Euroleague · resolved market
Olimpia Milano vs. Real Madrid
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x34821dcc38d980a695f627eb22e1ff9da16ee0058dfc4c64c04432e7ed91022c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Olimpia Milanoof Olimpia Milano, Real Madrid
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Euroleagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,942
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,614
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,942 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 90 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Euroleague is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Euroleague | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xea32…8870backed Olimpia Milano | 48c | 7,967$3,864 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,103.32 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -2.7wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Real Madrid | 52c | 4,297$2,248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,247.56 | 148 | 47.3%70 W · 78 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Real Madrid | 51c | 3,956$2,018 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,017.92 | 120 | 40.8%49 W · 71 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Olimpia Milano | 41c | 3,475$1,435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,039.61 | 542 | 51.5%279 W · 263 L | +25.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e33…afb3backed Real Madrid | 71c | 1,305$928 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$928.48 | 136 | 50%68 W · 68 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29de…02aabacked Real Madrid | 54c | 1,090$583 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$583.5 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfbd…21d2backed Real Madrid | 3c | 999.97$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 42 | 11.9%5 W · 37 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Olimpia Milano | 46c | 849.94$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$459.91 | 275 | 57.5%158 W · 117 L | +12.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Real Madrid | 6c | 429.7$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.54 | 145 | 42.1%61 W · 84 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Real Madrid | 49c | 372.41$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.61 | 343 | 44.3%152 W · 191 L | -16.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Olimpia Milano | 50c | 369.44$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.05 | 135 | 48.9%66 W · 69 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Real Madrid | 42c | 355.62$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 56 | 30.4%17 W · 39 L | -5.3wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x65ea…223fbacked Real Madrid | 54c | 301$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.54 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.19per pick | 51cpaid | +66.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Olimpia Milano | 46c | 253.11$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.22 | 71 | 39.4%28 W · 43 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x740b…647abacked Real Madrid | 32c | 250.39$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 66cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe48c…163abacked Real Madrid | 55c | 234.55$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.20per pick | 50cpaid | -40%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcd53…a861backed Real Madrid | 52c | 217$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.84 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 43cpaid | +85.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5942…5641backed Olimpia Milano | 46c | 198.7$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.3 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +2.4wins | +0.24per pick | 36cpaid | +59.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Olimpia Milano | 38c | 195$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.08 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e3a…265ebacked Real Madrid | 52c | 193.77$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.76 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbd65…3e60backed Real Madrid | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 97 | 56.7%55 W · 42 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4be7…8e91backed Olimpia Milano | 47c | 173.86$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.14 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.3wins | +0.38per pick | 45cpaid | +78.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xeecc…6930backed Real Madrid | 16c | 169.84$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56aa…e6e5backed Real Madrid | 54c | 166.67$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Olimpia Milano | 61c | 140.42$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.01 | 122 | 68.9%84 W · 38 L | +15.5wins | +0.13per pick | 56cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x70a1…978abacked Real Madrid | 46c | 138.72$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.14 | 120 | 41.7%50 W · 70 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Olimpia Milano | 55c | 134.58$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.56 | 369 | 39.8%147 W · 222 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7567…0923backed Real Madrid | 52c | 115$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.8 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4669…785ebacked Real Madrid | 52c | 111$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.72 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +47.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb82d…5d1ebacked Real Madrid | 54c | 106$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.24 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b83…1f0bbacked Real Madrid | 55c | 102.2$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8046…a845backed Real Madrid | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.35 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3228…b4e3backed Real Madrid | 22c | 100$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb327…0fccbacked Real Madrid | 52c | 95.19$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.24per pick | 53cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x433b…fdffbacked Real Madrid | 53c | 94.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7500…ae85backed Olimpia Milano | 46c | 94$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.76 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc368…0b4ebacked Real Madrid | 52c | 92$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.84 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4130…a35bbacked Real Madrid | 54c | 87$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.98 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.4wins | -0.41per pick | 57cpaid | -74%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x32d6…844bbacked Real Madrid | 54c | 87$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.98 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.8wins | -0.35per pick | 47cpaid | -81.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc856…0aa5backed Olimpia Milano | 47c | 87$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.02 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 69cpaid | +22%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…dce6backed Real Madrid | 54c | 86$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.44 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x699c…3600backed Real Madrid | 52c | 84$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.68 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 61cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0526…f3a3backed Real Madrid | 53c | 80.99$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bbb…1594backed Real Madrid | 52c | 77$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.04 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa521…4599backed Real Madrid | 54c | 74$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.96 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc76b…5fbabacked Real Madrid | 54c | 56.43$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.24 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7163…3601backed Olimpia Milano | 54c | 55.99$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.82 | 43 | 69.8%30 W · 13 L | +7.6wins | +0.18per pick | 52cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed Olimpia Milano | 60c | 55$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.2 | 92 | 55.4%51 W · 41 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc427…ee41backed Real Madrid | 53c | 52$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.56 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e02…c5f2backed Olimpia Milano | 48c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf33d…1969backed Olimpia Milano | 48c | 49$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.48 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x663b…e26cbacked Olimpia Milano | 48c | 48$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.96 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa48…9062backed Olimpia Milano | 47c | 47$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.08 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe11a…d47ebacked Olimpia Milano | 46c | 47$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.38 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9af9…89bcbacked Olimpia Milano | 46c | 46$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.84 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x870f…08ebbacked Olimpia Milano | 48c | 45$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.4 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +59.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x934a…9096backed Olimpia Milano | 48c | 44$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.88 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +107.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6fe1…e560backed Olimpia Milano | 47c | 43$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.68 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Olimpia Milano | 39c | 42.55$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.09 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed Real Madrid | 52c | 41.3$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.51 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -3.5wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Real Madrid | 53c | 41$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.87 | 314 | 46.2%145 W · 169 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba0f…7ca5backed Olimpia Milano | 48c | 40$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.8 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 62cpaid | +70.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x143d…5bc4backed Olimpia Milano | 46c | 39$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.06 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96d2…dc9bbacked Olimpia Milano | 48c | 39$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.28 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecb9…d7ddbacked Real Madrid | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.8wins | -0.35per pick | 47cpaid | -82.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x521c…64d2backed Olimpia Milano | 48c | 37$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.38 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +15%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68e8…4facbacked Olimpia Milano | 46c | 36$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.44 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc49c…6dcabacked Real Madrid | 51c | 35$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.85 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x05ba…2117backed Olimpia Milano | 48c | 33$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.16 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x309d…3a8abacked Real Madrid | 53c | 31$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.43 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.30per pick | 53cpaid | +68.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfa46…1559backed Olimpia Milano | 46c | 31$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.74 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc716…f0d7backed Real Madrid | 54c | 31$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.74 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.6wins | +0.29per pick | 49cpaid | +82.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x04a1…6b2dbacked Olimpia Milano | 48c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +68.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xacc5…a773backed Olimpia Milano | 47c | 29.91$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.85 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +87%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc2a…3d02backed Real Madrid | 55c | 27.47$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdee3…7b2ebacked Olimpia Milano | 47c | 27$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.18 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +107.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e5d…e5bfbacked Olimpia Milano | 48c | 27$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.13 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +83%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd5f…c379backed Olimpia Milano | 48c | 25.13$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.07 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc39b…5754backed Olimpia Milano | 46c | 25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 63cpaid | +72%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe43…9ceabacked Real Madrid | 55c | 24.53$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf693…584dbacked Olimpia Milano | 62c | 24.19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.19 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 70cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a7…261bbacked Olimpia Milano | 46c | 24$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.96 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +52.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x888b…8f3fbacked Olimpia Milano | 46c | 24$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.96 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.19per pick | 61cpaid | +39%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9431…6270backed Olimpia Milano | 48c | 23$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.96 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ce0…2b8abacked Real Madrid | 54c | 22.22$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 82 | 56.1%46 W · 36 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9acf…bd74backed Olimpia Milano | 46c | 22$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.88 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b33…6c89backed Real Madrid | 54c | 21.3$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca9…2a50backed Real Madrid | 54c | 20.37$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd7d…cfcbbacked Real Madrid | 55c | 18.58$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9594…678ebacked Real Madrid | 55c | 18.45$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Euroleague and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.