TailMyPicks

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Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

UC Riverside Highlanders vs. Long Beach State Beach

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Long Beach State Beachof UC Riverside Highlanders, Long Beach State Beach
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$11,142
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$11,428

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,142 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xee61…debfbacked Long Beach State Beach66c1,830$1,208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$622.112,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked UC Riverside Highlanders32c1,231$394 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$393.922,89650%1,448 W · 1,448 L+71.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Long Beach State Beach68c1,152$783 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$368.552,57947.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L-42.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcdb8…abbebacked UC Riverside Highlanders32c791.07$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255.421,98326.4%523 W · 1,460 L-55.5wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4916…d82abacked UC Riverside Highlanders2c699.99$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.840%0 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked UC Riverside Highlanders32c667.36$214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$213.5620026%52 W · 148 L+0.2wins0.00per pick26cpaid-8.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2eed…85a9backed Long Beach State Beach68c582.35$396 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186.3511747.9%56 W · 61 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed UC Riverside Highlanders33c490.9$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1621,23147%578 W · 653 L-17.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked UC Riverside Highlanders32c369.85$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.352,68748.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L+4.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d5c…0182backed UC Riverside Highlanders34c350$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1198749.4%43 W · 44 L-0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked UC Riverside Highlanders34c340.18$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.54,84852.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L+139.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1e52…91d6backed Long Beach State Beach68c317.99$215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.346549.2%32 W · 33 L+5.7wins+0.09per pick40cpaid+12.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa313…e124backed Long Beach State Beach68c140.32$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.325545.5%25 W · 30 L-3.2wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-17.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc0c0…07d8backed Long Beach State Beach67c126$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.585844.8%26 W · 32 L-3.7wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-16.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Long Beach State Beach70c122.31$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.92,12450.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L+40.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5351…a045backed Long Beach State Beach67c107$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.313259.4%19 W · 13 L+2.3wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+13.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3a56…387cbacked UC Riverside Highlanders16c87$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.7432343%139 W · 184 L-18.5wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-23%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x954b…eb22backed UC Riverside Highlanders31c80$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.86235.5%22 W · 40 L-4.3wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-22%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked Long Beach State Beach69c75$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.1261446.1%283 W · 331 L-8.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-17.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xfa49…949ebacked Long Beach State Beach67c74$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.425147.1%24 W · 27 L-3.4wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-1.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Long Beach State Beach68c53.47$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.114,55250.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L-36.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Long Beach State Beach75c50$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.261,95145.1%880 W · 1,071 L-19.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8ef9…b5bfbacked UC Riverside Highlanders33c50$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.52763%17 W · 10 L+2.9wins+0.11per pick52cpaid+16.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0dcf…4028backed UC Riverside Highlanders33c45$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.854060%24 W · 16 L+2.7wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+9.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5650…4cd8backed Long Beach State Beach69c43.51$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.332763%17 W · 10 L+5.6wins+0.21per pick42cpaid+57.9%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed UC Riverside Highlanders34c39$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.262,04832.7%670 W · 1,378 L-16.2wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x47ba…a503backed UC Riverside Highlanders32c31.25$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1011841.5%49 W · 69 L-5.5wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-16.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd902…d076backed UC Riverside Highlanders33c31$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.235657.1%32 W · 24 L+4.5wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+13.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5a14…8610backed UC Riverside Highlanders33c31$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.232556%14 W · 11 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-9.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7773…f936backed UC Riverside Highlanders33c31$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.231457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf9ef…20ebbacked Long Beach State Beach66c30$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.245953.8%247 W · 212 L-1.1wins0.00per pick54cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa3c0…e43ebacked Long Beach State Beach68c29.39$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.393565.7%23 W · 12 L+3.8wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+41.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.