Premier League · resolved market
Norwich City FC vs. Stoke City FC: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8a8e7a87d2c66e3514027a7b594d96f579281653bfa3ad498af3bc1fed5bf055
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,184
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,199
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,184 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 62c | 561.28$346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.18 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x48d7…1bd1backed Yes | 38c | 526.32$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d30…2645backed No | 46c | 129$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.66 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d67…cf38backed No | 45c | 126$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.3 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +2.2wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x699c…3600backed No | 46c | 120$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.8 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked No | 62c | 89.92$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.17 | 1,934 | 42.4%820 W · 1,114 L | -43.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00fe…eff7backed No | 45c | 66$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.3 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +3.5wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +31%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc5a1…e6f5backed No | 46c | 58$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.32 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.15per pick | 56cpaid | +50.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Yes | 35c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 891 | 52.9%471 W · 420 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa46…1559backed Yes | 54c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -5.1wins | -0.16per pick | 58cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa554…e53dbacked Yes | 54c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e29…c992backed Yes | 54c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa60c…b395backed Yes | 54c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | +2.3wins | +0.10per pick | 61cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe9…a400backed Yes | 55c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a94…31e6backed Yes | 55c | 29$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.95 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.14per pick | 58cpaid | -30%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51e5…9fcabacked Yes | 55c | 28$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.19per pick | 59cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42bb…2138backed Yes | 55c | 28$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.3wins | -0.39per pick | 56cpaid | -76.5%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x98d0…01a4backed Yes | 43c | 27.91$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 217 | 47.9%104 W · 113 L | -8.8wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7500…ae85backed Yes | 54c | 27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.58 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -2.5wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9af9…89bcbacked Yes | 54c | 26$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.12 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x194f…81b6backed Yes | 55c | 26$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.3 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -2.3wins | -0.15per pick | 62cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9d2d…ffcebacked Yes | 56c | 23$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.88 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.24per pick | 65cpaid | +36.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x12af…0730backed Yes | 54c | 23$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.42 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf3e…390fbacked Yes | 54c | 22$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.88 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -2.4wins | -0.12per pick | 57cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x37e8…441fbacked Yes | 56c | 21$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.76 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96d2…dc9bbacked Yes | 54c | 21$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.34 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62f0…afe6backed Yes | 55c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 64cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf340…6224backed Yes | 54c | 19$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.26 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Norwich City FC vs. Stoke City FC: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Norwich City FC vs. Stoke City FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Norwich City FC vs. Stoke City FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Norwich City FC vs. Stoke City FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Norwich City FC vs. Stoke City FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Norwich City FC (-1.5)Stoke City FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.