NHL · resolved market
KHL: HC Dynamo Moscow vs. Dinamo Minsk
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x72f47b8239f71be94d04c5a1da867d7c88c892e77824621513e5a8b72c3d806c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Dinamo Minskof HC Dynamo Moscow, Dinamo Minsk
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,238
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,342
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,238 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb2a5…6692backed Dinamo Minsk | 52c | 1,882$979 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$903.36 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c63…bc50backed HC Dynamo Moscow | 48c | 666$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94fc…cc76backed HC Dynamo Moscow | 48c | 631$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b7e…4ca8backed HC Dynamo Moscow | 48c | 585$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc81…5df2backed HC Dynamo Moscow | 51c | 400$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204 | 95 | 52.6%50 W · 45 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30ef…70dfbacked Dinamo Minsk | 49c | 400$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204 | 533 | 37.5%200 W · 333 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa49…949ebacked Dinamo Minsk | 52c | 228$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.44 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +2.8wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +26%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3f91…20ccbacked Dinamo Minsk | 52c | 161$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.28 | 54 | 74.1%40 W · 14 L | +11.1wins | +0.21per pick | 53cpaid | +49%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…5ab9backed Dinamo Minsk | 52c | 142$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.16 | 61 | 67.2%41 W · 20 L | +9.8wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x10f7…26f0backed Dinamo Minsk | 52c | 135$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.8 | 49 | 67.3%33 W · 16 L | +5.0wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x470e…07c0backed Dinamo Minsk | 52c | 130$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.4 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d30…2645backed Dinamo Minsk | 52c | 121$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.08 | 48 | 60.4%29 W · 19 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf572…065abacked Dinamo Minsk | 50c | 120$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x699c…3600backed Dinamo Minsk | 50c | 109$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.5 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | -4.1wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3f53…1ddcbacked HC Dynamo Moscow | 49c | 93$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.54 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed HC Dynamo Moscow | 47c | 90.92$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.73 | 495 | 46.5%230 W · 265 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Dinamo Minsk | 51c | 78.09$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.45 | 1,636 | 50.4%825 W · 811 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc368…0b4ebacked Dinamo Minsk | 50c | 75$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.5 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -3.5wins | -0.18per pick | 58cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb1c1…090dbacked HC Dynamo Moscow | 49c | 75$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.9 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28a2…91a4backed Dinamo Minsk | 52c | 74$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.52 | 61 | 65.6%40 W · 21 L | +7.9wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf86a…9ed1backed HC Dynamo Moscow | 49c | 71$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.68 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98ae…2bfebacked HC Dynamo Moscow | 48c | 58$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.84 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88d0…524cbacked HC Dynamo Moscow | 49c | 56$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.2 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -2.8wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc880…a622backed Dinamo Minsk | 52c | 52$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.96 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc07…e9f2backed HC Dynamo Moscow | 48c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -2.4wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1393…8392backed Dinamo Minsk | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 67 | 59.7%40 W · 27 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e85…d253backed HC Dynamo Moscow | 48c | 49$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.52 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b80…8e56backed HC Dynamo Moscow | 48c | 49$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.52 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -2.8wins | -0.15per pick | 43cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfb75…bc16backed HC Dynamo Moscow | 50c | 45$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd67a…304cbacked HC Dynamo Moscow | 49c | 45$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.98 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf73f…8ba0backed HC Dynamo Moscow | 49c | 44.39$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.75 | 80 | 35%28 W · 52 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11a4…bbe8backed HC Dynamo Moscow | 50c | 44$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34b2…cec2backed HC Dynamo Moscow | 48c | 43$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.64 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaebc…bb17backed HC Dynamo Moscow | 48c | 42$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.16 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2061…1ed1backed HC Dynamo Moscow | 48c | 36$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.28 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaad7…5557backed HC Dynamo Moscow | 73c | 34.24$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedc2…e450backed HC Dynamo Moscow | 48c | 33$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.84 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…8137backed HC Dynamo Moscow | 48c | 32$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.36 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -15%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…de52backed HC Dynamo Moscow | 48c | 32$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.36 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3b3…27babacked HC Dynamo Moscow | 48c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07eb…4b4cbacked HC Dynamo Moscow | 48c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ef9…b5bfbacked HC Dynamo Moscow | 48c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -20%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa27…dbdcbacked HC Dynamo Moscow | 48c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaacc…23c6backed HC Dynamo Moscow | 48c | 29$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.92 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6061…1ff7backed HC Dynamo Moscow | 48c | 29$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.92 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2cc5…7b98backed Dinamo Minsk | 53c | 28.3$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.3 | 26 | 69.2%18 W · 8 L | +2.3wins | +0.09per pick | 60cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcdd0…4938backed Dinamo Minsk | 52c | 28$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.44 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -3.8wins | -0.14per pick | 55cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9a4e…e3a4backed HC Dynamo Moscow | 50c | 28$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +2.9wins | +0.14per pick | 51cpaid | +26%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd568…655ebacked HC Dynamo Moscow | 48c | 27$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.96 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +2.7wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2e71…8913backed HC Dynamo Moscow | 48c | 27$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.96 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.23per pick | 51cpaid | -40%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xacac…bd06backed HC Dynamo Moscow | 50c | 26$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7500…ae85backed HC Dynamo Moscow | 48c | 26$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.48 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -2.4wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x50fc…ba9abacked Dinamo Minsk | 52c | 26$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.48 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c0…07d8backed Dinamo Minsk | 50c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…042fbacked HC Dynamo Moscow | 48c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -2.4wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6132…7665backed Dinamo Minsk | 51c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.25 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x50ad…2c48backed HC Dynamo Moscow | 50c | 24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +4.1wins | +0.22per pick | 52cpaid | +40.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x97de…15eabacked HC Dynamo Moscow | 48c | 22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.56 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.