NHL · resolved market
KHL: Avangard Omsk vs. Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x75fa334bd68ccc6df23412a6035437256b6b7004f64fbedcee65cd69f67366fc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Avtomobilist Yekaterinburgof Avangard Omsk, Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,504
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,641
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,504 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x19f8…98f9backed Avangard Omsk | 68c | 294.12$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 417 | 57.3%239 W · 178 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg | 32c | 278.29$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.63 | 1,636 | 50.4%825 W · 811 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d4c…41c4backed Avangard Omsk | 70c | 170.87$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.61 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f91…20ccbacked Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg | 30c | 169$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.3 | 54 | 74.1%40 W · 14 L | +11.1wins | +0.21per pick | 53cpaid | +49%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xea6a…3ee2backed Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg | 54c | 90.89$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.42 | 524 | 51%267 W · 257 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg | 26c | 59.52$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.12 | 1,846 | 57.2%1,055 W · 791 L | +85.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8fd4…676ebacked Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg | 30c | 59.1$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.37 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c1e…e503backed Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg | 30c | 57.46$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.22 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +49.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b0b…3f0bbacked Avangard Omsk | 69c | 55$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.95 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -2.6wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9794…32c9backed Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg | 30c | 54.31$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.02 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +47.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3bec…6997backed Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg | 30c | 50$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +3.7wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +38.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Avangard Omsk | 73c | 50$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.5 | 315 | 40.3%127 W · 188 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg | 32c | 49.99$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.99 | 924 | 44.5%411 W · 513 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecfb…27b3backed Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg | 39c | 41.72$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.57 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9555…889abacked Avangard Omsk | 68c | 40$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.2 | 425 | 58.6%249 W · 176 L | -8.8wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30ee…5d12backed Avangard Omsk | 70c | 36$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -3.8wins | -0.38per pick | 48cpaid | -80%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe829…a4aabacked Avangard Omsk | 70c | 34$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.8 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x470e…07c0backed Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg | 33c | 33$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.11 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d6e…148bbacked Avangard Omsk | 70c | 33$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.1 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x363a…b79ebacked Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg | 33c | 32$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.44 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x684b…47edbacked Avangard Omsk | 70c | 29$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.3 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2cc5…7b98backed Avangard Omsk | 54c | 26.02$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 26 | 69.2%18 W · 8 L | +2.3wins | +0.09per pick | 60cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d78…4756backed Avangard Omsk | 67c | 23$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.41 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -4.8wins | -0.25per pick | 46cpaid | -61.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x98d0…01a4backed Avangard Omsk | 54c | 22.31$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 113 | 53.1%60 W · 53 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7cff…6471backed Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg | 52c | 19.36$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.29 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7500…ae85backed Avangard Omsk | 70c | 19$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.3 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -2.4wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6191…e505backed Avangard Omsk | 70c | 18$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe222…9d8cbacked Avangard Omsk | 73c | 17.89$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fc…c985backed Avangard Omsk | 70c | 16$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -2.7wins | -0.24per pick | 61cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.