Tennis · resolved market
Hobart International: Taylah Preston vs Jessica Bouzas Maneiro
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9eee525a7e90578350e988ac206a850cdbf9e399928d3821ab9f896d7257f9cd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Prestonof Preston, Maneiro
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,245
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,219
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,245 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Preston | 59c | 4,575$2,701 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,874.62 | 8,241 | 45.5%3,746 W · 4,495 L | +166.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Preston | 42c | 1,613$678 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$935.5 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Maneiro | 70c | 1,500$1,055 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,054.99 | 347 | 45.2%157 W · 190 L | +16.5wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Preston | 58c | 1,360$791 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$568.98 | 11,666 | 43.4%5,059 W · 6,607 L | +22.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Maneiro | 56c | 1,068$594 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$594.07 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed Maneiro | 25c | 998$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.5 | 248 | 37.1%92 W · 156 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Preston | 62c | 900$558 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342 | 470 | 57.2%269 W · 201 L | +16.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Maneiro | 14c | 827$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.71 | 1,852 | 44.5%825 W · 1,027 L | -20.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Maneiro | 54c | 577.43$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.2 | 2,489 | 45.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L | -27.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20ba…6c27backed Maneiro | 70c | 562.8$393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$393 | 1,187 | 62.8%746 W · 441 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30ef…70dfbacked Preston | 24c | 496$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376.96 | 441 | 25.4%112 W · 329 L | -11.3wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Maneiro | 44c | 466.8$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.26 | 161 | 50.3%81 W · 80 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83c8…26f0backed Maneiro | 7c | 309.36$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.37 | 138 | 16.7%23 W · 115 L | +7.6wins | +0.06per pick | 11cpaid | +46%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Maneiro | 18c | 295.84$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.54 | 2,068 | 34.9%721 W · 1,347 L | -44.2wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00cf…d102backed Preston | 25c | 279.99$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.99 | 160 | 44.4%71 W · 89 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Maneiro | 75c | 266.66$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,039 | 54.6%567 W · 472 L | +37.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Preston | 26c | 264.87$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.06 | 551 | 43.4%239 W · 312 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Maneiro | 75c | 250$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.5 | 124 | 50.8%63 W · 61 L | +11.1wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Maneiro | 27c | 219.98$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.84 | 276 | 27.2%75 W · 201 L | -25.2wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Maneiro | 13c | 200$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 6,792 | 36.9%2,505 W · 4,287 L | -98.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Preston | 68c | 117.72$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.75 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf164…e98fbacked Maneiro | 63c | 105.68$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.53 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Preston | 51c | 100.99$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.35 | 884 | 55%486 W · 398 L | +37.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Maneiro | 74c | 93.75$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.38 | 248 | 46%114 W · 134 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70ac…0c7dbacked Maneiro | 52c | 75.57$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.47 | 2,537 | 53.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L | +61.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Maneiro | 42c | 55.49$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.31 | 1,381 | 16.4%227 W · 1,154 L | -108.5wins | -0.08per pick | 24cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Preston | 53c | 54.14$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.53 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf98d…4a07backed Maneiro | 62c | 48.57$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1206…eaeebacked Preston | 70c | 40.36$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.11 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -2.5wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Maneiro | 70c | 40$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 320 | 49.1%157 W · 163 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c82…05cfbacked Maneiro | 74c | 40$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.6 | 107 | 55.1%59 W · 48 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66f8…8b5bbacked Preston | 37c | 35$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +3.3wins | +0.28per pick | 56cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9236…da58backed Preston | 57c | 31.76$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.76 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ec8…397bbacked Preston | 57c | 28$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.93 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c0…e43ebacked Preston | 74c | 27.03$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.03 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.25per pick | 61cpaid | +49.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf693…584dbacked Maneiro | 77c | 19.48$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 35 | 74.3%26 W · 9 L | +2.7wins | +0.08per pick | 67cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Maneiro | 60c | 19$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 1,218 | 41.1%500 W · 718 L | -30.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Maneiro | 70c | 16$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 319 | 42.6%136 W · 183 L | -10.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Hobart International: Taylah Preston vs Jessica Bouzas Maneirothis page
- Set 1 Winner: Preston vs ManeiroPreston won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.