Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Rhode Island Rams vs. Dayton Flyers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x89a14ae7e36129f37b79d574e15e9de01648e73c2f2495f2a081d390b1e4491e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Rhode Island Ramsof Rhode Island Rams, Dayton Flyers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $34,760
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $37,244
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $34,760 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 60 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1341…0853backed Rhode Island Rams | 21c | 8,000$1,680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,319.98 | 247 | 48.2%119 W · 128 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Dayton Flyers | 35c | 5,417$1,908 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,907.81 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Rhode Island Rams | 39c | 4,642$1,819 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,823.55 | 244 | 44.7%109 W · 135 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Dayton Flyers | 78c | 3,156$2,455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,454.79 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f08…ed44backed Rhode Island Rams | 78c | 3,126$2,452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$673.89 | 464 | 46.8%217 W · 247 L | +6.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Dayton Flyers | 79c | 2,916$2,304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,303.64 | 1,436 | 47.5%682 W · 754 L | -18.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Dayton Flyers | 79c | 2,226$1,758 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,758.22 | 898 | 50%449 W · 449 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa8…56dbbacked Dayton Flyers | 21c | 1,954$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410.29 | 1,058 | 55.8%590 W · 468 L | +34.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Rhode Island Rams | 73c | 1,888$1,384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$503.61 | 1,531 | 50.1%767 W · 764 L | +34.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Dayton Flyers | 79c | 1,752$1,384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,384.08 | 1,511 | 47.8%722 W · 789 L | -35.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8791…4c9abacked Rhode Island Rams | 23c | 1,087$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$836.96 | 214 | 43.9%94 W · 120 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Dayton Flyers | 52c | 678.77$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353.71 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa302…6c3fbacked Rhode Island Rams | 20c | 510.7$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410.7 | 59 | 10.2%6 W · 53 L | -8.3wins | -0.14per pick | 24cpaid | -66.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Dayton Flyers | 69c | 508.76$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.81 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Dayton Flyers | 80c | 420.55$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.6 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Rhode Island Rams | 61c | 417.31$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.6 | 2,003 | 53.7%1,076 W · 927 L | +101.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Dayton Flyers | 61c | 417.04$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Rhode Island Rams | 21c | 347.72$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.7 | 918 | 48.9%449 W · 469 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64a8…7bc3backed Rhode Island Rams | 67c | 311.33$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.03 | 170 | 62.9%107 W · 63 L | -9.0wins | -0.05per pick | 68cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfc3e…776bbacked Dayton Flyers | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 167 | 46.1%77 W · 90 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Dayton Flyers | 76c | 292.12$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.01 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Rhode Island Rams | 24c | 255.31$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.04 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ec…81c2backed Dayton Flyers | 30c | 231.22$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.37 | 88 | 17%15 W · 73 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x850a…e5dbbacked Rhode Island Rams | 65c | 230.04$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.04 | 181 | 67.4%122 W · 59 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc091…3d42backed Dayton Flyers | 52c | 230$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.6 | 722 | 48.8%352 W · 370 L | -23.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Dayton Flyers | 31c | 216.51$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.12 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Rhode Island Rams | 22c | 199.96$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.97 | 1,487 | 43%639 W · 848 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c16…4b37backed Rhode Island Rams | 20c | 197$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.6 | 558 | 40.3%225 W · 333 L | -7.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f0…5701backed Rhode Island Rams | 14c | 187$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.76 | 369 | 42.3%156 W · 213 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Dayton Flyers | 59c | 175.26$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.47 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Rhode Island Rams | 21c | 143.51$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.09 | 668 | 31.4%210 W · 458 L | -43.1wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -23%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Dayton Flyers | 43c | 133.16$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.92 | 998 | 48.4%483 W · 515 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Rhode Island Rams | 24c | 127.16$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.96 | 1,667 | 36.4%607 W · 1,060 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19f8…98f9backed Dayton Flyers | 79c | 126.81$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 484 | 62.8%304 W · 180 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Dayton Flyers | 59c | 111.76$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.65 | 2,012 | 50%1,006 W · 1,006 L | +22.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Dayton Flyers | 67c | 106.59$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.95 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ec…e987backed Rhode Island Rams | 22c | 99.99$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.99 | 192 | 38.5%74 W · 118 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Rhode Island Rams | 23c | 99.99$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.99 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba36…52d0backed Rhode Island Rams | 22c | 98$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.44 | 55 | 43.6%24 W · 31 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Rhode Island Rams | 17c | 92.62$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.86 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed Rhode Island Rams | 24c | 83$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.08 | 254 | 36.6%93 W · 161 L | -13.9wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Dayton Flyers | 78c | 75$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.5 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75dc…4f82backed Dayton Flyers | 79c | 71.73$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.67 | 229 | 53.7%123 W · 106 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Rhode Island Rams | 41c | 71.22$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.23 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc006…036abacked Rhode Island Rams | 25c | 59.4$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.55 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Dayton Flyers | 77c | 49$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.73 | 1,155 | 50.4%582 W · 573 L | -34.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Rhode Island Rams | 64c | 44.3$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.88 | 1,493 | 48.7%727 W · 766 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Dayton Flyers | 46c | 43.2$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.83 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x989a…afbcbacked Rhode Island Rams | 63c | 41.98$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.63 | 703 | 49.6%349 W · 354 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc120…f2c2backed Dayton Flyers | 77c | 41.56$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Dayton Flyers | 77c | 40$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.75 | 497 | 47.5%236 W · 261 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb834…e4c1backed Dayton Flyers | 28c | 39.29$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 83 | 50.6%42 W · 41 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Dayton Flyers | 65c | 37.53$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.33 | 974 | 47.9%467 W · 507 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea8d…e9d3backed Rhode Island Rams | 72c | 26$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.28 | 63 | 52.4%33 W · 30 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7500…ae85backed Dayton Flyers | 78c | 24$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.72 | 33 | 72.7%24 W · 9 L | +5.5wins | +0.17per pick | 56cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0ecd…b2c0backed Dayton Flyers | 78c | 22$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.16 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd26c…fc57backed Dayton Flyers | 78c | 21$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.38 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +2.8wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +18%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3494…04f4backed Dayton Flyers | 78c | 17.72$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.82 | 100 | 43%43 W · 57 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x080f…c226backed Dayton Flyers | 78c | 17$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.26 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -3.3wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -22%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7399…fe96backed Dayton Flyers | 78c | 14$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.92 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Rhode Island Rams vs. Dayton Flyersthis page
- Rhode Island Rams vs. Dayton Flyers: O/U 137.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.