 485 L-0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x98f7…b3e4backed Davidson Wildcats26c110,753$28,796 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28,795.9130%0 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9267…0f9abacked Davidson Wildcats26c100,000$25,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25,60013649.3%67 W · 69 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Davidson Wildcats26c22,500$5,850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,85090645.4%411 W · 495 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Davidson Wildcats25c11,837$2,954 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,953.625,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Davidson Wildcats25c10,505$2,628 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,628.0912,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x30a4…8441backed Davidson Wildcats26c4,730$1,230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,229.842246.2%195 W · 227 L-9.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed George Mason Patriots77c1,836$1,406 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$430.52,55541.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L-15.9wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-20.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked George Mason Patriots76c1,562$1,184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$377.92,68748.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L+4.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked Davidson Wildcats25c1,500$375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37520026%52 W · 148 L+0.2wins0.00per pick26cpaid-8.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8013…5b52backed Davidson Wildcats23c1,450$334 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$333.515453.9%83 W · 71 L+16.8wins+0.11per pick43cpaid+19.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x8c16…4b37backed Davidson Wildcats51c1,146$580 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$579.8355840.3%225 W · 333 L-7.2wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a78…1e03backed George Mason Patriots76c1,139$865 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$273.28366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick61cpaid-9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Davidson Wildcats33c1,069$348 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$348.045,55347.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L+26.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xcdb8…abbebacked Davidson Wildcats28c1,061$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001,98326.4%523 W · 1,460 L-55.5wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1f3f…5878backed Davidson Wildcats25c880$224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$223.926740.8%109 W · 158 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcb14…bd17backed Davidson Wildcats24c833.33$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20016350.9%83 W · 80 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-8.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed George Mason Patriots63c787.96$495 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$293.323,38049.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L+30.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0370…d000backed Davidson Wildcats33c507.24$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.2494036.9%347 W · 593 L+8.6wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe71e…8e58backed George Mason Patriots46c434.78$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.781258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.5wins+0.13per pick45cpaid+37.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4d84…21b1backed Davidson Wildcats28c412.64$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.2399848.4%483 W · 515 L-8.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Davidson Wildcats24c399.99$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.61,48743%639 W · 848 L+50.8wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+11.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xad63…fc1dbacked Davidson Wildcats39c376.47$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14710%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked George Mason Patriots67c342.94$229 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.131,91049.6%947 W · 963 L+30.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfc8f…3782backed Davidson Wildcats30c334.32$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.1266831.4%210 W · 458 L-43.1wins-0.06per pick38cpaid-23%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4bf2…d280backed Davidson Wildcats40c326.51$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13025544.3%113 W · 142 L-7.4wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2dc4…0c92backed George Mason Patriots76c304.72$232 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.1399045.6%451 W · 539 L+9.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa877…2e20backed Davidson Wildcats25c290$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.55044%22 W · 28 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-13.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Davidson Wildcats42c288.54$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.882,04832.7%670 W · 1,378 L-16.2wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0e51…e4f7backed Davidson Wildcats24c286.07$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.6658345.5%265 W · 318 L-10.2wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Davidson Wildcats23c182.19$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.93,68442.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L+32.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a9b…7303backed George Mason Patriots76c165$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.613052.3%68 W · 62 L+6.8wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+11.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Davidson Wildcats25c150$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.53,90558.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L+165.3wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+4.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd120…19fcbacked George Mason Patriots75c133.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.335832.8%19 W · 39 L-6.3wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-37.3%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x313d…6f98backed George Mason Patriots76c132$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.686767.2%45 W · 22 L+3.3wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+9.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x19f8…98f9backed George Mason Patriots76c131.58$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.5848462.8%304 W · 180 L-0.5wins0.00per pick63cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3a8e…b505backed George Mason Patriots74c128.93$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.3948051%245 W · 235 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-10.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xaa89…d3cfbacked George Mason Patriots75c121.91$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.57875%6 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick69cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed George Mason Patriots70c116.55$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.81,98564.1%1,273 W · 712 L+144.2wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+7.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed George Mason Patriots71c100.89$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.451,49348.7%727 W · 766 L-1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-19.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked George Mason Patriots78c100$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221,51147.8%722 W · 789 L-35.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Davidson Wildcats22c100$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$222,19433.4%733 W · 1,461 L+19.2wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Davidson Wildcats26c95.2$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.5993447.9%447 W · 487 L-19.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-13.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7fa7…089dbacked George Mason Patriots50c88.6$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.39851%50 W · 48 L+3.6wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8a5f…a8a0backed Davidson Wildcats23c86.96$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201566.7%10 W · 5 L+2.6wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+30.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked George Mason Patriots67c79.06$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.311,88745.2%853 W · 1,034 L+6.5wins0.00per pick45cpaid-15.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8415…dfe1backed Davidson Wildcats26c77$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.028055%44 W · 36 L+4.3wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+10.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6e2c…787cbacked Davidson Wildcats25c75$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.7522552.9%119 W · 106 L+6.3wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa3c0…e43ebacked Davidson Wildcats55c72.73$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$403565.7%23 W · 12 L+3.8wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+41.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8ee0…7e49backed George Mason Patriots49c70$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.7450%2 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.10per pick40cpaid0%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xed3f…2d57backed Davidson Wildcats22c58.45$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.866956.5%39 W · 30 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x70c8…006cbacked George Mason Patriots60c58.33$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.3314062.9%88 W · 52 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfd85…6a32backed Davidson Wildcats23c57.23$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.0615947.2%75 W · 84 L-5.2wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-8.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd730…1948backed Davidson Wildcats28c57.01$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.9619653.1%104 W · 92 L+6.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdecc…e1d3backed Davidson Wildcats23c56.52$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-31.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x785f…e3d9backed Davidson Wildcats29c51.54$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.0297447.9%467 W · 507 L-2.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xced8…221ebacked George Mason Patriots75c50$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.59144%40 W · 51 L-5.3wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-13.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3b1f…6500backed George Mason Patriots77c49$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.167844.9%35 W · 43 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-13.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xec6c…23c7backed George Mason Patriots46c48$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.9238343.6%167 W · 216 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-13.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf9ef…20ebbacked George Mason Patriots73c47.6$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.8445953.8%247 W · 212 L-1.1wins0.00per pick54cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed George Mason Patriots75c45.01$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.142,57947.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L-42.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Davidson Wildcats23c44$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.271,63347.3%773 W · 860 L+25.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa7d8…2374backed Davidson Wildcats54c40$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.62352.2%12 W · 11 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked George Mason Patriots51c39.87$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.351,66736.4%607 W · 1,060 L-4.0wins0.00per pick37cpaid-7.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3c34…c8b8backed George Mason Patriots52c31.67$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.1714339.9%57 W · 86 L-0.7wins0.00per pick40cpaid-11.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4d2e…78b1backed George Mason Patriots72c30$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.41546.7%7 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9519…e0bcbacked George Mason Patriots78c25.64$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.642171.4%15 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick72cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed George Mason Patriots74c25$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.5568254.3%370 W · 312 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9487…54bbbacked George Mason Patriots73c20.53$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.5436248.6%176 W · 186 L+6.4wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x306c…51f2backed George Mason Patriots76c17.11$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.115341.5%22 W · 31 L-5.5wins-0.10per pick52cpaid-38.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked George Mason Patriots78c17$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.741,95145.1%880 W · 1,071 L-19.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x309d…4287backed George Mason Patriots67c16.73$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.533647.2%17 W · 19 L-2.6wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-24.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1a71…4f0fbacked George Mason Patriots75c16$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41457.1%8 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick62cpaid-17.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.